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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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April 28-30 Predictions
Are You There God? It’s me Margaret- 14m This is shockingly tracking in the high teens. Dunno why. Seems optimistic to me. Big George Foreman- 8m Poniyin Selvin 2- 4m Sisu- 2m
Beau is Afraid will expand further this weekend but I expect it will stall at this point.
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Fri Apr 21, 2023 8:23 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Margaret is a very well known book so high teens wouldn’t surprise me.
George Foreman could have broken out but doesn’t look to be getting a big push.
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Fri Apr 21, 2023 10:07 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Would love to see The Black Demon in theaters but I doubt it gets much of a release. Should be in July releasing right before Shark Week.
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Fri Apr 21, 2023 9:25 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6177
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Margeret has negligible presales at this point. Evil Dead had way more last sunday. I am not buying a big OW. other openers dont matter as well. Mario will have a great hold(may be make a play for low 40s 4th weekend) while rest of the holdovers that did well this weekend should continue to do so next weekend as well.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Apr 24, 2023 12:31 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
I think any opening above $10M could be considered a win for Margaret. I know it's based on a classic book, but it's been ages since we had a coming of age film break out at the box office, especially one centered on a woman. Luckily it sounds like the movie is a crowd-pleaser, so if it opens high enough it could have pretty good legs, especially with Mothers Day coming up.
Any word on how Poniyin Selvin 2 presales are compared to other Indian films? The first one did quite well last fall.
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Mon Apr 24, 2023 8:31 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32115 Location: the last free city
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Mario $37m-40m 4th weekend coming up
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Mon Apr 24, 2023 11:12 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67059
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Sisu has been all over YouTube advertising. It looks great.
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Mon Apr 24, 2023 11:30 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6177
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Jonathan wrote: Any word on how Poniyin Selvin 2 presales are compared to other Indian films? The first one did quite well last fall. As far as what I see it seems to be below PS1. Not sure how these movies work anyway in terms of building hype.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Apr 24, 2023 11:48 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Would love to see The Black Demon in theaters but I doubt it gets much of a release. Should be in July releasing right before Shark Week. I am hoping I'll get the chance to. Some theater I go to has to get it. But yes it should have released in the summer.
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Tue Apr 25, 2023 12:14 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11549
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Feeling Margaret is going to do well and have a leggy run. At the very least will be big once it hits streaming.
Getting vibes of a mini Marley and Me. It's got Rachel McAdams who for wide releases has had a pretty consistent run of box office runs aside from Aloha. Also noticed it has James L. Brooks producing his first movie in 7 years. He's been a producer on Big and Jerry Maguire and seems to be very good at these sentimental movies.
The Rotten Tomatoes score is still at 96% from 26 reviews. Will start small but have a decent run.
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Tue Apr 25, 2023 1:47 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: Would love to see The Black Demon in theaters but I doubt it gets much of a release. Should be in July releasing right before Shark Week. I am hoping I'll get the chance to. Some theater I go to has to get it. But yes it should have released in the summer. My local AMC (and the one a bit further out) aren't getting it or Sisu or Return of the Jedi. Stupid Margaret. How about you solve your own damn problems and not write a book that will eventually be adapted into a movie? I dam thee to the inferno!
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Tue Apr 25, 2023 11:35 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Libs on Twitter are upset that Margaret is rated PG-13. Cuz God forbid parents are warned about a film having sexual content. They want a Pg so parents will plop their kids down in front of it unsupervised
Last edited by zwackerm on Tue Apr 25, 2023 1:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Tue Apr 25, 2023 12:07 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Libs always was a real stickler for mpaa ratings. She probably campaigned for Magic Mike and 50 Shades of Grey to also be PG.
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Tue Apr 25, 2023 12:45 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: Libs on Twitter are upset that Margaret is rated PG-13. Cuz God forbid parents are warned about a film having sexual content. They want a Pg so parents will plop their kids down in front of it unsupervised Just like the pathetic grovelling from Kevin Bacon regarding drag queens. Embarrassing.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Tue Apr 25, 2023 7:21 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38095
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
97% RT/85 MC is pretty legit, higher than Edge of Seventeen but lower than Lady Bird. Possibly has an outside chance at BP nomination too.
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Tue Apr 25, 2023 8:01 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Still think it can do $13-$15m OW and then solid legs to a robust gross.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Tue Apr 25, 2023 8:09 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: Would love to see The Black Demon in theaters but I doubt it gets much of a release. Should be in July releasing right before Shark Week. I am hoping I'll get the chance to. Some theater I go to has to get it. But yes it should have released in the summer. My local AMC (and the one a bit further out) aren't getting it or Sisu or Return of the Jedi. Stupid Margaret. How about you solve your own damn problems and not write a book that will eventually be adapted into a movie? I dam thee to the inferno! Thankfully a few theaters in my state are getting The Black Demon.. I'll go on Tuesday.
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Wed Apr 26, 2023 12:56 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48626 Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Libs always was a real stickler for mpaa ratings. She probably campaigned for Magic Mike and 50 Shades of Grey to also be PG. Idk man the thought of pearl clutchers being horrified by Judy Blume and tween girls talking about periods is pretty funny to me For the record I do think the rating seems ridiculous but the MPAA has always been a ridiculous institution, nothing new here.
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Wed Apr 26, 2023 6:19 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6177
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Still strongly feel this will not hit 10m. Previews will be like 0.5m. I dont see weekend hitting 10m with that. Even Friday sales are anemic.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed Apr 26, 2023 7:55 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Keyser Söze wrote: Still strongly feel this will not hit 10m. Previews will be like 0.5m. I dont see weekend hitting 10m with that. Even Friday sales are anemic. Where is box office.com getting its tracking from?
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Wed Apr 26, 2023 10:25 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6177
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: Still strongly feel this will not hit 10m. Previews will be like 0.5m. I dont see weekend hitting 10m with that. Even Friday sales are anemic. Where is box office.com getting its tracking from? Its not based on ticket sales but on metrics like General Awareness/Definite Interest/First Choice numbers. That is how industry tracking predicts OW. Like the 125m OW for Guardians. But during release week they generally update taking ticket sales into equation. look for boxoffice.com update tomorrow. I would be surprised if they stayed that high. Example was Shazam. Industry tracking had it 35-40m. obviously it did hit that. https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movie ... 235332509/
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Thu Apr 27, 2023 1:08 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6177
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Mario is down 38% week on week and its not as if there were any holiday boost last week. Friday increase should hopefully be better but would it be enough for it to hit 40m. Only time will tell.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Thu Apr 27, 2023 7:39 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
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Re: April 28-30 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: Would love to see The Black Demon in theaters but I doubt it gets much of a release. Should be in July releasing right before Shark Week. I am hoping I'll get the chance to. Some theater I go to has to get it. But yes it should have released in the summer. My local AMC (and the one a bit further out) aren't getting it or Sisu or Return of the Jedi. Stupid Margaret. How about you solve your own damn problems and not write a book that will eventually be adapted into a movie? I dam thee to the inferno! Thankfully a few theaters in my state are getting The Black Demon.. I'll go on Tuesday. Lemme know if it's a "rent on itunes" movie or "wait till it hits scifi channel" movie!
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Sat Apr 29, 2023 2:18 pm |
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