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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21473 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 March 17-19 Predictions
Shazam Fury of the Gods 42m Inside 4m Moving On 2m
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Fri Mar 10, 2023 9:55 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68230 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
I'll go with $40.2 million.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Fri Mar 10, 2023 11:05 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6716
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
I am thinking 30m for Shazam. Looks really dire.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sun Mar 12, 2023 2:23 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25194 Location: Classified
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Shazam seems even more doa than Morbius. I hope it performs decently just so we can keep this hot box office run going a few weeks longer. Maybe the kids who love the first movie are just being quiet.
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Sun Mar 12, 2023 4:22 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21473 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
I think good reviews will bump it up to over 40m
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Sun Mar 12, 2023 4:33 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19373 Location: San Diego
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Bad release dates for the first and this one. I think this being sandwiched in between all these other releases will hurt this. Expecting like a 38m weekend.
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Sun Mar 12, 2023 5:37 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
I want to see Shazam 2, I really enjoy the first one, but interest seems pretty dead for the sequel. Everything released before/after it has been receiving more buzz. Probably doesn't help that, I presume, the film doesn't matter regarding the future of the DCEU? So it's lost that appeal of bringing in those invested in the DCEU, perhaps.
And no reviews yet is concerning. Strong reviews would be the only thing that could help it now, I think, so maybe this will struggle to $100 million if it doesn't post a ~90% score like its predecessor.
-Bad release date. -Place in the DCEU gone / questionable? -(Likely) bad reviews. -Potential Zachary Levi backlash.
Lots went (or is going) wrong here.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Tue Mar 14, 2023 12:28 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19373 Location: San Diego
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Reviews not being out is weird. Would be strange if this one gets bad reviews.
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Tue Mar 14, 2023 12:51 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6716
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
I am thinking sub 25m is likely. Its trending below Suicide Squad at this point :-(
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue Mar 14, 2023 1:58 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19373 Location: San Diego
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Jesus.
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Tue Mar 14, 2023 2:18 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68230 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
It won't do that badly because I'm hoping it bombs, and the U.S. box office is never that kind to me.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Tue Mar 14, 2023 5:12 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25194 Location: Classified
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Week to week drops on Monday were very small across the board. Spring break effect?
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Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:26 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35204 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Super hero movies aren't usually my thing, but I really enjoyed the first Shazam and wanted a sequel. The trailer has done nothing for me though. I think it looks pretty bad. I'm probably going to bow out of this series after the first one. Plus I don't care for Zachary Levi anymore which is making this even less appealing to me. I thought people really liked the first, but it doesn't seem like anyone really cares about this one. Back when the first came out I thought a sequel would probably increase at the box office. That's definitely not going to be the case anymore.
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Tue Mar 14, 2023 10:07 pm |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm Posts: 1882
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: Super hero movies aren't usually my thing, but I really enjoyed the first Shazam and wanted a sequel. The trailer has done nothing for me though. I think it looks pretty bad. I'm probably going to bow out of this series after the first one. Plus I don't care for Zachary Levi anymore which is making this even less appealing to me. I thought people really liked the first, but it doesn't seem like anyone really cares about this one. Back when the first came out I thought a sequel would probably increase at the box office. That's definitely not going to be the case anymore. For some reason your post called to mind for me the decrease from Kick Ass to Kick Ass 2. Which at this point might be best case scenario for ShaZam 2 (think it’d be like $35m OW $83m). I never saw Shazam and wasn’t interested, but the trailer for this just oozes ‘generic CGI superhero fest’ and I’m so down to pass on it / kinda hope it bombs.
_________________ how am I not myself?
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Wed Mar 15, 2023 1:21 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Another issue for me here was DC was aiming for an MCU type universe and I enjoyed Wonderwoman (1) and Aquaman so kept watching them. There's no real need to keep watching the DC movies for the sake of it (which was kind of the thing you had to do with the MCU movies).
Superman is out for now, Black Adam doesn't look like it's going much anywhere, Wonderwoman is done for now in its current iteration, while the better movies are outside the universe like Joker and The Batman.
There's zero incentive for me or many average moviegoers to see each DC movie now since they are all disjointed and also because they lost credibility with the Cavill appearance (and disappearance), Batgirl, etc. so none of the current slate of remaining DC universe movies feels worth watching since so many don't follow through on their promises (or none of the story really matters). I had no real pent up interest to see Batgirl but just feels like if that was disposable why not Shazam as well? So why is it worth me seeing? They've so devalued their own brand it makes it easier for me to skip it!
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Wed Mar 15, 2023 1:57 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
The superhero version of Big was a hook for the first movie, especially with the other kid helping him. This one it just looks like the plot is an excuse for big CGI fight scenes.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Mar 15, 2023 3:23 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68230 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
I feel this film in particular also isn't aware of the current landscape for superhero movies. There is a line in the trailer which goes something like "wow, I just threw a truck at a bad guy" or words to that effect. And it feels like that kind of feat isn't impressive in the slightest anymore, so to comment on it undervalues the entire film, for me at least. I roll my eyes whenever I'm unlucky enough to see the trailer for this. It feels like anything that happens in Fury of the Gods will only wow audiences if we all suddenly time traveled to 2008. The last 15 years has done so much and gone so far in terms of pushing all the boundaries of VFX that putting out bog standard CG action as your only real sell is a shortsighted business plan.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Wed Mar 15, 2023 11:36 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21473 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
That line was cut from the film due to poor trailer reaction lol
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Wed Mar 15, 2023 11:44 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68230 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: That line was cut from the film due to poor trailer reaction lol Oh, well that's good news at least.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Wed Mar 15, 2023 12:05 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
The spring break dailies are awesome to see. Almost like summer weekdays. Tuesday #'s below.
1 Scream VI $4,403,075 $52,510,502 2 Creed III $3,254,718 -37% $107,469,632 3 65 $1,410,000 $14,790,291 4 Ant-Man and the Wasp $1,137,262 -12% $200,102,730 5 Cocaine Bear $857,175 -34% $53,274,280 6 Champions $840,840 $6,507,420 7 Jesus Revolution $837,716 -37% $40,862,465 8 Avatar: The Way of Water $456,526 +18% $675,466,500 9 Puss in Boots: The Last Wish $401,425 +57% $180,426,475 10 Operation Fortune: Ruse d… $205,153 -53% $5,897,476
65 could very well get not too far from its $45M budget. It's somehow not going to be an outright flop.
Creed is looking like it could pull $160M which is an amazing spike from its predecessors.
Ant Man passes $200M! Puss and Avatar are still making decent dough.
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Wed Mar 15, 2023 4:53 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68230 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Yeah, I noticed Creed III's number. It's doing so well. It's almost out-grossed the previous two and it's still making $2-3 million per day!
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:36 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Ant Man's total gross is not a disaster but it got there in a more frontloaded way
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:38 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19373 Location: San Diego
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
With how it opened struggling to AMATW's domestic gross is a disaster.
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Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:49 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68230 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Yeah, I'm siding more with it being a disaster. When it opened I expected a lot more than reaching just $200 million two days shy of 4 weeks in release.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:57 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21473 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Shazam starts at 83% on rT.
Ant Man will lose a similar amount of money to Captain America 1 and Shang Chi and less than Black Widow, Eternals and The Incredible Hulk. So it’s not their biggest disaster, but it’s up there. Needed 550m WW to avoid being a disaster and to match the second film to avoid being a disappointment.
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Wed Mar 15, 2023 6:30 pm |
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