Author |
Message |
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
August 19-21 Predictions
Beast - 12m Dragon Ball- 14
|
Sat Aug 13, 2022 6:35 pm |
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
I have both at 20 Million in the game. Could easily be either. I don't think I could pick.
Bodies Bodies Bodies expands to 2,000+ theaters this weekend.
Orphan: First Kill is opening in theaters and premiering on Paramount+. It looks like it's going to be in more theaters than their March hybrid release The Contractor. That opened in 489 theaters. I notice a lot of theaters with showtimes for Orphan starting Thursday. I'm surprised mine is getting it. They didn't get The Contractor and I've never seen them advertise this. But even being on Paramount+ it makes sense for theaters to get this one. They're desperate for content.
|
Sun Aug 14, 2022 1:42 pm |
|
|
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
I didn't realise Orphan 2 is opening in theatres - however its potential is severly dented. I think it could have been a solid hit if it wasnt streaming considering the first is well loved.
Beast could be set to over-peform - i.e. $15m+
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
Sun Aug 14, 2022 7:02 pm |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67059
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
Beast is having a pretty broad marketing campaign. I even saw it advertised during the Chelsea-Tottenham game. Maybe I'm being too hopeful because I have it in my draft, but I can see it performing really well. I'm thinking $17 million minimum.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
Sun Aug 14, 2022 11:21 pm |
|
|
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
Hope Beast does very well. Man v beast survival horror always works in late summer. Usually it is aquatic monsters though, so we will see how people take to lions.
|
Mon Aug 15, 2022 12:53 pm |
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32115 Location: the last free city
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
wouldn't be surprised if Dragon Ball takes the weekend
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
|
Mon Aug 15, 2022 2:36 pm |
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
I never expected Orphan to get good reviews. William Brent Bell doesn't have a very good track record. But damn it sounds awesome. Paramount should have done a theatrical only release.
|
Mon Aug 15, 2022 6:05 pm |
|
|
rftapeout
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Wed Dec 18, 2019 4:20 pm Posts: 93
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
In the August/September 2022 contest, I had predicted that Beast would do better than Dragon Ball. But Katnisscinaplex has tracked the Thursday presales of Beast (based on three cities: Jacksonville, Phoenix, Ralston). Beast's presales appear to only be a fraction of Bullet Train's. On the other hand Dragon Ball seems to have decent Thursday presales. Also Grace Randolph, who has already watched Beast, said that the review embargo for Beast ends Wednesday. This is only one day before the Thursday previews. She said that usually means the movie studio isn't confident of its quality.
|
Mon Aug 15, 2022 10:22 pm |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67059
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
Beast already has 4 reviews. 75% fresh so far, but all from Spanish-speaking critics, and have usually have a different take on movies than their English counterparts.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
Mon Aug 15, 2022 11:31 pm |
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
rftapeout wrote: In the August/September 2022 contest, I had predicted that Beast would do better than Dragon Ball. But Katnisscinaplex has tracked the Thursday presales of Beast (based on three cities: Jacksonville, Phoenix, Ralston). Beast's presales appear to only be a fraction of Bullet Train's. On the other hand Dragon Ball seems to have decent Thursday presales. Also Grace Randolph, who has already watched Beast, said that the review embargo for Beast ends Wednesday. This is only one day before the Thursday previews. She said that usually means the movie studio isn't confident of its quality. I mean opening day for Dragon Ball will be great. But it will be more front-loaded than Beast.
|
Tue Aug 16, 2022 12:17 am |
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
Algren wrote: Beast already has 4 reviews. 75% fresh so far, but all from Spanish-speaking critics, and have usually have a different take on movies than their English counterparts. Now it's at 80% with 5 reviews.
|
Tue Aug 16, 2022 10:50 am |
|
|
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38095
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
Beast is the perfect August #1 opener. Under 20 would be a missed opportunity when something like the Meg went 45/145.
_________________Shackâs top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Wed Aug 17, 2022 9:31 am |
|
|
O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11549
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
Meg just had this fun camp factor. Beast looks ok but like it's meant to see at home. Sharks just seem more scary than lions at least in the trailer. I wouldn't be shocked if Dragonball doubles Beast but hope for a surprise where both surpass expectations. I was off on Mack and Rita but thought maybe someone would show up to see Diane Keaton which wasn't the case at all.
|
Wed Aug 17, 2022 10:13 am |
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
Beast reviews are good. Good thing they had them embargoed for so long.
|
Thu Aug 18, 2022 12:45 pm |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
Beast still only has 5 reviews, it could go significantly down
|
Thu Aug 18, 2022 1:07 pm |
|
|
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
Same thing happened to Crawl a few years ago. Why are studios so ashamed of creature features that don't have sharks in them? Large cats, crocodilians, bears, hippos, etc... Are far more likely to kill someone in real life than sharks.
*edit - I forgot that The Grey did pretty well too. But they also sold that movie by promising that Liam Neeson would fight a wolf ... Which didn't actually happen on screen.
|
Thu Aug 18, 2022 3:17 pm |
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
Just like Piranha 3D and Crawl, Beast actually received good reviews that weren't out until opening day. It could have been building buzz if they'd released them sooner. So stupid.
Beast is doing awful tonight at every theater I look at. Many showings are empty. I haven't seen any that are doing well. By far the most tickets sold for one I've seen is at my main theater and it has 6 tickets sold. Those seats were already sold early in the week.
I hope good reviews can turn things around for the rest of the weekend or this might actually flop.
|
Thu Aug 18, 2022 5:30 pm |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67059
|
Re: August 19-21 Predictions
Weirdly Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank has closed at 34 days, ending on a Wednesday. Will it not even finish reporting the week?
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
Thu Aug 18, 2022 10:09 pm |
|
|