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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Black Panther 2 predictions
I assume Black Panther 2 will be the first MCU solo film since Iron Man 2 to decrease in gross from its predecessor. It will be impossible to beat the novelty and replicate the hype.
I'm thinking a $160-170 million opening and a $430-450 million total.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Tue Feb 20, 2018 1:44 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
The Avengers/Age of Ultron is a very apt comparison since I assume Black Panther will end up pulling similar numbers and in both cases the novelty will have worn off. Especially with Black Panther appearing in at least two more films in the meantime.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Tue Feb 20, 2018 1:53 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
Well, I guess the question is: how many sequels to megablockbusters do you know that have become events in their own right?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:23 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
I think we'll know better after "Coming 2 America" run. If it's an event film like BP then the sky is the limit!
Hell I wonder what a Wakanda/Zamunda cross over movie would do?
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Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:24 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
But of course unforseeable factors come into play. No one in their right mind would have predicted $300+ million for Thor 3 right after Thor: The Dark World came out. Or $400+ million vor Captain America 3 after The Winter Soldier.
This thread is just for some pondering and discussion of the potential.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:26 pm |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11015 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
I agree with Lecter
165 open 425 domestic 850 worldwide
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Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:30 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67092
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
Magnus wrote: If there isn't any other big budget movie with a black/diverse cast from now until BP2 Knowing how Hollywood operates, I suspect for the next few years all we'll see is big budget movies with a black/diverse cast.
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Tue Feb 20, 2018 8:02 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
Algren wrote: Magnus wrote: If there isn't any other big budget movie with a black/diverse cast from now until BP2 Knowing how Hollywood operates, I suspect for the next few years all we'll see is big budget movies with a black/diverse cast. Coming to America 2 will be the next event film http://variety.com/2017/film/news/comin ... 202575019/
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Tue Feb 20, 2018 8:06 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
Yeah, no...
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Tue Feb 20, 2018 8:07 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
Untitled Marvel II has just been moved up to 02/12/21 from 07/30/21. Assuming this is BP2.
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Tue Jul 10, 2018 1:57 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
I had the same thought as well. Makes sense. Why mess with a release date that works (you hear that May Star Wars movies?)
I’d even move it up to 2/5. Maximize as many weekends in black history month.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Tue Jul 10, 2018 11:29 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67092
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
Daniel Kaluuya won't be in the sequel either. That's going to hurt it, imo. With it being so secretive it feels like they're making a bare bones Black Panther sequel, sort of like a "Black Panther: Other Stories From Wakanda".
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Wed Jul 13, 2022 10:57 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22720 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
Hard to say until we see a trailer. The loss of Chadwick could go either way pending how they use his loss in the marketing. The addition of Namor will likely help though.
At the moment I see a small 8-10% dip which would still have it make $610-640m (but perhaps fall short of TG Maverick)
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Thu Jul 14, 2022 12:08 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
Yea I think the MCU will bounce back from Thor 4’s tepid reaction.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Thu Jul 14, 2022 1:51 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32123 Location: the last free city
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
Wakanda Forever is going to top 200m opening weekend. Especially with this week leaks 200m OW 500m domestic 1.2 billion WW
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Thu Jul 14, 2022 8:03 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23885 Location: Classified
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
While a trailer would be nice, I like the coy marketing strategy for this. Both Dr Strange and Thor promised more than they delivered (neither was an actual team-up movie), which I think is the main reason their legs were so poor. No Way Home obviously did not promise anything other than a couple doctors and then way overdelivered with beloved characters.
I know Namor and Killmonger aren't at that level, but holding them back from the trailers would be smart in my opinion. Just give us a general sense of what Wakanda is going to look like without T'challa and people will turn up.
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Mon Jul 18, 2022 2:25 pm |
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FedoraTheExplora
Waitress in LA
Joined: Fri May 21, 2021 5:38 pm Posts: 22
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Predictions for Black Panther: Wakanda Forever?
I think this will blow up. The trailer has gotten rave reactions from just about every Marvel/MCU fan on the internet.
$200-210M opening $500-600M domestically (will be more frontloaded than the first one) $500-600M overseas $1B+ WW
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Sat Jul 23, 2022 10:13 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67092
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Re: Predictions for Black Panther: Wakanda Forever?
I'm not sure its opening will go that high.
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Last edited by Algren on Sun Jul 24, 2022 12:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Jul 23, 2022 10:35 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67092
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
Great initial teaser. I don't think they could do any better than that. Not sure how well it does as it's only a teaser, but it looks epic. I'm interested in how this plays with and complements and affects The Woman King and Avatar: The Way of Water as that teaser gave me vibes of both of those films.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat Jul 23, 2022 11:30 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11593
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
It's the best teaser I've seen all year. It's a sequel to one of the top 5 films of all time. Fun that we're getting two of those within 5 weeks of each other.
I think this has a dark horse chance to beat NWH. Will join TGM to be the zeitgeist film that pulls all quadrants.
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Sun Jul 24, 2022 12:10 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20402 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
Teaser should have shown the new Black Panther. Felt a bit empty.
Should do well. Marvel is set through the end of Phase 6 with the announcements today. Can't imagine anything other than maybe Blade bombing. Avengers 5&6 will be HUGE, as will Fantastic 4.
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Sun Jul 24, 2022 12:15 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11593
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
Feeling this will get a lot of love at the Oscars too. Academy wants to turn around ratings and if it delivers they're also acknowledging the profound impact BP has had in pop culture.
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Sun Jul 24, 2022 12:39 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67092
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
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Sun Jul 24, 2022 1:05 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38190
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
The Alright mash up was cool, I still feel like it needs a bit more male power though to reach the type of numbers of last time
Phase 5 looks ok for Marvel like 4, but F4 and Avengers 5 and 6 is a great start to Phase 6
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Sun Jul 24, 2022 3:00 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21907 Location: Places
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Re: Black Panther 2 predictions
this movie should have opened February 2020, its a gigantic fuck up that they didn't straight up fast track this.
Ledger's Joker and Boseman's Black Panther are the 2 biggest pop culture break outs of the 2000s/2010s and neither got a sequel.
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Sun Jul 24, 2022 10:56 am |
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