Author |
Message |
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
May 13-15 Predictions
Firestarter 8 Family Camp 6
I have seen more ads for Family Camp than Firestarter lol. Big poster at the theater but almost no trailers that I've seen. Feels like a direct to Peacock movie sent to theaters only to fulfill a contractual obligation
Family Camp should receive a little boost from the faith audience but it looks terrible
Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness -65%
|
Fri May 06, 2022 10:20 am |
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
I had the Family Camp trailer with CODA and Sonic. It was probably with The Bad Guys as well. It won't do much though. 2-5 Million which would be perfectly fine for it.
Firestarter - 5-6 Million
I hope Montana Story gets a decent amount of theaters. Enough to open here anyway. Looks great.
|
Fri May 06, 2022 11:21 am |
|
|
lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
A little over 50% is my prediction.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
|
Sat May 07, 2022 1:52 am |
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Gonna go with 66% drop for MoM.
|
Sat May 07, 2022 11:36 am |
|
|
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23789 Location: Classified
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Big drop for Multiverse. Marvel films usually drop around 60% no matter what the reception is. And while I don't think MoM will have bad WoM (got some applause after my showing), there is one thing to consider... (not a huge spoiler, but I'll tag it anyways) The ads made this seem like a must-see follow-up to No Way Home. Multiverse of Madness is alot of things, but it is not that. Spider-Man is only mentioned once and the events from that movie have no impact on this story whatsoever. It's way more of a sequel to Wandavision than any of the previous movies.
|
Sat May 07, 2022 2:39 pm |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
it will fall 65% in its second weekend. But competition is light so as long as they keep it off Disney plus, it should save face going forward.
|
Sat May 07, 2022 4:13 pm |
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Gonna go with 67% drop, $62m 2nd weekend.
|
Tue May 10, 2022 12:46 am |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Doctor Strange's sunday was already below GOTG vol 2 and Civil War. Big drop incoming
|
Tue May 10, 2022 10:05 am |
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: Doctor Strange's sunday was already below GOTG vol 2 and Civil War. Big drop incoming Yah probably looking at -67% / -71% drop. and $400m domestic not looking likely
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
|
Tue May 10, 2022 12:59 pm |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
It will hit 400m. It has much less competition and should be able to hold onto theaters a lot longer than those films did which will help its legs.
|
Tue May 10, 2022 1:07 pm |
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: It will hit 400m. It has much less competition and should be able to hold onto theaters a lot longer than those films did which will help its legs. not much confidence in that today than I had on friday lol
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
|
Tue May 10, 2022 1:15 pm |
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
... doesn't seem like a sub-2.15 multiplier will happen for it to miss $400m. WoM isn't bad.
|
Tue May 10, 2022 1:18 pm |
|
|
Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
I was a little concerned by how frontloaded the weekend was, but Monday's number is a little more promising. If there was more blockbuster competition it might be in danger of missing $400M (it's probably dropping 65-70% this weekend), but Top Gun being its only competition over the next four weekends will help keep it afloat.
Firestarter is probably DOA. Kind of a bummer because even if it's trash Universal probably could have gotten a solid opening off of being the first major horror movie in two months, the Stephen King brand, and the Friday the 13th release date.
Firestarter - $10.7 million Family Camp - $1-2 million?
|
Tue May 10, 2022 5:19 pm |
|
|
O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11518
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Everything Everywhere's Monday per theater drop was only -4.6%. In an empty marketplace hopefully it can stabilize and hold onto theaters.
|
Tue May 10, 2022 9:39 pm |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Doctor Strange has held pace with Civil War over the weekdays. If it continues to hold pace it would be a 61% drop to 72m this weekend.
|
Thu May 12, 2022 11:24 am |
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: Doctor Strange has held pace with Civil War over the weekdays. If it continues to hold pace it would be a 61% drop to 72m this weekend. that would be a VICTORY if it happens. Anything in the low 60% drop would be nice
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
|
Fri May 13, 2022 11:42 am |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
375k start for Firestarter. Looking like a 3-4m weekend
|
Fri May 13, 2022 12:38 pm |
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: 375k start for Firestarter. Looking like a 3-4m weekend A Friday the 13th fail this time.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
|
Fri May 13, 2022 12:39 pm |
|
|
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23789 Location: Classified
|
Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Should have had a legit horror movie instead of a hybrid opening on this date. Even Men probably would have done decently.
|
Fri May 13, 2022 12:45 pm |
|
|