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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18897 Location: San Diego
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Summer 2021 predictions
... welp.
The main "big" releases are: Cruella A Quiet Place II Conjuring 3 In the Heights Fast 9 Top Gun: Maverick Jungle Cruise Black Widow Space Jam 2 The Suicide Squad Free Guy
... so what will gross over $50m? $75m? Will Black Widow defy the odds and open with more than $40m?
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Wed Mar 24, 2021 12:31 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
Still seems to early to know for sure how vaccination will affect things. I’d bet Black Widow will be the first to gross 100m total
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Wed Mar 24, 2021 12:37 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18897 Location: San Diego
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
I hope something moves to Black Widow's May date. Disney literally could've just released King's Man, not long that's hotly anticipated.
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Wed Mar 24, 2021 1:23 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
Top grossing film will be Demon Slayer. It's up to us Americans to push it over The Eight Hundred.
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Wed Mar 24, 2021 3:02 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
AQP2 will do very well imo
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Wed Mar 24, 2021 9:10 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18897 Location: San Diego
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
Wrath of Man starring Jason Statham, directed by Guy Ritchie takes Black Widow's date. Sure.
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Thu Mar 25, 2021 1:03 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
I think In the Heights will be a bigger hit on HBO Max than in theaters.
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Mon May 31, 2021 1:36 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32115 Location: the last free city
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote: ... so what will gross over $50m? $75m? Will Black Widow defy the odds and open with more than $40m? Conjuring 3 30/80 In the Heights 60/150 Fast 9 100/200 Top Gun: Maverick 80/220 Jungle Cruise 35/85 Black Widow 150/300 Space Jam 2 50/120 The Suicide Squad 100/250 Free Guy 30/65
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Mon May 31, 2021 2:12 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18897 Location: San Diego
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
I think In the Heights will do well. I'm thinking low 20s opening.
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Mon May 31, 2021 2:59 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
I’m not a musical person at all and I’m pretty hyped for ITH. That Disney+ Hamilton release was the best advertising it could get.
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Mon May 31, 2021 3:47 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
I want to watch it for sure but I don’t know if I’ll see it in a theater. I want to but it’s free on hbo Max which I have for 3 months so...
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Mon May 31, 2021 4:11 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48626 Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
Already have my tickets for In the Heights! So excited to see it on a Dolby screen. I think it’s going to smash.
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Mon May 31, 2021 4:18 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32115 Location: the last free city
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
Libs wrote: Already have my tickets for In the Heights! So excited to see it on a Dolby screen. I think it’s going to smash. Big Time!
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Mon May 31, 2021 4:37 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote: I think In the Heights will do well. I'm thinking low 20s opening. Agree. That would be a great opening given that it's available on HBOMax as well
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Mon May 31, 2021 7:52 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
It is difficult to predict legs in the current era. But I will try my best.
Conjuring 3 - $23 / $55M
In the Heights - $28M / $85M
Fast 9 - $77M / $180M - bad wom in China, but might just be because of the John Cena controversy?
Top Gun: Maverick - not releasing
Jungle Cruise - $15M / $50M
Black Widow - $50M / $200M - I want to see this in theaters, but I'll probably buy it as soon as 3am hits despite my pledge to not pay over $6 for rentals anymore (Spiral being on itunes right now will test that too).
Space Jam 2 - $50M / $125M - maybe too optimistic with the HBO Max release, but this is the most anticipated movie of the summer according to my social media timelines (90s kids LOVE Space Jam)
The Suicide Squad - $66M / $150M
Free Guy - $25M / $90M
Old - $35M / $100M
Hotel Transmania (is this going to be about a vampire becoming a werewolf?) - $35M / $120M
Snake Eyes - $17M / $40M - this would probably do even worse sans covid
Candyman - $50M / $180M - we should be back to normal by this point .. maybe?
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Tue Jun 01, 2021 12:42 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
No way The Suicide Squad out opens Black Widow.
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Tue Jun 01, 2021 1:25 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7172 Location: Wisconsin
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
I'm not a fan of LeBron. I really hope it doesn't do that well. I enjoyed the first, but that was because Jordan was awesome and way more fun to watch than anyone else at the time, and it had Bill Murray.
In The Heights should be huge. The thing that could hold it back is HBO Max. I finally broke down and got Max and have watched the Friends Reunion, Greenland, WW84, and the 4hr Justice League. I'll be watching In The Heights right away when it comes out. If I'm really into it, I'll see it in the theater as well. Still, I wouldn't be surprised if it made over 100M at the box office.
The only other movies I want to see on that list are Black Widow, Suicide Squad, and Free Guy. I'm not paying premium for Black Widow at home, that will be a theater movie. I was meh on the first Suicide Squad, so I'm not sure if I'll see that in the theater. Free Guy just looks fun and I'll see it any way that's available.
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Tue Jun 01, 2021 3:14 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
Conjuring 3 20/50 In the Heights 45/160 Fast 9 100/200 Jungle Cruise 40/105 Black Widow 120/270 Space Jam 2 40/120 The Suicide Squad 70/200 Free Guy 25/60
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Wed Jun 02, 2021 9:48 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
I don't see how Black Widow opens less than Fast 9 now given that Cruella managed to open with $21.5m with big competition. BW will surely have bigger marketing, more appeal, way better brand name AND Fast 9 would have set the benchmark by then for movie going public.
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Wed Jun 02, 2021 9:55 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18897 Location: San Diego
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
Conjuring 3 is doing very well in my area... if it does over $25m that'd be very good.
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Fri Jun 04, 2021 7:45 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote: I don't see how Black Widow opens less than Fast 9 now given that Cruella managed to open with $21.5m with big competition. BW will surely have bigger marketing, more appeal, way better brand name AND Fast 9 would have set the benchmark by then for movie going public. Yes BW should bear out Fast 9. Maybe some are concerned over BW’s Disney plus release impacting OW?
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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Fri Jun 04, 2021 8:56 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote: Conjuring 3 is doing very well in my area... if it does over $25m that'd be very good. Yeah I'm looking at some showtimes in my area it doesn't quite have sellouts but it is close to sellouts in a lot of screenings, and they've added more over the course of the day. I think the pessimism surrounding it might have been unfounded (but we'll know for sure in 13-15 hours).
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Fri Jun 04, 2021 9:19 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
Jonathan wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: Conjuring 3 is doing very well in my area... if it does over $25m that'd be very good. Yeah I'm looking at some showtimes in my area it doesn't quite have sellouts but it is close to sellouts in a lot of screenings, and they've added more over the course of the day. I think the pessimism surrounding it might have been unfounded (but we'll know for sure in 13-15 hours). C3 may be closer to $30m if it's walkups are excellent. I hope In the Heights will breakout next weekend.
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Fri Jun 04, 2021 11:03 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
Yeah Conjuring universe still has good pull. Aside from stupid scheduling I hope audience does up for it as I'm sure it's trailers would have featured before AQP2.
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Fri Jun 04, 2021 11:51 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: Summer 2021 predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote: Yeah Conjuring universe still has good pull. Aside from stupid scheduling I hope audience does up for it as I'm sure it's trailers would have featured before AQP2. Weirdly enough it wasn't with AQP2 at mine but it had been with pretty much all of the other movies I was seeing before that.
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Sat Jun 05, 2021 2:45 am |
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