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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22197 Location: Places
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 Friday #s (Early)
TROS - $26m
RIP HORRID AWFUL DISASTER
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 12:06 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6325 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
So this would be an over 55% drop right?
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 12:20 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25345 Location: Classified
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Hmm that would actually be pretty bad and also kind of negate all the good weekdays it had. I need at least $90M to believe it can beat Rogue One.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 12:36 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19406 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Similar weekend to Smaug (which dropped 4% from the 26th) would put the weekend at 75.5m weekend, 365m cume by end of weekend.
500m will still happen but over Rogue One may not.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 12:49 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Yeah that would not be a great number for TROS at all, especially considering it was supposed to have a pretty good hold this weekend. If it sticks it will end up being a lot closer to $70-$75M than $80-$90M.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 12:51 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Hopefully it doesn't go below this number like it has on most days
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 1:21 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32607 Location: the last free city
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Magnus wrote: Everyone was watching Baby Yoda today. #ThisIsTheWay Jack Sparrow wrote: Hopefully it doesn't go below this number like it has on most days It will
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:05 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Looks like it didn't improve (but also didn't go down) based on latest update at BOM
The Rise of Skywalker - 26 Jumanji 3 - 11.25 Frozen 2 - 6 Little Women - 5.5
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 10:21 am |
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emste26
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Jun 13, 2015 1:43 pm Posts: 167
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Wow at Knives Out. Should leg it’s way to around 140m.
Also pretty good for Jumanji and Frozen 2. Pretty unspectacular Christmas weekend otherwise.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 12:59 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19406 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Little Women is looking at a high 20s 5-day. Very good #.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 1:03 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
emste26 wrote: Wow at Knives Out. Should leg it’s way to around 140m.
Also pretty good for Jumanji and Frozen 2. Pretty unspectacular Christmas weekend otherwise. KO may have a chance at $150m. However, even if it finishes at 140m, it is 30m more than what we expected last week. The fact it had the best drop last weekend against Star Wars was a fantastic sign of its fantastic box office run.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 1:17 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Good numbers for Jumanji, Frozen 2 and Little Women and that is a pretty great hold for KO, but man is this an underwhelming Christmas weekend and I doubt next year will be any better.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 1:19 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19406 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Next year looks rough. None of the December 2020 films look like 200m+ grossers unless Dune is appealing.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 1:34 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25345 Location: Classified
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Croods could if it actually comes out. Heartwarming family comedies about families doing family things always do well this time of year.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 2:02 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Knives Out making more than Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is very possible at this point, and would be one of the biggest box office upsets of the year, IMO. Helluva run that movie has had.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 4:11 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6325 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
publicenemy#1 wrote: Next year looks rough. None of the December 2020 films look like 200m+ grossers unless Dune is appealing. Dune West Side Story Uncharted The Croods 2 Tom and Jerry The Last Duel (Matt Damon & Ben Affleck pairing) The Tomorrow War (Chris Pratt sci-fi action) News of the World (Tom Hanks Western) Maybe no mega grossers but I see a lot of appealing films there. It almost seems like an old school schedule from early 00s or 90s with original content and first-time adaptations.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 7:23 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23335 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
It’s so nice to see a good film like Knives Out get the BO it deserves. It’s had a second life at Christmas like so few Thanksgiving recesses (outside family or Christmas films) get these days. Amazing stuff!
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 7:56 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23335 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Barrabás wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: Next year looks rough. None of the December 2020 films look like 200m+ grossers unless Dune is appealing. Dune West Side Story Uncharted The Croods 2 Tom and Jerry The Last Duel (Matt Damon & Ben Affleck pairing) The Tomorrow War (Chris Pratt sci-fi action) News of the World (Tom Hanks Western) Maybe no mega grossers but I see a lot of appealing films there. It almost seems like an old school schedule from early 00s or 90s with original content and first-time adaptations. Yes I think that’s an interesting line-up and personally prefer that lineup than a SW/Jumanji combo. It would be great if Dune could be a mini (200m+) FOTR but I don’t think it will be that accessible. Excited for it though.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 7:59 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15553 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
TROS is going full Matrix Revolutions with the only difference being that fan loyalty prevented a collapse OW. Given the normal holds this weekend it’s probably more frontloaded than the twilight movies.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:43 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
MadGez wrote: It’s so nice to see a good film like Knives Out get the BO it deserves. It’s had a second life at Christmas like so few Thanksgiving recesses (outside family or Christmas films) get these days. Amazing stuff! Agreed. With how shitty everything else is doing it only makes sense that iti would remain as one of the popular choices over the holidays. I only wish that Ford v. Ferrari was getting a similar boost too considering how great that movie is as well. MadGez wrote: Barrabás wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: Next year looks rough. None of the December 2020 films look like 200m+ grossers unless Dune is appealing. Dune West Side Story Uncharted The Croods 2 Tom and Jerry The Last Duel (Matt Damon & Ben Affleck pairing) The Tomorrow War (Chris Pratt sci-fi action) News of the World (Tom Hanks Western) Maybe no mega grossers but I see a lot of appealing films there. It almost seems like an old school schedule from early 00s or 90s with original content and first-time adaptations. Yes I think that’s an interesting line-up and personally prefer that lineup than a SW/Jumanji combo. It would be great if Dune could be a mini (200m+) FOTR but I don’t think it will be that accessible. Excited for it though. I am crazy excited for Dune, but have no idea about its BO prospects. If it breaks out that would be awesome, but I got a gut feeling that it will end up going down the same path as Blade Runner 2049 which would be a shame, because that movie didn't deserve to flop either. I'm all for original content though, and while I'm glad that next year won't be so easy to predict those studios have a lot going against them when it comes to marketing those movies.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:47 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Wow early Saturday numbers from BOT are 22.5 for TROS, 10.5 for JUM and 4.75 for either Frozen or LW. That would be an awful fucking number for TROS and would ensure a sub $70M second weekend.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:52 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
That would be awful for all three. In 2013 with similar timeliness almost all movies saw a small increase but it looks like all three movies dropped this time.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 10:21 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35236 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Hopefully they're wrong. Don't know why they'd drop so much.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 10:36 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3220
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Wish TROS had opened a week earlier. More Holiday runway.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 10:38 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25345 Location: Classified
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 Re: Friday #s (Early)
Wtf. So we’re looking at a $62-65M weekend? So long Rogue One. Rogue One was awesome though so it deserves its place as the third highest grossing Star Wars movie.
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Sat Dec 28, 2019 11:19 pm |
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