It will do close to $80m or maybe even $75m on OD....the midnights will surely reduce its Friday or Saturday will see a much bigger drop. Remember even with inflation such big increase on OD will mean much more admissions.

No Heath Ledger = Absolutely Not

The combination of Joker and Heath ledger surely helped last one, I don't think that will hamper this one getting a bigger number but it will not allow to have more tickets sold.....and please stop with those ridiculous $100m OD for this one....whatever be the case Twilight fanbase is much more rapid fanbase than Batman and I don't see BD2 coming close to $43m midnight record set by HP, this one without 3D would have to settle for $35m but will then decrease the Friday (only day) number as well, if not it will see a bigger Saturday drop.

I cannot see TDK2 selling more tickets then TDK overall, perhaps opening weekend...

I think 170-180 million is a good bet.

ooh yeah... I'm still in BTW.

If it gets such a large opening it will likley end up near 500 million rather then 400 million.

Yeah regardless of the opening I see this coming close to $500m rather than $400m.

I think with inflation and bigger IMAX boost, similar admissions would make the OW close to $185m, if there is an increase of admissions over OW then I think $200m+ OW will be a better bet.

BOM's adjusted figure for TDK's opening weekend factors in the 3D prices to get their 2011 average ticket price. The average 2D ticket price is currently $7.60. Assuming a 3% rise by next year would put this at $7.83. Now, for IMAX. I've estimated that by the time TDKR releases, the average IMAX ticket price will be $16.04.

Next, BOM estimates that TDK sold 22,062,900 tickets on its opening weekend. TDK made $6.2 million from 94 IMAX screens in 2008, which is, going by 2008 prices, roughly 413,000 tickets sold in IMAX. DH2 was somewhere just under 1 million tickets sold, so I'm going to guess that at the least TDKR sells about 1 million IMAX tickets. Good for $16.0 million. This leaves 21,062,900 tickets leftover, at 2D prices, this would equate to $164,922,507.

Put the two together, and TDKR should match TDK's OW attendance record at $181 million. Anything above that and we have a new record. Unless the IMAX share is huge, anything in the mid to high 180s is a new record

Yes I am thinking IMAX boost will be huge because the movie being shot in that format, plus Nolan backing it as well. I can see a very similar boost for MI4 as well, plus ofcourse TDKR's trailer before it will add to nostalgia

Yes, but within a weekend it is much easier to reach the absolute capacity for IMAX gross than regular gross, due to the limited number of screens. The IMAX share I'm anticipating is 240% of TDK's IMAX OW, so right now I'm not sure it could go much higher.

On the other hand, MI4 is currently tracking for $16 million over the weekend, which would be the record. If that is the case, then TDKR's IMAX share could be gigantic, possibly over 15% of its weekend ticket sales.

In that case, it could go as high as $200 million with TDK's 22 million tickets. Throw in a 10% bump and this is at 24.2 million tickets, and $220 million for the weekend.

Exactly my point...thank you

But hey this does not mean I am supporting that figure, I see a decline in admissions overall

Of course. Its just a possibility

I'm not advocating the figure either, I see this hitting $184 million

THAT WAS THE MOST AMAZING THING EVER HOLY FUCKING SHIT!!!!























...will be my reaction when I see the prologue Thursday with MI4, because fuck driving an hour for just a prologue.

LOL

Thursday prologue & M:I4
Friday new trailer

what an awesome 1,2,3 combo

prologue is teh shiz

Get hyped!

^Agreed. Eventhough we can't really judge Hardy's perfomance based off of 6 minutes of footage. He looks badass though and barely recognizable. Also, I think the IMAX experiance is going to make this movie HUGE. With so many people getting sick of fucking 3D it's about time we got a movie that could possibly be a game changer for the IMAX format.

Nothing gamechanging about IMAX, it's basically a bigger picture, with a different aspect ratio. Wow!

I get IMAX experience everytime. What i do? I sit in the front rows.

LOL

That doesn't give you IMAX's ultra-increased resolution.

Oh, i'd love to have an IMAX near me, i'd watch everything there... in 3D!!! Oh and it should have a nice new 4K (or even higher if one's available) digital projector coz i dunno if the old 70mm analog ones can handle higher framerates.