Naah I think people are over-estimating Potter effect. The chances have increased though I still see it making $180m which would still be more than enough to break the OW record both in terms of gross as well as admissions.

I'm in only if you raise it to $200m.

$100+ mil OD. $210+ mil OW

$100+ mil OD. $210+ mil OW

200m+ baby

next thursday night I'll be ready to up my prediction to 205m

I'll go with 175M opening.

Nolan has gained a ton of good will with the reception to Inception. His name recognition may not be quite up there with Cameron's, but with each film he gains an extra footing on cementing his place in pop culture.

Also, Avenger's potential next year is overhyped.

Are These The Most Anticipated 2012 Films?
By NIKKI FINKE | Friday December 9, 2011 @ 5:58am PST
Tags: 2012 Most Anticipated Films, Fandango, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2

Comments 50 Thousands of film fans responded to the survey, which was posted on Fandango.com during the first weeks of December. According to male moviegoers, the most anticipated blockbuster of 2012 will be Warner Bros’ The Hobbit, while for females, it’s Summit’s Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn, Part 2. When it comes to remakes, men are most anticipating Sony’s Total Recall while women are most looking forward to Warner Bros’ The Great Gatsby. Several studios are missing from these lists, so it looks like some marketing departments have to play catch-up in the coming months:

THE MOST ANTICIPATED BLOCKBUSTER IN 2012:
According to Men:
1. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros)
2. The Avengers (Marvel/Disney)
3. The Dark Knight Rises (Warner Bros)
4. The Bourne Legacy (Universal)
5. Men in Black III (Sony)

According to Women:
1. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn, Part 2 (Summit)
2. The Hunger Games (Lionsgate)
3. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros)
4. Dark Shadows (Warner Bros)
5. The Avengers (Marvel/Disney)

THE MOST ANTICIPATED REMAKE IN 2012:
According to Men:
1. Total Recall (Sony)
2. The Amazing Spider-Man (Sony)
3. The Great Gatsby (Warner Bros)
4. Snow White And The Huntsman (Universal)
5. Mirror Mirror (Relativity)

According to Women:
1. Snow White And The Huntsman (Universal)
2. The Great Gatsby (Warner Bros)
3. Mirror Mirror (Relativity)
4. Total Recall (Sony)
5. The Amazing Spider-Man (Sony)

And a few minutes later, aboard a plane, we hear Bane speak for the first time in a horrible, strangled tone. Tom Hardy's Bane is a substantial, but strangely broken man. He's a bruiser, but not exactly massive. He also struggles with his elocution, which may be intentional, but nevertheless resulted in lots of puzzled post-screening discussions. Honestly, I caught probably half of Bane's dialogue, and every colleague I spoke with had similar difficulty understanding him. I hate to cause problems for Nolan at this stage of the filmmaking process, but if Bane sounds like this throughout the film, it could be an issue.

The AVENGERS is brand new and has the potential for many movies and character crossovers.. TDKR is to many BATMAN 3 minus all the hoopla involving an actors death to sell the movie.. [b]Show me where the hype exists for this movie outside the internet??? Also, Nikki's recent Poll and results should be considered with more men and women anticipating The AVENGERS with no mention of TDKR.. Ouch[/b]

Based on a great deal more polls, both internet and beyond (Scream), TDKR has the clear advantage over the Avengers. It has the greatest comic book film ever as a predecessor (TDK, a film which made more than any other film of the genre thanks to phenomenal performances).

Avengers is over-hyped for 2 main reasons.

It's not the first time a live action crossover has occurred. Freddy vs. Jason did so nearly a decade ago. The crossover appeal is just a gimmick, one that's not nearly as effective as people seem to think it is.

Also, people seem to be drastically overrating the drawing potential of Thor/Cap/Hulk compared to that of Iron Man's. Thor and Cap had 3D ticket prices to add to their totals and still didn't come anywhere close to Iron Man's gross. I fail to see how this film is going to be viewed by the majority of the movie going public as anything but Iron Man 3 featuring Thor, Cap and Hulk.

Also, TDKR has Nolan as a director, and given what he can do outside of Batman (Inception) I'm pretty sure his name will have a substantially larger draw in the public domain than Whedon's.

next thursday night I'll be ready to up my prediction to 205m

pretty sure Rev and BJ will eventually be predicting 250m OW by the time the film comes out. And I'll probably join them.

pretty sure Rev and BJ will eventually be predicting 250m OW by the time the film comes out. And I'll probably join them.

pretty sure Rev and BJ will eventually be predicting 250m OW by the time the film comes out. And I'll probably join them.

Fucking peer pressure.

I'll bold anyone who wants to join at $200 million.