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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
redfirebird2008 wrote: Corpse wrote: Magnus wrote: redfirebird2008 wrote: There are reports that some IMAX theaters will be running it around the clock for the entire weekend. I think it's going to be very big on IMAX, bigger than anyone thinks is possible because any Batman fan that knows about the filming of this movie will want to see it on IMAX. I believe 300 holds the record for IMAX opening with 3.6m. I think TDK should shatter this probably and get around 9m from IMAX. However, the amounst of "boost" from IMAX will only be 4.5m-5m. IMAX tickets are about double the amount of regular price tickets (at least where I'm from). So fact is that the 9m from IMAX would have been 4.5m regular, so the extra boost would be 4.5m. Either way, TDK is a lock to break the record and a lock for the 2nd biggest July OW all-time and the biggest OW of the year. Im pretty sure HP5 holds the IMAX record. I doubt that. 300 was absolutely enormous in IMAX. I saw it at a theater that had a bowling alley in the complex. I showed up around 3 hours early and got tickets, then went bowling for a while. Came back around an hour and a half before the thing started and there was a huge line waiting to get into the IMAX theater. Luckily I still got a decent seat that wasn't up at the front, but I was pretty surprised at how packed the theater was considering it was a Monday. It took awhile, but I remember there were reports HP5 was on track to beat 300's IMAX record last AUG, and it did end up beating it near the end of AUG. Almost 100% of that.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 5:51 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Magnus wrote: Corpse wrote: Im pretty sure HP5 holds the IMAX record. Oops. Forgot about that Either way, I still think TDK will do 9m in 3-days. Hp5 did 7.3m in 5-days, but I think TDK has a lot more going for it. It'll be released in more IMAX theaters, will have more showtimes (as redfirebird said, there are reports of non-stops howings), and demand for IMAX is a lot higher for TDK than it was for HP5. There's already reports of sellouts a month in advance. That is ridiculous. If HP5 did $7.3 million, I think TDK will make at least $10 million. How many tickets is that? Mine were $13.50 each but I know down in the south the prices are cheaper than up north so it's probably quite a bit higher in other places. You need around 715,000 tickets sold at $14 a pop nationwide, but my guess is the average IMAX price is higher than that. If you just factor in the big cities across the country, there are millions of Batfans in those cities that are drooling to see it in IMAX.
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 5:51 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Corpse wrote: redfirebird2008 wrote: Corpse wrote: Magnus wrote: redfirebird2008 wrote: There are reports that some IMAX theaters will be running it around the clock for the entire weekend. I think it's going to be very big on IMAX, bigger than anyone thinks is possible because any Batman fan that knows about the filming of this movie will want to see it on IMAX. I believe 300 holds the record for IMAX opening with 3.6m. I think TDK should shatter this probably and get around 9m from IMAX. However, the amounst of "boost" from IMAX will only be 4.5m-5m. IMAX tickets are about double the amount of regular price tickets (at least where I'm from). So fact is that the 9m from IMAX would have been 4.5m regular, so the extra boost would be 4.5m. Either way, TDK is a lock to break the record and a lock for the 2nd biggest July OW all-time and the biggest OW of the year. Im pretty sure HP5 holds the IMAX record. I doubt that. 300 was absolutely enormous in IMAX. I saw it at a theater that had a bowling alley in the complex. I showed up around 3 hours early and got tickets, then went bowling for a while. Came back around an hour and a half before the thing started and there was a huge line waiting to get into the IMAX theater. Luckily I still got a decent seat that wasn't up at the front, but I was pretty surprised at how packed the theater was considering it was a Monday. It took awhile, but I remember there were reports HP5 was on track to beat 300's IMAX record last AUG, and it did end up beating it near the end of AUG. Almost 100% of that. Ah, thanks. Magnus said it made $7.3 million. Pretty damn good. I think TDK will shatter it.
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 5:52 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
I was talking about it's total IMAX run/gross. Quote: Through 7 weeks in release, the film has grossed more than $24 million domestically (91 screens) and more than $11 million overseas (from 52 screens). http://entertainmentnow.wordpress.com/2 ... -potter-5/It was at 287/288 total at this time, so it may have hit 25M from IMAX, not sure.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 5:59 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Corpse wrote: I was talking about it's total IMAX run/gross. Quote: Through 7 weeks in release, the film has grossed more than $24 million domestically (91 screens) and more than $11 million overseas (from 52 screens). http://entertainmentnow.wordpress.com/2 ... -potter-5/It was at 287/288 total at this time, so it may have hit 25M from IMAX, not sure. Batman Begins set the total IMAX record at some point around $20 million. Not sure if 300 passed it or not, but HP5 definitely did.
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 6:11 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
nice, tracking should explode over the next couple wks.
400m+
_________________The Force Awakens
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 6:30 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22182 Location: Places
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
in reguards to imax- Cant handle da truth wrote: The thing everybody needs to remember is IMAX. Imax ticket prices range from $16-20; they're 600-7000 seat theaters. Every IMAX sell out TDK gets is potentially $14,000. It is going to be getting quite a few of them. There is talk here- http://recordonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/a ... S/80620004That imax theaters may show TDK round the CLOCK opening weekend-for 72 straight hours- to cash in on the immense potential. At 2 1/2 hours, thats 28 showing over the weekend. Thats roughly $392,000 in one weekend. Thats the tip-top of potential, but still... tracking = 
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 6:49 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6317 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Holy bitch, this is going to be huge. Tracking at 100m 4 weeks before release....not something you see every day.
_________________ .
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 7:45 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
It really is pretty wild, WB really made a huge turn around from BBs marketing. They've done an amazing job getting awareness out. The viral marketing for example might have not hit a tremendous amount of the general public, but what it does is start buzz that eventually goes from one person to hundreds of others.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 8:16 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22182 Location: Places
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
The fact that fabio is saying "low 100's" is being lowballed when the films 4 WEEKS AWAY is really astonishing.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 8:36 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Cant handle da truth wrote: The fact that fabio is saying "low 100's" is being lowballed when the films 4 WEEKS AWAY is really astonishing. From what I can tell, it's tracking the same as Indy was 3 weeks before its release. Has the same awareness levels. Indy made $150 million million 5-day, which would probably be a $120 million 3-day so it is definitely possible that they are lowballing it.
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 8:58 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Magnus wrote: El Pollo Loco wrote: It really is pretty wild, WB really made a huge turn around from BBs marketing. They've done an amazing job getting awareness out. The viral marketing for example might have not hit a tremendous amount of the general public, but what it does is start buzz that eventually goes from one person to hundreds of others. WB really has just done a massive turnaround. After dissapointing with both BB and SR, they have come out banging with this. Has there been a better improvement in a marketing campaign for a sequel? Doubt it. Nope. Their great marketing really started with 300. Sometimes cleaning house can work wonders and 300 was proof that they got their marketing department functioning properly again. And now with TDK, they have come up with one of the best marketing campaigns ever and definitely one of the coolest viral campaigns. This is definitely the best turnaround marketing for a sequel that I can remember.
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 9:46 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6707
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Easily the best ever campaign. Hopefully they keep it up till the release. Then with a mammoth release(4300 theaters) it could challenge DMC's opening.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 9:58 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
For anyone that doesn't know... TDK is ALL OVER Myspace's front page... like... 24/7... 
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 10:15 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Munk·E wrote: For anyone that doesn't know... TDK is ALL OVER Myspace's front page... like... 24/7...  I hope they have that sucker paid up all the way until the release date. What a great way to reach millions of young adults and teenagers (and hell, people in their 30's and 40's as well I guess)! 
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Sun Jun 22, 2008 10:22 pm |
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Intheyear2000
Newbie
Joined: Mon Jun 23, 2008 12:22 am Posts: 4
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
136 anyone?
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Mon Jun 23, 2008 12:49 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22182 Location: Places
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
redfirebird2008 wrote: Cant handle da truth wrote: The fact that fabio is saying "low 100's" is being lowballed when the films 4 WEEKS AWAY is really astonishing. From what I can tell, it's tracking the same as Indy was 3 weeks before its release. Has the same awareness levels. Indy made $150 million million 5-day, which would probably be a $120 million 3-day so it is definitely possible that they are lowballing it. Indy was at 89 awareness 2 weeks out, this is minimum 94 at 4 weeks. There hasnt been a film with such early knowledge since Sith.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Mon Jun 23, 2008 12:53 am |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Cant handle da truth wrote: redfirebird2008 wrote: Cant handle da truth wrote: The fact that fabio is saying "low 100's" is being lowballed when the films 4 WEEKS AWAY is really astonishing. From what I can tell, it's tracking the same as Indy was 3 weeks before its release. Has the same awareness levels. Indy made $150 million million 5-day, which would probably be a $120 million 3-day so it is definitely possible that they are lowballing it. Indy was at 89 awareness 2 weeks out, this is minimum 94 at 4 weeks. There hasnt been a film with such early knowledge since Sith. You sure Pirates 2 and Spidey 3 weren't at a similar number?
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Mon Jun 23, 2008 12:54 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22182 Location: Places
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Magnus wrote: Cant handle da truth wrote: Indy was at 89 awareness 2 weeks out, this is minimum 94 at 4 weeks. There hasnt been a film with such early knowledge since POTC2 Fixed your post. POTC2 was tracking at 99% awareness at the same time (or at least three weeks before) I would say that TDK is probably close to 98. MovieTickets.com did an internal poll and that had it at 100%. So I think the awareness is probably around 97-98. No it wasnt; these took a while to finds but look here: From June 19th, 2006 which had Superman Returns at 119 5 day. Quote: Pirates is currently running 89/70/26 compared Sith was at 96/66/21 when it was 3 weeks away. The highest awareness level I recall at 3 weeks was Matrix Reloaded at 99%, but Pirates definite interest levels are mind-boggling Superman Returns ended with more general awareness then Pirates 2 had. Ill look for spidey 3.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Mon Jun 23, 2008 1:38 am |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Cant handle da truth wrote: Magnus wrote: Cant handle da truth wrote: Indy was at 89 awareness 2 weeks out, this is minimum 94 at 4 weeks. There hasnt been a film with such early knowledge since POTC2 Fixed your post. POTC2 was tracking at 99% awareness at the same time (or at least three weeks before) I would say that TDK is probably close to 98. MovieTickets.com did an internal poll and that had it at 100%. So I think the awareness is probably around 97-98. No it wasnt; these took a while to finds but look here: From June 19th, 2006 which had Superman Returns at 119 5 day. Quote: Pirates is currently running 89/70/26 compared Sith was at 96/66/21 when it was 3 weeks away. The highest awareness level I recall at 3 weeks was Matrix Reloaded at 99%, but Pirates definite interest levels are mind-boggling Superman Returns ended with more general awareness then Pirates 2 had. Ill look for spidey 3. Well what is TDK's "definite interest" then? That's the important number.
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Mon Jun 23, 2008 1:39 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22182 Location: Places
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Evidently a lot higher than Hancock; and for sequels like this, the better the awareness, the better the interest.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Mon Jun 23, 2008 1:41 am |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Cant handle da truth wrote: Evidently a lot higher than Hancock; and for sequels like this, the better the awareness, the better the interest. Are the second and third numbers listed for P2 and ROTS "definite interest" and "possible interest"? If TDK is up in that 60+ range on definite interest then we do indeed have a monster on our hands.
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Mon Jun 23, 2008 1:43 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22182 Location: Places
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Spidey 3 was at 98% awareness on April 23rd, 2007. Thats 10 days before it opened. TDK is at 985 or 99%, one or the other, 26 days before it opens. MASSIVE difference. Hell it should DEFIENTLY be noted RS had Spidey 3 at as 125 until the final weekend, when tracking put it at 137 while MTC had it at 153. Either way, history shows RS continually under estimates these big huge monsters. If TDK gets a bump next week or the week after to the 110-120 or 120+ region, this would look to have a very real chance at #2 opening of all time. Here are notes from the july 7-9, 2006 prediction thread: Quote: The tracking is said to be at a level that we've never seen. All four quadrants (Male under 25, Male over 25, Female under 25, Female over 25) have over 70% definite interest in seeing the film . Quote: Highest combination of definate interest and first choice ever recorded. In other words it tracking better then anything ever has been, with the openings we have seen such as ROTS I think that puts it at least over 140m.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Mon Jun 23, 2008 2:06 am |
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KC
Team Kris
Joined: Sat Nov 06, 2004 4:57 pm Posts: 1024
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
This early tracking has reaffirmed my convictions of a 140 mil OW. It will be close, but I think it will beat out DMC for #2 all-time.
_________________ "You're going to tell me what I want to know. The only question is how much you want it to hurt." Jack Bauer- Season 5
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Mon Jun 23, 2008 4:48 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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 Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Mon Jun 23, 2008 9:59 pm |
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