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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22090 Location: Places
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Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
the film that tops Titanic in the states this year. Its happening. Not sure how exactly...but it is edit: this is how: *Weekends in bold 11/14-16: 39.8 11/17-20: 17.6 11/21-23: 34.5 11/24-27: 27.8 11/28-30: 28.7 12/1-4: 12.5 12/5-7: 23.0 12/8-11: 10.8 12/12-14: 19.5 12/15-18: 8.1 12/19-21: 24.5 12/22-25: 23 12/26-28: 24.5 12/29-1/1: 19.5 1/2-4: 21.5 1/5-8: 9.9 1/9-11: 19.2 1/12-15: 9.4 1/16-18: 17.0 1/19-22: 8.5 1/23-25: 15.8 1/26-29: 7.6 1/30-2/1: 15 2/2-5: 6.8 2/6-8: 14 2/9-12: 6 2/13-15: 12.8 2/16-19: 5.7 2/20-22: 11.0 2/23-26: 6.8 2/27-3/1: 12.9 Now in a Post-Oscars sweep run... Total at the moment = 513.6 Million Film stays in top 10 through May and totals in the 620's
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
Last edited by Excel on Wed May 21, 2008 7:12 pm, edited 5 times in total.
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Wed May 21, 2008 6:55 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Re: Excel Boldly predicts "Australia" to be the film that...
This automatically eliminates all the accurate bold predictions you've made.
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Wed May 21, 2008 6:57 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22090 Location: Places
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" to be the film that...
Screw it, I am feeling it more than any claim Ive ever made before...this is legit happening this aint a club cause noone else would join.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Wed May 21, 2008 6:58 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
Im very sure you were being wishy washy on the Transformers and IRon Man prediction. At times you have said Transformers wont outgross WOTW. I dont need to mention Iron Man thing either because its all in that Mav thread
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Wed May 21, 2008 7:02 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
ew, so not going to happen, The Dark Knight will get there first of course.
_________________The Force Awakens
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Wed May 21, 2008 7:05 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
Holy shit, that teaser is officially the most overrated trailer ever.
First off Baz sucks and second his movies are far too odd to really breakout with the mainstream audience. It'll be lucky to hit 100m.
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Wed May 21, 2008 7:07 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22090 Location: Places
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
It has nothing to do with the trailer itself in terms of how effective a marketing tool it is. It all has to do with the genre. To top titanic the film has to be a very specific genre with a very specific market. this film is the 1st since titanic itself to meet both, from what I can tell, and whether it tops titanic in the us or not, i think this wil be a HUGE HUGE HUGE MASSIVE break out.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Wed May 21, 2008 7:14 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
Yeah, seriously, the trailer is not that great, people. Calm down.
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Wed May 21, 2008 7:15 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22090 Location: Places
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
It has nothing to do with the trailer. It has to do with the type of film I see it being and the kind of market it has its disposal for a 6 month period.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Wed May 21, 2008 7:20 pm |
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Jim Halpert
Stanley Cup
Joined: Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:52 pm Posts: 6981 Location: Hockey Town
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
after the trailer i saw i predict 40 mil
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Wed May 21, 2008 7:30 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
BJs Prediction: Avatar
Opening Day: 28.11m 2nd Day: 28.96m +4% Opening Wknd: 80.97m - Fri: 28.11m / Sat: 28.96m +4% / Sun: 23.90m -17% 4-Day: 95.54m - Mon: 14.57m -38% 5-Day: 111.87m - Tue: 16.33m +12% 6-Day: 129.02m - Wed: 17.15m +5% Opening Wk: 140.01m - Thur: 10.99m -35% 2nd Wknd: 80.13m -1% - Fri: 23.85m +116% / Sat: 30.58m +28% / Sun: 25.70m -16% 11-Day: 239.24m - Mon: 19.11m -25% 12-Day: 255.29m - Tue: 16.04m -15% 13-Day: 269.59m - Wed: 14.30m -11% 2nd Wk: 282.36m - Thur: 12.75m -10% 3rd Wknd: 65.90m -17% - Fri: 23.71m +85% / Sat: 23.71m NC / Sun: 18.48m -22% Wk-1: 140.01m - Wknd: 80.97m | Total: 140.01m Wk-2: 142.30m - Wknd: 80.13m | Total: 282.36m Wk-3: 89.50m - Wknd: 65.90m | Total: 371.86m Wk-4: 70.20m - Wknd: 52.35m | Total: 442.06m Wk-5: 63.50m - Wknd: 43.95m - 4-Day-Wknd: 53.95m | Total: 505.56m Wk-6: 40.85m - Wknd: 28.50m | Total: 546.41m Wk-7: 37.90m - Wknd: 28.90m | Total: 584.31m Wk-8: 27.15m - Wknd: 21.50m | Total: 611.46m Wk-9: 28.95m - Wknd: 20.00m - 4-Day-Wknd: 24.20m | Total: 640.41m Wk-10: 30.95m - Wknd: 20.05m | Total: 671.36m Wk-11: 30.00m - Wknd: 21.95m | Total: 701.36m Wk-12: 20.65m - Wknd: 14.95m | Total: 722.01m Wk-13: 12.95m - Wknd: 8.95m - | Total: 734.96m Wk-14: 10.70m - Wknd: 6.80m | Total: 745.66m Wk-15: 10.30m - Wknd: 6.00m | Total: 755.96m Wk-16: 8.30m - Wknd: 5.30m | Total: 764.26m Wk-17: 5.60m - Wknd: 4.25m | Total: 769.26m Wk-18: 4.15m - Wknd: 3.05m | Total: 774.01m Wk-19: 3.35m - Wknd: 2.50m | Total: 777.36m Wk-20: 2.60m - Wknd: 1.80m | Total: 779.96m Wk-21: 2.20m - Wknd: 1.40m | Total: 782.16m Wk-22: 1.65m - Wknd: 1.00m | Total: 783.81m Wk-23: 3.40m - Wknd: 2.00m 4-Day-Wknd: 2.60m | Total: 787.21m Wk-24: 3.05m - Wknd: 2.05m | Total: 790.26m Wk-25: 2.50m - Wknd: 1.50m | Total: 792.76m Wk-26: 1.50m - Wknd: .90m | Total: 794.26m Wk-27: .90m - Wknd: .60m | Total: 795.16m Wk-28: .60m - Wknd: .35m | Total: 795.76m Money Made After Wk-17: ~16m Estimated Wks in theaters: 55 Days to 50m: 2-Days - 57.07m Days to 100m: 5-Days - 111.87m Days to 150m: 8-Days - 163.86m Days to 200m: 10-Days - 220.14m Days to 250m: 12-Days - 255.29m Days to 300m: 15-Days - 306.07m Days to 350m: 18-Days - 354.36m Days to 400m: 23-Days - 409.61m Days to 450m: 25-Days - 452.06m Days to 500m: 30-Days - 502.51m Days to 550m: 43-Days - 553.11m Days to 600m: 51-Days - 602.26m Days to 650m: 65-Days - 654.81m Days to 700m: 77-Days - 701.36m Days to 750m: 101-Days - 751.66m Days to 800m: 252-Days ~ 800m Domestic Total: 811m International Total: 1,190b World Wide Total: 2b
Multiplyer: 10.02
_________________The Force Awakens
Last edited by BJ on Wed May 21, 2008 10:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Wed May 21, 2008 8:09 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
Straight cash, homie wrote: the film that tops Titanic in the states this year. Its happening. Not sure how exactly...but it is edit: this is how: *Weekends in bold 11/14-16: 39.8 11/17-20: 17.6 11/21-23: 34.5 11/24-27: 27.8 11/28-30: 28.7 12/1-4: 12.5 12/5-7: 23.0 12/8-11: 10.8 12/12-14: 19.5 12/15-18: 8.1 12/19-21: 24.5 12/22-25: 23 12/26-28: 24.5 12/29-1/1: 19.5 1/2-4: 21.5 1/5-8: 9.9 1/9-11: 19.2 1/12-15: 9.4 1/16-18: 17.0 1/19-22: 8.5 1/23-25: 15.8 1/26-29: 7.6 1/30-2/1: 15 2/2-5: 6.8 2/6-8: 14 2/9-12: 6 2/13-15: 12.8 2/16-19: 5.7 2/20-22: 11.0 2/23-26: 6.8 2/27-3/1: 12.9 Now in a Post-Oscars sweep run... Total at the moment = 513.6 Million Film stays in top 10 through May and totals in the 620's
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Wed May 21, 2008 8:13 pm |
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billybobwashere
He didn't look busy?!
Joined: Wed Jan 11, 2006 3:59 pm Posts: 4308
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
this might crack $100m, if it turns out great.
Titanic wouldn't have made half of $600m if released today...so I don't think any epic romance could ever have a legitimate shot at the prize nowadays.
_________________Retroviral VideosA film-based project created for the purpose of helping raise awareness about HIV/AIDS, specifically in South Africa.
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Wed May 21, 2008 8:26 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22090 Location: Places
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
people said the same back in 1997 how gwtw would never have made so much- the romance epic blockbuster was gone and replaced with ones like jurassic park, id4 and men in black Its a genre that will never die.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Wed May 21, 2008 8:35 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6236 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
BJ wrote: BJs Prediction: Avatar
Opening Day: 28.11m 2nd Day: 28.96m +4% Opening Wknd: 80.97m - Fri: 28.11m / Sat: 28.96m +4% / Sun: 23.90m -17% 4-Day: 95.54m - Mon: 14.57m -38% 5-Day: 111.87m - Tue: 16.33m +12% 6-Day: 129.02m - Wed: 17.15m +5% Opening Wk: 140.01m - Thur: 10.99m -35% 2nd Wknd: 80.13m -1% - Fri: 23.85m +116% / Sat: 30.58m +28% / Sun: 25.70m -16% 11-Day: 239.24m - Mon: 19.11m -25% 12-Day: 255.29m - Tue: 16.04m -15% 13-Day: 269.59m - Wed: 14.30m -11% 2nd Wk: 282.36m - Thur: 12.75m -10% 3rd Wknd: 65.90m -17% - Fri: 23.71m +85% / Sat: 23.71m NC / Sun: 18.48m -22% Wk-1: 140.01m - Wknd: 80.97m | Total: 140.01m Wk-2: 142.30m - Wknd: 80.13m | Total: 282.36m Wk-3: 89.50m - Wknd: 65.90m | Total: 371.86m Wk-4: 70.20m - Wknd: 52.35m | Total: 442.06m Wk-5: 63.50m - Wknd: 43.95m - 4-Day-Wknd: 53.95m | Total: 505.56m Wk-6: 40.85m - Wknd: 28.50m | Total: 546.41m Wk-7: 37.90m - Wknd: 28.90m | Total: 584.31m Wk-8: 27.15m - Wknd: 21.50m | Total: 611.46m Wk-9: 28.95m - Wknd: 20.00m - 4-Day-Wknd: 24.20m | Total: 640.41m Wk-10: 30.95m - Wknd: 20.05m | Total: 671.36m Wk-11: 30.00m - Wknd: 21.95m | Total: 701.36m Wk-12: 20.65m - Wknd: 14.95m | Total: 722.01m Wk-13: 12.95m - Wknd: 8.95m - | Total: 734.96m Wk-14: 10.70m - Wknd: 6.80m | Total: 745.66m Wk-15: 10.30m - Wknd: 6.00m | Total: 755.96m Wk-16: 8.30m - Wknd: 5.30m | Total: 764.26m Wk-17: 5.60m - Wknd: 4.25m | Total: 769.26m Wk-18: 4.15m - Wknd: 3.05m | Total: 774.01m Wk-19: 3.35m - Wknd: 2.50m | Total: 777.36m Wk-20: 2.60m - Wknd: 1.80m | Total: 779.96m Wk-21: 2.20m - Wknd: 1.40m | Total: 782.16m Wk-22: 1.65m - Wknd: 1.00m | Total: 783.81m Wk-23: 3.40m - Wknd: 2.00m 4-Day-Wknd: 2.60m | Total: 787.21m Wk-24: 3.05m - Wknd: 2.05m | Total: 790.26m Wk-25: 2.50m - Wknd: 1.50m | Total: 792.76m Wk-26: 1.50m - Wknd: .90m | Total: 794.26m Wk-27: .90m - Wknd: .60m | Total: 795.16m Wk-28: .60m - Wknd: .35m | Total: 795.76m Money Made After Wk-17: ~16m Estimated Wks in theaters: 55 Days to 50m: 2-Days - 57.07m Domestic Total: 811m International Total: 1,190b World Wide Total: 2b
Multiplyer: 10.02 BKB is nothing compared to you. NOTHING!
_________________ .
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Wed May 21, 2008 9:44 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11833
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
I could see this becoming the biggest film ever...in AUSTRALIA. Being in December would help it out more, Nicole Kidman is a mixed bag bankability wise lately, and its very difficult for a film focused on another country to do well in the domestic market I think. Films can be set in other countries and do really well (ex. Harry Potter), but this film is specifically called "Australia." Ratatouille shows the difficulty faced by films that have a huge focus on another country for the domestic market. It's harder for people here to relate to the France setting.
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Wed May 21, 2008 10:22 pm |
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MARVEL_ROCKS
Forum General
Joined: Sun Mar 11, 2007 6:11 pm Posts: 8202
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
O wrote: I could see this becoming the biggest film ever...in AUSTRALIA. Being in December would help it out more, Nicole Kidman is a mixed bag bankability wise lately, and its very difficult for a film focused on another country to do well in the domestic market I think. Films can be set in other countries and do really well (ex. Harry Potter), but this film is specifically called "Australia." Ratatouille shows the difficulty faced by films that have a huge focus on another country for the domestic market. It's harder for people here to relate to the France setting. No wonder everyone hates america.
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Wed May 21, 2008 10:24 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32350 Location: the last free city
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Re: Excel Boldly predicts "Australia" to be the film that...
Zingaling wrote: This automatically eliminates all the accurate bold predictions you've made. yes it does. WTF,Ex?
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Wed May 21, 2008 10:25 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
No way this will even do $100 mil. Let alone $600.
You've lost it.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Thu May 22, 2008 12:37 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
Waker of Winds wrote: BJ wrote: BJs Prediction: Avatar
Opening Day: 28.11m 2nd Day: 28.96m +4% Opening Wknd: 80.97m - Fri: 28.11m / Sat: 28.96m +4% / Sun: 23.90m -17% 4-Day: 95.54m - Mon: 14.57m -38% 5-Day: 111.87m - Tue: 16.33m +12% 6-Day: 129.02m - Wed: 17.15m +5% Opening Wk: 140.01m - Thur: 10.99m -35% 2nd Wknd: 80.13m -1% - Fri: 23.85m +116% / Sat: 30.58m +28% / Sun: 25.70m -16% 11-Day: 239.24m - Mon: 19.11m -25% 12-Day: 255.29m - Tue: 16.04m -15% 13-Day: 269.59m - Wed: 14.30m -11% 2nd Wk: 282.36m - Thur: 12.75m -10% 3rd Wknd: 65.90m -17% - Fri: 23.71m +85% / Sat: 23.71m NC / Sun: 18.48m -22% Wk-1: 140.01m - Wknd: 80.97m | Total: 140.01m Wk-2: 142.30m - Wknd: 80.13m | Total: 282.36m Wk-3: 89.50m - Wknd: 65.90m | Total: 371.86m Wk-4: 70.20m - Wknd: 52.35m | Total: 442.06m Wk-5: 63.50m - Wknd: 43.95m - 4-Day-Wknd: 53.95m | Total: 505.56m Wk-6: 40.85m - Wknd: 28.50m | Total: 546.41m Wk-7: 37.90m - Wknd: 28.90m | Total: 584.31m Wk-8: 27.15m - Wknd: 21.50m | Total: 611.46m Wk-9: 28.95m - Wknd: 20.00m - 4-Day-Wknd: 24.20m | Total: 640.41m Wk-10: 30.95m - Wknd: 20.05m | Total: 671.36m Wk-11: 30.00m - Wknd: 21.95m | Total: 701.36m Wk-12: 20.65m - Wknd: 14.95m | Total: 722.01m Wk-13: 12.95m - Wknd: 8.95m - | Total: 734.96m Wk-14: 10.70m - Wknd: 6.80m | Total: 745.66m Wk-15: 10.30m - Wknd: 6.00m | Total: 755.96m Wk-16: 8.30m - Wknd: 5.30m | Total: 764.26m Wk-17: 5.60m - Wknd: 4.25m | Total: 769.26m Wk-18: 4.15m - Wknd: 3.05m | Total: 774.01m Wk-19: 3.35m - Wknd: 2.50m | Total: 777.36m Wk-20: 2.60m - Wknd: 1.80m | Total: 779.96m Wk-21: 2.20m - Wknd: 1.40m | Total: 782.16m Wk-22: 1.65m - Wknd: 1.00m | Total: 783.81m Wk-23: 3.40m - Wknd: 2.00m 4-Day-Wknd: 2.60m | Total: 787.21m Wk-24: 3.05m - Wknd: 2.05m | Total: 790.26m Wk-25: 2.50m - Wknd: 1.50m | Total: 792.76m Wk-26: 1.50m - Wknd: .90m | Total: 794.26m Wk-27: .90m - Wknd: .60m | Total: 795.16m Wk-28: .60m - Wknd: .35m | Total: 795.76m Money Made After Wk-17: ~16m Estimated Wks in theaters: 55 Days to 50m: 2-Days - 57.07m Domestic Total: 811m International Total: 1,190b World Wide Total: 2b
Multiplyer: 10.02 BKB is nothing compared to you. NOTHING!
_________________The Force Awakens
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Thu May 22, 2008 1:11 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22090 Location: Places
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
oh man this is what too much alcohol does...whatever, well see what happens
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Thu May 22, 2008 2:59 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22902 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
Excel It may do $100m if its good - but its no Titanic. Its more a Cold Mountain type film. I cant imagine teen america going gaga over 40 somethings Kidman and Jackman. Even here in Oz - it will be big - all the hype and it comes out during the most lucrative BO time of year - but not Titanic big, not even Shrek or ROTK big. More round the $25-$30m mark max. Even that could be high as there is a backlash against it already. Personally I think the trailer is overrated too.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Thu May 22, 2008 3:06 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22090 Location: Places
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
it is what it is; i said it but.... theres no fucking way this touches titanic damn im embarrassed 1st drop of alochol in 9 months had quite the effect
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Thu May 22, 2008 3:10 am |
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Riggs
We had our time together
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:36 am Posts: 13280 Location: Vienna
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
$40-50m at most.
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Thu May 22, 2008 9:52 am |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm Posts: 20411
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Re: Excel BOLDLY predicts "Australia" will be...
Straight cash, homie wrote: it is what it is; i said it but.... theres no fucking way this touches titanic damn im embarrassed 1st drop of alochol in 9 months had quite the effect is that way you say when someone calls your BULLSHIT. Fool.
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Thu May 22, 2008 10:48 am |
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