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 Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama 
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Post Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
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http://news.yahoo.com/page/election-200 ... obama-race
WASHINGTON (AP) — Deep-seated racial misgivings could cost Barack Obama the White House if the election is close, according to an AP-Yahoo News poll that found one-third of white Democrats harbor negative views toward blacks — many calling them "lazy," "violent," responsible for their own troubles.

The poll, conducted with Stanford University, suggests that the percentage of voters who may turn away from Obama because of his race could easily be larger than the final difference between the candidates in 2004 — about two and one-half percentage points.

Certainly, Republican John McCain has his own obstacles: He's an ally of an unpopular president and would be the nation's oldest first-term president. But Obama faces this: 40 percent of all white Americans hold at least a partly negative view toward blacks, and that includes many Democrats and independents.
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Sat Sep 20, 2008 9:34 am
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
If Obama were white and had a non-Muslim sounding name, he would be trouncing McCain right now.

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Sat Sep 20, 2008 10:59 am
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
And if he were white, had a non-muslim sounding name and was a woman he'd be Hillary and be trouncing McCain.

I'm not even a Hillary fan but couldn't resist.


Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:42 pm
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Hillary has her own baggage though. The Republicans would have brought up whitewater, etc on her. I also think they had some dirty secret on the clinton they were waiting to use. There was no perfect candidate this year. All of them had their problems.


Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:47 pm
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Quote:
Party Identification All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader
Democrat 39 % 86 % 11 % 0 % 2 %
Republican 35 % 8 % 91 % 0 % 1 %


http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2000/result ... polls.html

Quote:
VOTE BY PARTY ID BUSH KERRY NADER

Democrat (37%) 11% +0 89% 0%

Republican (37%) 93% +2 6% 0%

Independent (26%) 48% +1 49% 1%


http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/ ... lls.0.html

Quote:
Republicans/Republican leaners

2004 Sep 3-5 ^†
69
18
13
*

Democrats/Democratic leaners

2004 Sep 3-5 ^†
62
29
7
2


http://www.gallup.com/poll/12922/Bush-G ... ven.aspx#3

Quote:
The findings suggest that Obama's problem is close to home — among his fellow Democrats, particularly non-Hispanic white voters. Just seven in 10 people who call themselves Democrats support Obama, compared to the 85 percent of self-identified Republicans who back McCain.


http://news.yahoo.com/page/election-200 ... obama-race

The article gives no historical context to these numbers. They are not that out of the ordinary. Yes, race is playing a factor, but Republicans tend to support their candidate more overwhelmingly than Dems do no matter the race.

It also doesn't take into account that more people identify as Democrats than they did four years ago. In 2004, as many people identified themselves as Dems as Repubs, now that gap is anywhere from 4-6% pts depending on the poll. Many of those who identify themselves as Dems today are more conservative and more open to Republicans than the group in 2004. Likewise the 2008 self-identified Republicans are more homogeneous, hence even less likely to back a Dem.

I also found it offensive how the article potrayed the Republicans as equally racist, when the survey showed their racist minority was 50% larger than the Democratic minority. Then Fournier mind read to give them the benfit of the doubt and ascribed them the least offensive interpretation on their racist attitudes.

Quote:
Lots of Republicans harbor prejudices, too, but the survey found they weren't voting against Obama because of his race. Most Republicans wouldn't vote for any Democrat for president — white, black or brown.


The survey can't answer that question, because there is not a comparable choice for these voters to vote their racism.

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Last edited by mdana on Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:52 pm
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
I think the survey is bunk myself. I am sure there are some people who won't vote for him because of that, but so far there doesn't seem to be a huge number or it would be showing up in the polls.


Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:55 pm
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Jedi Master Carr wrote:
I think the survey is bunk myself. I am sure there are some people who won't vote for him because of that, but so far there doesn't seem to be a huge number or it would be showing up in the polls.



We won't know for sure until after the election. There are less racists in the Dem. primaries than in the general election, so there never really was much of a Wilder/Bradley effect.

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Sat Sep 20, 2008 1:01 pm
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Groucho wrote:
If Obama were white and had a non-Muslim sounding name, he would be trouncing McCain right now.


No Democrat will ever trounce a Republican no matter how misguided and foolish the Rep. nominee is. The corporate media and the ineffectual national Democratic response will never allow the opportunity.

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Sat Sep 20, 2008 1:06 pm
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Jedi Master Carr wrote:
Hillary has her own baggage though. The Republicans would have brought up whitewater, etc on her. I also think they had some dirty secret on the clinton they were waiting to use. There was no perfect candidate this year. All of them had their problems.


Can someone explain Whitewater to me? The Clintons did nothing substantially wrong and lost money on the deal. The whole thing was based on David Hale's allegations which never mentioned Bill Clinton until 1993, four years after he had given his initial statement to the FBI.

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Sat Sep 20, 2008 1:17 pm
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
mdana wrote:
Jedi Master Carr wrote:
Hillary has her own baggage though. The Republicans would have brought up whitewater, etc on her. I also think they had some dirty secret on the clinton they were waiting to use. There was no perfect candidate this year. All of them had their problems.


Can someone explain Whitewater to me? The Clintons did nothing substantially wrong and lost money on the deal. The whole thing was based on David Hale's allegations which never mentioned Bill Clinton until 1993, four years after he had given his initial statement to the FBI.


The republicans claim they laundered money or something. Foster also comes into this as there are still republicans who say they killed him. I think there are more stories out there. There were rumors that Murdoch had something on them and was waiting for the right moment. I imagine it is another affair by Bill but that was just my guess. Oh the Democrats could trounce a republican. Bill beat Dole by a good margin, it would just take the right candidate.


Sat Sep 20, 2008 2:12 pm
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Archie Gates wrote:
And if he were white, had a non-muslim sounding name and was a woman he'd be Hillary and be trouncing McCain.

I'm not even a Hillary fan but couldn't resist.


I disagree. The idea that he got the democratic nomination because he's black and has a muslim sounding name is ridiculous. Obama ran a much better campaign, and largely lost to Hillary in those Appalachian states where lots of white rednecks refuse to vote for a black guy (and even admit it to pollsters).

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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
That's a racist enough poll by itself. I hate polls that continue the tradition that races have to associated with positive/negative adjectives.


Sat Sep 20, 2008 3:06 pm
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Groucho wrote:
... lost to Hillary in those Appalachian states where lots of white rednecks refuse to vote for a black guy (and even admit it to pollsters).


Like RI, MA and CA? Interesting.

BTW, I read that poll this morning and its utter shit. I would be embarressed being the pollster and having to even ask someone over the phone if they think Black people are lazy? Talk about propagating ridiculous stereotypes.


Sat Sep 20, 2008 3:41 pm
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
dolcevita wrote:
Groucho wrote:
... lost to Hillary in those Appalachian states where lots of white rednecks refuse to vote for a black guy (and even admit it to pollsters).


Like RI, MA and CA? Interesting.

BTW, I read that poll this morning and its utter shit. I would be embarressed being the pollster and having to even ask someone over the phone if they think Black people are lazy? Talk about propagating ridiculous stereotypes.


You cut out the qualifier "largely". I stand by my statement.

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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
dolcevita wrote:
Groucho wrote:
... lost to Hillary in those Appalachian states where lots of white rednecks refuse to vote for a black guy (and even admit it to pollsters).


Like RI, MA and CA? Interesting.

BTW, I read that poll this morning and its utter shit. I would be embarressed being the pollster and having to even ask someone over the phone if they think Black people are lazy? Talk about propagating ridiculous stereotypes.


And this has little or nothing to do with voting for Obama anyway. Attitudes toward generic stereotypes is not the same as the attitude toward a specific candidate. After all, the generic Dem candidate destroyed the generic Rep candidate in national polls. But once you have a name and a face with specific policies and personalities, all of that goes out the window.


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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Beeblebrox wrote:
dolcevita wrote:

BTW, I read that poll this morning and its utter shit. I would be embarressed being the pollster and having to even ask someone over the phone if they think Black people are lazy? Talk about propagating ridiculous stereotypes.


And this has little or nothing to do with voting for Obama anyway. Attitudes toward generic stereotypes is not the same as the attitude toward a specific candidate. After all, the generic Dem candidate destroyed the generic Rep candidate in national polls. But once you have a name and a face with specific policies and personalities, all of that goes out the window.


I know, right? Like, they should have just asked if the voters think Obama is lazy (even though that question is subtly coded as well), which clearly no one thinks. Asking generic racist questions like this is just stupid and offensive. If anything, it plants ideas instead of letting them die as they should have decades ago. I hated this poll.


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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
I was reading these questions and wondering how I would respond, and basically just kept saying "How can you classify an entire group like that? Sure there are lazy blacks, and there are lazy whites too." It's just ridiculous.

The important thing to get from this, however, is the difference between white Democrats and white Republicans. The republicans are uniformily more negative in their opinions. Someone should remind them of this when they ask "Why do blacks stay with the Democratic party?"

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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Groucho wrote:
I was reading these questions and wondering how I would respond, and basically just kept saying "How can you classify an entire group like that? Sure there are lazy blacks, and there are lazy whites too." It's just ridiculous.

The important thing to get from this, however, is the difference between white Democrats and white Republicans. The republicans are uniformily more negative in their opinions. Someone should remind them of this when they ask "Why do blacks stay with the Democratic party?"


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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Groucho wrote:
I was reading these questions and wondering how I would respond, and basically just kept saying "How can you classify an entire group like that? Sure there are lazy blacks, and there are lazy whites too." It's just ridiculous.

The important thing to get from this, however, is the difference between white Democrats and white Republicans. The republicans are uniformily more negative in their opinions. Someone should remind them of this when they ask "Why do blacks stay with the Democratic party?"


Ohhh...so that's why the GOP Convention kept reminding everybody that they are the party of Abraham Lincoln.

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Sat Sep 20, 2008 8:22 pm
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
resident wrote:
Ohhh...so that's why the GOP Convention kept reminding everybody that they are the party of Abraham Lincoln.


They ALWAYS do that, even though they couldn't be farther away from his legacy. There were fewer black people at this year's convention than last time, and last time was around 3%. I think this year it was 36 total.

And Hispanics aren't any more receptive, thanks to the near constant assault over the last 8 years. Obama leads with them 69-28%.


Sat Sep 20, 2008 8:44 pm
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
dolcevita wrote:
Groucho wrote:
... lost to Hillary in those Appalachian states where lots of white rednecks refuse to vote for a black guy (and even admit it to pollsters).


Like RI, MA and CA? Interesting.

BTW, I read that poll this morning and its utter shit. I would be embarressed being the pollster and having to even ask someone over the phone if they think Black people are lazy? Talk about propagating ridiculous stereotypes.


Quote:
The AP-Yahoo News poll used the unique methodology of Knowledge Networks, a Menlo Park, Calif., firm that interviews people online after randomly selecting and screening them over telephone. Numerous studies have shown that people are more likely to report embarrassing behavior and unpopular opinions when answering questions on a computer rather than talking to a stranger.


http://news.yahoo.com/page/election-200 ... obama-race

Didn't quite read the article did we? If you are going to go British, go whole hog and use shite...

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Sun Sep 21, 2008 2:28 am
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Jedi Master Carr wrote:
mdana wrote:
Jedi Master Carr wrote:
Hillary has her own baggage though. The Republicans would have brought up whitewater, etc on her. I also think they had some dirty secret on the clinton they were waiting to use. There was no perfect candidate this year. All of them had their problems.


Can someone explain Whitewater to me? The Clintons did nothing substantially wrong and lost money on the deal. The whole thing was based on David Hale's allegations which never mentioned Bill Clinton until 1993, four years after he had given his initial statement to the FBI.


The republicans claim they laundered money or something. Foster also comes into this as there are still republicans who say they killed him. I think there are more stories out there. There were rumors that Murdoch had something on them and was waiting for the right moment. I imagine it is another affair by Bill but that was just my guess. Oh the Democrats could trounce a republican. Bill beat Dole by a good margin, it would just take the right candidate.



In the words of Gertrude Stein, "there's no there, there". Read the Starr Report, which was created on the allegations of Whitewater, and the total lack of any incriminating evidence on this so-called "scandal".

Democrats need to defend fellow Dems when they are smeared. The lack of it is telling...

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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Groucho wrote:
Archie Gates wrote:
And if he were white, had a non-muslim sounding name and was a woman he'd be Hillary and be trouncing McCain.

I'm not even a Hillary fan but couldn't resist.


I disagree. The idea that he got the democratic nomination because he's black and has a muslim sounding name is ridiculous. Obama ran a much better campaign, and largely lost to Hillary in those Appalachian states where lots of white rednecks refuse to vote for a black guy (and even admit it to pollsters).



Straw Arguement, that is absolute bullshit, written by someone who has never been in the trenches of a Dem. Primary. Dem Primaries are crap shoots. I have worked for the Dem Pary in 92', 94', and 04'. Obama got where he was by having the media hounding Hillary throughout the primaries. When Clinton lost her lead, she gave an answer that was deemed "ridiculous", that Obama then gave a two weeks later with no damage.

Quote:
What Fallows forgot: At the start of his Atlantic piece, Fallows makes a rare admission. “Recently I did what no sane person would,” he admits, seeming to offer a self-diagnosis—“I watched the entire set of presidential primary debates, in sequence, like a boxed set of a TV show.” In short, living in China as he does, Fallows didn’t watch these debates in real time, the way engaged Americans did; he got the whole passel sent to him later and watched the whole boxed set. But if Fallows’ admission is truthful, we find it somewhat puzzling. After all, if Fallows is telling the truth in this passage, then he watched the next Democratic debate—the November 15 event, hosted by Wolf Blitzer. And if he watched that next debate, he saw what happened when Obama was asked the very same question that Clinton had been asked—the question about driver’s licenses. If he watched, he saw Obama fumble the question much as Clinton was alleged to have done, provoking open audience laughter. Let’s say it again: He saw Obama answer this question in very much the way Clinton had done. Here’s the question as Blitzer asked it. Perhaps Fallows simply slept through this tape. Perhaps the air quality got him:

BLITZER (11/15/07): All right. I want to just press you on this point, because it's a logical follow-up, and then I want to go and ask everyone. On the issue that apparently tripped up Senator Clinton [on October 30], the issue of driver's licenses for illegal immigrants, I take it, Senator Obama, you support giving driver's licenses to illegal immigrants. Is that right?

Wow! The very same question Clinton had fumbled, “on the issue that apparently tripped her up!” And Obama had had two weeks to consider the matter—two weeks in which the nation’s pundits had pounded Clinton for her answer. (If everyone knew what Clinton had meant, very few pundits had said so.) Below, you see Obama’s full answer. Midway along, audience [LAUGHTER] occurs when the audience sees that he was stumbling in the very same way Clinton had been savaged for. If you read Clinton’s full post-answer answer (transcript below), the similarity really is startling:

OBAMA (continuing directly): When I was a state senator in Illinois, I voted to require that illegal aliens get trained, get a license, get insurance to protect public safety. That was my intention.

(APPLAUSE)

And—but I have to make sure that people understand. The problem we have here is not driver's licenses. Undocumented workers do not come here to drive.

(LAUGHTER)

They don't go—they're not coming here to go to the In-N-Out Burger. That's not the reason they're here. They're here to work. And so instead of being distracted by what has now become a wedge issue, let's focus on actually solving the problem that this administration, the Bush administration, had done nothing about it.

BLITZER: Well, let's go through everybody because I want to be precise. I want to make sure the viewers and those of us who are here fully understand all of your positions on this barring—avoiding, assuming there isn't going to be comprehensive immigration reform. Do you support or oppose driver's licenses for illegal immigrants?

OBAMA: I am not proposing that that's what we do. What I'm saying is that we can't—

(LAUGHTER)

No, no, no, no! Look—I have already said, I support the notion that we have to deal with public safety and that driver's licenses at the same level can make that happen. But what I also know—
BLITZER: All right—

OBAMA: But what I also know, Wolf, is that if we keep on getting distracted by this problem, then we are not solving it.

BLITZER: But—because this is the kind of question that is sort of available for a yes or no answer.

(LAUGHTER)

Either you support it or you oppose it.

(APPLAUSE)

Let's go down and get a yes or no from everyone, starting with Senator Edwards.

Ouch! In perhaps the oddest moment of the whole debate season, Obama gave a fumbling answer that was stunningly similar to Clinton’s much-maligned answer from two weeks before. The audience openly laughed midway through when the similarity to Clinton’s gethsemane moment became clear—and Blitzer ended up snarking Obama due to his perceived lack of specificity. But isn’t it weird? In the wake of this debate, pundits said virtually nothing about this! How strange! Having savaged Clinton’s response, they gave a virtual pass to Obama’s! And Fallows, writing in from China, identifies Clinton’s answer as the crucial moment in the whole


http://www.dailyhowler.com/dh082108.shtml

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Sun Sep 21, 2008 2:58 am
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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
I didn't understand Groucho's response to me. I didn't say or imply anything about Obama getting the nomination because of his name or race. I was just jokingly pointing out that if he was white and had a "whiter" name and was a woman, well he'd be Hillary as she was the only other option besides him.

The thing that turned me off Hillary was her campaign. Taking her just as herself as she is now or last year, she seems like the best choice - but wow, that Karl Rovian campaign she ran...ugh.

Still, Obama should have chosen her in order to unite the party. It doesn't matter if they don't like each other, Reagan and Bush didn't like each other in '80 either. Biden has his good aspects though, I'm not saying he sucks.


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Post Re: Poll: Racial views steer some white Dems away from Obama
Archie Gates wrote:
Still, Obama should have chosen her in order to unite the party. It doesn't matter if they don't like each other, Reagan and Bush didn't like each other in '80 either. Biden has his good aspects though, I'm not saying he sucks.


The party is united. The Hillary dead-enders don't amount to much of a difference at this point. The party faithful are on board the Obama train.


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