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Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=48&t=44498 |
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Author: | Beeblebrox [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 2:27 pm ] |
Post subject: | Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
![]() ![]() ![]() Obama 50% McCain 42% http://www.gallup.com/poll/109960/Gallu ... -Time.aspx |
Author: | snack [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 2:38 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Latest: Rasmussen: 51 -45 Hotline/FD: 48 - 39 CBS: 48 - 40 CNN: 49 - 44 |
Author: | Eagle [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 2:56 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Could be typical convention bounce, could be McCain implosion. |
Author: | Jedi Master Carr [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 3:09 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Beeblebrox wrote: Obama got a great bounce from the convention. It also looks like Palin isn't making a difference so far, unless she is negatively effecting it. |
Author: | Groucho [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 3:47 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Eagle wrote: Could be typical convention bounce, could be McCain implosion. Or a combination of the two. I am anxious to see if McCain gets a bounce from his convention. |
Author: | A. G. [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 3:52 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Obama went up to 49 then down to 48 and now 50. That indicates to me it's Palin related. He seems to have gotten a bounce, it was subsiding a little and now this. I'm thinking what is happening is the sides are hardening. No McCain implosion but people getting more of a clear idea who they are for, less waffling. The more conservative voters are firming up behind McCain (and donating a lot - they love Palin) and pro-choice female swing voters are deciding Obama is their candidate. But who knows - it'll definitely be interesting to see what happens in the coming days. |
Author: | Beeblebrox [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 4:29 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Groucho wrote: Eagle wrote: Could be typical convention bounce, could be McCain implosion. Or a combination of the two. I am anxious to see if McCain gets a bounce from his convention. Isn't it time for another electoral college update? |
Author: | xiayun [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 4:37 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Obama crossed 50% in both Gallup and Rasmussen daily polls, a major milestone. Last Friday is really the only good polling day for McCain/Palin. Once that's removed from the 3-day average, and with the development in the last couple of days, Obama is stretching his lead again. Quote: Isn't it time for another electoral college update? With two weeks of conventions going on, national polls have become the focus, and state polls are kind of being put aside until next week. |
Author: | Groucho [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 4:53 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
xiayun wrote: Obama crossed 50% in both Gallup and Rasmussen daily polls, a major milestone. Last Friday is really the only good polling day for McCain/Palin. Once that's removed from the 3-day average, and with the development in the last couple of days, Obama is stretching his lead again. Quote: Isn't it time for another electoral college update? With two weeks of conventions going on, national polls have become the focus, and state polls are kind of being put aside until next week. yeah, the page I use for those maps in the other thread haven't had any updates in a week or so, due to a lack of state polls, an emphasis on national polls and the holiday weekend. |
Author: | Timayd [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 4:59 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Doesn't really make sense to do state polls in the convention period given that most originations do them once a month at most. |
Author: | Tyler [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 6:21 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
5% lead? Maybe McCain ain't getting there. |
Author: | Snrub [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 6:35 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Magnus wrote: McCain at this point needs to do well in the debates in order to win. If McCain loses to Obama in the debates, I think Obama has it in the bag. Yeah, but he needs to stay humble. Gore trounced Bush in every debate, but the underdog card inexplicably carried him through. |
Author: | A. G. [ Tue Sep 02, 2008 6:56 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
I think in the debates that Obama simply needs to do okay, not even win. The public will see a 5'7" pale, bald, white haired man next to him and go "Maybe not." |
Author: | Tyler [ Wed Sep 03, 2008 3:30 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
The height thing really shows human nature. |
Author: | Raffiki [ Wed Sep 03, 2008 5:14 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
From CNN... Iowa: 55-40 for Obama Minnesota: 53-41 for Obama (pre-rep.convention) Ohio: 47-45 for Obama http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/09/03/states.poll/index.html |
Author: | Rod [ Wed Sep 03, 2008 5:19 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
I love it. McCain was such an idiot to think that women would just blindly vote for any woman on the ballot for no other reason than she IS woman. |
Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Thu Sep 04, 2008 6:51 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Palin imo will make Michigan more competitive and put the south out of reach for Obama. |
Author: | xiayun [ Sun Sep 07, 2008 1:33 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Well, McCain and Fox News have at least one day to celebrate as he is now leading by 3 points in Gallup and even in Rasmussen. I'll wait another week for the whole convention bounce to settle down, and I'll see if state polls correlate with them, but still an ![]() |
Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Sun Sep 07, 2008 1:39 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
It is a convention bounce and Obama lead is all destroyed. It will be a neck to neck race all the way through... Actually Obama has been missing for a week though and McCain and Palin are in the limelight. McCain was leading whites by 50 to 40 and it appears Obama went down then further. It appears Obama will have a hard time going after Moderate blue collar worker which is his weakness with Sarah Palin. Obama has to bring to get around 45% of the White vote to win. Obama needs to fight for the independents. |
Author: | Corpse [ Sun Sep 07, 2008 2:58 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
The backlash against the media (which has been very unprofessional for the past week or so) is also having an effect on the polls. |
Author: | Raffiki [ Sun Sep 07, 2008 4:01 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Mannyisthebest wrote: It is a convention bounce and Obama lead is all destroyed. It will be a neck to neck race all the way through... Actually Obama has been missing for a week though and McCain and Palin are in the limelight. McCain was leading whites by 50 to 40 and it appears Obama went down then further. It appears Obama will have a hard time going after Moderate blue collar worker which is his weakness with Sarah Palin. Obama has to bring to get around 45% of the White vote to win. Obama needs to fight for the independents. Obama needs Ohio or Colorado. That's literally what it will come down to. |
Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Sun Sep 07, 2008 4:58 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
true He can take Colorado, but imo Ohio is not going democrat. However the good news is that if takes Iowa which is almost certain he wins. |
Author: | Corpse [ Sun Sep 07, 2008 5:05 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Iowa is almost locked to go DEM this year. |
Author: | A. G. [ Sun Sep 07, 2008 5:20 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
I'm wondering what the youth vote will be like, the turnout level. They seemed fired up about Obama earlier in the year but I haven't heard much since then. |
Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Sun Sep 07, 2008 5:36 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Latest Gallup: Obama hits 50% for first time |
Quote: I'm wondering what the youth vote will be like, the turnout level. They seemed fired up about Obama earlier in the year but I haven't heard much since then. youth= short attention span.... |
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