source - http://www.drudgereport.com/

if this holds, surely Clintons chances are over

Stupid Drudge. Hasn't he learned his lesson? He gets everyone's hopes up by releasing the early polling, unweighted, and then when it's off by even a bit, everyone declares Obama the big loser, because at 5, he was supposed to win!

Going by statistical precedent, i.e. the mean inaccuracy of exit polls, that would give Hillary an 11-point win. Damn, Mark Penn's got some good internals.

I've gotten 8% on an exam once back in school. I failed that class.

i wish but doubt its that close.

Full exit poll results.

It calculates to 52-48 Clinton indeed.

Damn, the one thing I think of when I look at State exit polls is that the Dems are consistenty about 58/42 female/male. That means over fifteen percent of female democrats are married/dating of will eventually marry/date a Republican. If we just got a little Lysistrata action going, the Dems would never be in fear of losing a general election.

excit polls. where the fuck are the real results??????

too close to call = over for hillary

They said the same thing in Ohio for much of the night and that was a solid Hillary win.

with 0% in Clinton is winning 66% to Obama's 34% over at MSNBC.

it's over she'll keep running.

Ohio had early voting, which favored Clinton by a healthy margin, while PA doesn't, so I think the exit polls should be closer to the actual than what we had seen in previous states.

Fox News called it for Hillary.

With 12% count in Philadelphia, Obama is only winning 52-48. Without a bigger margin there, we should be looking at a double-digit Clinton win.

Nutter was campaigning for her pretty heavily. That might have helped. He really likes her. But frankly, I think that number is going to change dramatically in the next, like, two minutes.

I think past studies showed money (as long as one has some) is statistically uncorrelated with the final results. That should be especially true in this primary, where the demographics, except for Wisconsin, have remained steadfast in their resolve behind their respective candidates, broken the same way throughout, and proven to be most important factor in how the result in each state will turn out.

Still only 55-45 Obama in Philly with 34% reporting, but Pittsburgh votes are now being counted, and the overall margin is down to 48-52.

It would have been nice had he won and ended this, but he's still doing better than people would have predicted just 3 weeks ago.

Now 58-42 in Philly; that's more like what was expected.

Looking more likely the final margin will be around 5%. Obama will certainly take that.

60-40

Are you talking about Iowa, which is a blue state for Obama and a red state for Clinton? Or Nevada, which Clinton actually won?

Obama says that he won NV. Which is true he won the delegates. Since Caucuses are diffirent then primaries all that could be said si taht Clinton got more delegate votes.

SurveryUSA has Obama with a 9 point lead, just released. I can only think winning PA by 10 points can only help (if such a lead is accurate enough).

A PA win + an Edwards endorsement would be just perfect. Hopefully that rumor? (have a link?) is true.

And she has yet another super popular GOV (Evan Bayh) on her side in Indiana. That, with the close polls in that state (before the PA win they were very close) will hopefully propel her to a nice win there.

EDIT: If Hillary was able to win both Indiana and North Carolina, that would be absolutely HUGE for her.

Do you really believe that endorsements are that large of a factor? Certainly access to an endorser's in-state machine is help, but not that much. And Mrs. Edwards? Please, what does she bring to the table that Hillary doesn't already have, in spade.