61-38 Clinton ...
Maybe if she ran a non-retarded campaign.
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| Predict Pennsylvania https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=48&t=40510 |
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| Author: | A. G. [ Mon Apr 21, 2008 6:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Predict Pennsylvania |
I figure something like 57-43 Clinton. She has the entire machine behind her other than Casey. |
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| Author: | Anita Hussein Briem [ Mon Apr 21, 2008 6:49 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
53-45 Clinton |
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| Author: | Excel [ Mon Apr 21, 2008 6:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
51-48 hill dog |
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| Author: | Jim Halpert [ Mon Apr 21, 2008 8:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
55-45, hilary |
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| Author: | Groucho [ Mon Apr 21, 2008 8:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
52 - 47 Clinton |
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| Author: | redspear [ Mon Apr 21, 2008 8:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
55 - 44 Clinton |
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| Author: | Rev [ Mon Apr 21, 2008 9:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
Hillary wins by 5 points |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Mon Apr 21, 2008 9:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
54-45. |
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| Author: | insomniacdude [ Tue Apr 22, 2008 1:42 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
Someone will come out on top. |
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| Author: | Eagle [ Tue Apr 22, 2008 1:53 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
61-38 Clinton ... Maybe if she ran a non-retarded campaign. |
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| Author: | Ripper [ Tue Apr 22, 2008 1:32 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
Eagle wrote: 61-38 Clinton ... Maybe if she ran a non-retarded campaign. Heh, seriously, never have I liked a candidate but detested their campaign so much. |
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| Author: | Snrub [ Tue Apr 22, 2008 2:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
52-47 Obama. That's right, I'm optimistic. |
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| Author: | Bodrul [ Tue Apr 22, 2008 3:51 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
Snrub wrote: 52-47 Obama. That's right, I'm optimistic. No chance, Clinton will probably get quite a big win considering she is paying a lot of money in way of "street money" to locals, whereas Obama is relying on volunteers. |
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| Author: | Corpse [ Tue Apr 22, 2008 4:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict Pennsylvania |
A little math here. There are 4.2M Registered Democrats in Pennsylvania. Last time they voted, the turnout was about 20%, and there are some reports suggesting turnout could hit 50% or more. So, lets see how this could go, popular vote wise from probably the max one candidate can do, and least the other can do. 50% turnout 60-40 (Clinton), 1,260,000 - 840,000 (420,000 vote difference) 58-42 (Clinton), 1,220,000 - 880,000 (340,000 vote difference) 56-44 (Clinton), 1,175,000 - 925,000 (250,000 vote difference) 55-45 (Clinton), 1,155,000 - 945,000 (210,000 vote difference) 54-46 (Clinton), 1,135,000 - 965,000 (170,000 vote difference) 53-47 (Clinton), 1,115,000 - 985,000 (130,000 vote difference) 52-48 (Clinton), 1,095,000 - 1,005,000 (90,000 vote difference) 51-49 (Clinton), 1,070,000 - 1,060,000 (10,000 vote difference) 55% turnout 60-40 (Clinton), 1,380,000 - 920,000 (460,000 vote difference) 58-42 (Clinton), 1,335,000 - 960,000 (370,000 vote difference) 56-44 (Clinton), 1,290,000 - 1,010,000 (280,000 vote difference) 55-45 (Clinton), 1,265,000 - 1,035,000 (230,000 vote difference) 54-46 (Clinton), 1,240,000 - 1,060,000 (180,000 vote difference) 53-47 (Clinton), 1,210,000 - 1,090,000 (120,000 vote difference) 52-48 (Clinton), 1,195,000 - 1,105,000 (90,000 vote difference) 51-49 (Clinton), 1,075,000 - 1,125,000 (50,000 vote difference) 60% turnout 60-40 (Clinton), 1,510,000 - 1,010,000 (500,000 vote difference) 58-42 (Clinton), 1,460,000 - 1,060,000 (400,000 vote difference) 56-44 (Clinton), 1,410,000 - 1,110,000 (300,000 vote difference) 55-45 (Clinton), 1,385,000 - 1,135,000 (250,000 vote difference) 54-46 (Clinton), 1,360,000 - 1,160,000 (200,000 vote difference) 53-47 (Clinton), 1,335,000 - 1,185,000 (150,000 vote difference) 52-48 (Clinton), 1,310,000 - 1,210,000 (100,000 vote difference) 51-49 (Clinton), 1,285,000 - 1,235,000 (50,000 vote difference) Of course, if Obama does win, just swap his name with Clinton's and that's how many votes (approx) he will gain based on a 50%, 55%, and 60% turnout today. Obama is currenty ahead by 715,000 - 720,000 excluding MI and FL. |
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