The next 7 days:

Feb 9
Louisiana Primary (67 delegates)
Nebraska Caucus (31 delegates)
Washington Caucus (97 delegates)
Virgin Islands (9 delegates)

Feb 10
Maine Caucus (34 delegates)

Feb 12
District of Columbia Primary (37 delegates)
Maryland Primary (99 delegates)
Virginia Primary (101 delegates)

This is where Obama's strength should truly show, and he could come out of Feb 12 with significant momentum and good lead in pledged delegates.

Louisiana Primary (67 delegates) - Obama
Nebraska Caucus (31 delegates) - Clinton
Washington Caucus (97 delegates)- Clinton
Virgin Islands (9 delegates)- Obama

Feb 10
Maine Caucus (34 delegates)- Clinton

Feb 12
District of Columbia Primary (37 delegates)- Obama
Maryland Primary (99 delegates)- Obama
Virginia Primary (101 delegates)- Clinton

Obama is winning Washington state for sure, probably by a big margin, and he is more likely to win Virginia than Maryland.

Oh yeah Seattle is in Washington!!!

Virgina is more black, so that would go to Obama.

Excited for post-Super Tuesday polls, of course. Post 'em here when they start popping up!

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080206/ap_ ... aign_money

Clinton lends her campaign $5 million. It'll help her with paying for her organizational efforts but there's a chance it might look bad to some of the voters, the same way some republican voters accuse Romney of trying to buy his election.

Uh?
African American population of VA 19.9%, of Maryland 29.4%.

http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/51000.html

http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/24000.html

how many latino?

Depends how the media spins it. I know Edwards loaned his campaign at least $3m. before Iowa and Obama has loaned his campaign $0.5m a couple of times. I am sure being Hillary they will make it sound desperate and somehow out of bounds of traditional standards.

Go to the links.

Washington State (SurveyUSA, 2/4):

Obama - 53%
Clinton - 40%

McCain - 40%
Romney - 26%
Huckabee - 17%
Paul - 9%

I'm pretty sure Obama will win here in Virginia. He is being backed by our governor Tim Kaine, which I'm not sure means a lot but will probably help.

Heres the schedule:

2/9: Louisiana - 68 Delegates
2/9: Nebraska - 31 Delegates
2/9: Washington - 97 Delegates
2/9: Virgin Islands - 9 Delegates
2/10: Maine - 34 Delegates
2/12: D.C. - 37 Delegates
2/12: Maryland - 99
2/12: Virginia - 103 Delegates
2/19: Hawaii - 29 Delegates
2/19: Wisconsin - 92 Delegates

3/4: Ohio - 162 Delegates
3/4: Rhode Island - 32 Delegates
3/4: Texas - 228 Delegates
3/4: Vermont - 23 Delegates
3/8: Wyoming - 18 Delegates
3/11: Mississippi - 36 Delegates

The only ones remaining in Febuary Clinton will likely win are Nebraska and Maine. Obama grew up in Hawaii and Wisconsin has very, very little Latino and Asian folk though it also has little African American folks. However, in December Hillary lead Barack in polls 39-26. One would think the gap has closed considerably since then.

And that leads to another problem for Hillary. With Barrack the clear delegate, vote, and state leader, do the people in Ohio change their minds? Same for Texas.

I think Warner and Webb are backing Obama too. I think he will Virginia, D.C and Maryland. If he can sweep those three that would be huge. If he can gain enough momentum he can carry it into Texas and Ohio and almost lock up the nomination.

Only the Democratic primaries are listed, as McCain has the Republican nomination sewn up.

February 9: Louisiana, Nebraska, Washington
February 10: Maine
February 12: District of Columbia, Maryland, Virginia
February 19: Hawaii, Wisconsin

Latest polls:

Maryland - January 6-9
Clinton 26%
Edwards 12%
Obama 39%

Virginia - February 7
Clinton 37%
Obama 52%

Washington State - February 2-3
Clinton 40%
Obama 53%

No 2008 polls in the other states, it seems. Note that Clinton is the leading fundraiser in Louisiana and Obama leads in Maine. Louisiana could be competitive given Arkansas seems to give off a strong Clinton aura.

wisconsin may be cliintons only win.

We'll see what happens there. Wisconsin is right next to Illinois.

Merged to the existing topic.

Good call, can't believe I missed it.

Finally, some post-Tuesday polls:

Virginia (SurveyUSA):
Obama - 59%
Clinton - 39%

McCain - 57%
Huckabee - 25%
Paul - 9%

Virginia (InsideAdvantage):
Obama - 52%
Clinton - 37%

Wisconsin (ARG):
Clinton - 50%
Obama - 41%

North Carolina (PPP):
Obama - 42%
Clinton - 40%

I disagree about Louisiana. It has a large black population in that state and that I think will swing it to Obama.

Anyone know if there have been post-Super Tuesday Ohio/Texas polls?

Haven't seen one, probably not until after Wisconsin.

Maryland (SurveyUSA):
Dem
Obama - 52%
Clinton - 33%

Rep
McCain - 56%
Huckabee - 17%
Paul - 10%

If Obama could win all three (VA, MA, and DC) by +20% next Tuesday, that momentum could be enough to carry into Wisconsin, and then Ohio and Texas.

Huckabee won Kansas, by a big margin in fact. Romney was expected to win there, so look like almost all his votes went to Huckabee.

What happens to Romney's pledged delegates?