World of KJ :: View topic - Saturday Primary and Chesapeake Tuesday

Mannyisthebest wrote:

Oh yeah Seattle is in Washington!!!

Virgina is more black, so that would go to Obama.

Archie Gates wrote:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080206/ap_on_el_pr/campaign_money

Clinton lends her campaign $5 million. It'll help her with paying for her organizational efforts but there's a chance it might look bad to some of the voters, the same way some republican voters accuse Romney of trying to buy his election.

Re-sign Randy! wrote:

how many latino?

Re-sign Randy! wrote:

wisconsin may be cliintons only win.

xiayun wrote:

Merged to the existing topic.

Angela Merkel wrote:

Only the Democratic primaries are listed, as McCain has the Republican nomination sewn up.

February 9: Louisiana, Nebraska, Washington
February 10: Maine
February 12: District of Columbia, Maryland, Virginia
February 19: Hawaii, Wisconsin

Latest polls:

Maryland - January 6-9
Clinton 26%
Edwards 12%
Obama 39%

Virginia - February 7
Clinton 37%
Obama 52%

Washington State - February 2-3
Clinton 40%
Obama 53%

No 2008 polls in the other states, it seems. Note that Clinton is the leading fundraiser in Louisiana and Obama leads in Maine. Louisiana could be competitive given Arkansas seems to give off a strong Clinton aura.

Dkmuto wrote:

Anyone know if there have been post-Super Tuesday Ohio/Texas polls?

Author:	xiayun [ Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:30 pm ]
Post subject:	Saturday Primary and Chesapeake Tuesday
The next 7 days: Feb 9 Louisiana Primary (67 delegates) Nebraska Caucus (31 delegates) Washington Caucus (97 delegates) Virgin Islands (9 delegates) Feb 10 Maine Caucus (34 delegates) Feb 12 District of Columbia Primary (37 delegates) Maryland Primary (99 delegates) Virginia Primary (101 delegates) This is where Obama's strength should truly show, and he could come out of Feb 12 with significant momentum and good lead in pledged delegates.

Author:	Mannyisthebest [ Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:57 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Louisiana Primary (67 delegates) - Obama Nebraska Caucus (31 delegates) - Clinton Washington Caucus (97 delegates)- Clinton Virgin Islands (9 delegates)- Obama Feb 10 Maine Caucus (34 delegates)- Clinton Feb 12 District of Columbia Primary (37 delegates)- Obama Maryland Primary (99 delegates)- Obama Virginia Primary (101 delegates)- Clinton

Author:	xiayun [ Wed Feb 06, 2008 1:05 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Obama is winning Washington state for sure, probably by a big margin, and he is more likely to win Virginia than Maryland.

Author:	Mannyisthebest [ Wed Feb 06, 2008 1:08 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Oh yeah Seattle is in Washington!!! Virgina is more black, so that would go to Obama.

Author:	Dkmuto [ Wed Feb 06, 2008 4:30 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Excited for post-Super Tuesday polls, of course. Post 'em here when they start popping up!

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Author:	A. G. [ Wed Feb 06, 2008 5:23 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080206/ap_ ... aign_money Clinton lends her campaign $5 million. It'll help her with paying for her organizational efforts but there's a chance it might look bad to some of the voters, the same way some republican voters accuse Romney of trying to buy his election.

Author:	mdana [ Wed Feb 06, 2008 6:47 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Mannyisthebest wrote: Oh yeah Seattle is in Washington!!! Virgina is more black, so that would go to Obama. Uh? African American population of VA 19.9%, of Maryland 29.4%. http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/51000.html http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/24000.html

Author:	Excel [ Wed Feb 06, 2008 7:02 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
how many latino?

Author:	mdana [ Wed Feb 06, 2008 7:22 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Archie Gates wrote: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080206/ap_on_el_pr/campaign_money Clinton lends her campaign $5 million. It'll help her with paying for her organizational efforts but there's a chance it might look bad to some of the voters, the same way some republican voters accuse Romney of trying to buy his election. Depends how the media spins it. I know Edwards loaned his campaign at least $3m. before Iowa and Obama has loaned his campaign $0.5m a couple of times. I am sure being Hillary they will make it sound desperate and somehow out of bounds of traditional standards.

Author:	xiayun [ Wed Feb 06, 2008 8:13 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Washington State (SurveyUSA, 2/4): Obama - 53% Clinton - 40% McCain - 40% Romney - 26% Huckabee - 17% Paul - 9%

Author:	Libs [ Wed Feb 06, 2008 9:20 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
I'm pretty sure Obama will win here in Virginia. He is being backed by our governor Tim Kaine, which I'm not sure means a lot but will probably help.

Author:	Excel [ Thu Feb 07, 2008 12:19 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Heres the schedule: 2/9: Louisiana - 68 Delegates 2/9: Nebraska - 31 Delegates 2/9: Washington - 97 Delegates 2/9: Virgin Islands - 9 Delegates 2/10: Maine - 34 Delegates 2/12: D.C. - 37 Delegates 2/12: Maryland - 99 2/12: Virginia - 103 Delegates 2/19: Hawaii - 29 Delegates 2/19: Wisconsin - 92 Delegates 3/4: Ohio - 162 Delegates 3/4: Rhode Island - 32 Delegates 3/4: Texas - 228 Delegates 3/4: Vermont - 23 Delegates 3/8: Wyoming - 18 Delegates 3/11: Mississippi - 36 Delegates The only ones remaining in Febuary Clinton will likely win are Nebraska and Maine. Obama grew up in Hawaii and Wisconsin has very, very little Latino and Asian folk though it also has little African American folks. However, in December Hillary lead Barack in polls 39-26. One would think the gap has closed considerably since then. And that leads to another problem for Hillary. With Barrack the clear delegate, vote, and state leader, do the people in Ohio change their minds? Same for Texas.

Author:	Jedi Master Carr [ Thu Feb 07, 2008 2:22 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
I think Warner and Webb are backing Obama too. I think he will Virginia, D.C and Maryland. If he can sweep those three that would be huge. If he can gain enough momentum he can carry it into Texas and Ohio and almost lock up the nomination.

Author:	Anita Hussein Briem [ Fri Feb 08, 2008 3:40 pm ]
Post subject:	February Primaries - WA, LA, NE, ME, VA, DC, MD, HI, WI
Only the Democratic primaries are listed, as McCain has the Republican nomination sewn up. February 9: Louisiana, Nebraska, Washington February 10: Maine February 12: District of Columbia, Maryland, Virginia February 19: Hawaii, Wisconsin Latest polls: Maryland - January 6-9 Clinton 26% Edwards 12% Obama 39% Virginia - February 7 Clinton 37% Obama 52% Washington State - February 2-3 Clinton 40% Obama 53% No 2008 polls in the other states, it seems. Note that Clinton is the leading fundraiser in Louisiana and Obama leads in Maine. Louisiana could be competitive given Arkansas seems to give off a strong Clinton aura.

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Author:	Excel [ Fri Feb 08, 2008 4:03 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: February Primaries - WA, LA, NE, ME, VA, DC, MD, HI, WI
wisconsin may be cliintons only win.

Author:	xiayun [ Fri Feb 08, 2008 4:19 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Merged to the existing topic.

Author:	xiayun [ Fri Feb 08, 2008 5:05 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Finally, some post-Tuesday polls: Virginia (SurveyUSA): Obama - 59% Clinton - 39% McCain - 57% Huckabee - 25% Paul - 9% Virginia (InsideAdvantage): Obama - 52% Clinton - 37% Wisconsin (ARG): Clinton - 50% Obama - 41% North Carolina (PPP): Obama - 42% Clinton - 40%

Author:	Jedi Master Carr [ Fri Feb 08, 2008 6:01 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: February Primaries - WA, LA, NE, ME, VA, DC, MD, HI, WI
Angela Merkel wrote: Only the Democratic primaries are listed, as McCain has the Republican nomination sewn up. February 9: Louisiana, Nebraska, Washington February 10: Maine February 12: District of Columbia, Maryland, Virginia February 19: Hawaii, Wisconsin Latest polls: Maryland - January 6-9 Clinton 26% Edwards 12% Obama 39% Virginia - February 7 Clinton 37% Obama 52% Washington State - February 2-3 Clinton 40% Obama 53% No 2008 polls in the other states, it seems. Note that Clinton is the leading fundraiser in Louisiana and Obama leads in Maine. Louisiana could be competitive given Arkansas seems to give off a strong Clinton aura. I disagree about Louisiana. It has a large black population in that state and that I think will swing it to Obama.

Author:	Dkmuto [ Fri Feb 08, 2008 6:55 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Anyone know if there have been post-Super Tuesday Ohio/Texas polls?

Author:	xiayun [ Fri Feb 08, 2008 7:07 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Dkmuto wrote: Anyone know if there have been post-Super Tuesday Ohio/Texas polls? Haven't seen one, probably not until after Wisconsin. Maryland (SurveyUSA): Dem Obama - 52% Clinton - 33% Rep McCain - 56% Huckabee - 17% Paul - 10% If Obama could win all three (VA, MA, and DC) by +20% next Tuesday, that momentum could be enough to carry into Wisconsin, and then Ohio and Texas.

Author:	xiayun [ Sat Feb 09, 2008 5:34 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
Huckabee won Kansas, by a big margin in fact. Romney was expected to win there, so look like almost all his votes went to Huckabee.

Author:	Chris [ Sat Feb 09, 2008 5:40 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Heading to Chesapeake Tuesday
What happens to Romney's pledged delegates?