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 Remaining Contests 
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Shack wrote:
Corpse wrote:
Beeblebrox wrote:
Corpse wrote:
No one is arguing whether or not Clinton has lost, she has. What people are arguing is over the votes. By not counting the votes in MI, the DEM party is going to risk losing MI to McCain in the fall.


They DID count the votes in MI, despite being under no obligation to do so. Why hasn't that shut up the Clinton supporters? Because nothing short of crowning her the Queen of America will satisfy her supporters.


I'm not one of those die-hard supporters.


:lol:

:P

Really, though. I like Obama, but hate the way he's running his campaign. He is doing almost the exact same thing the DEMS did in 2006 by saying they can make change in Washington, and they ended up winning the majority in the House and Senate based on that, and have done shit. When you have nothing to show you can get real change, that's worrisome because saying you want change in American is easy, anyone can do that, but not anyone can get it done. And the DEMS have clearly shown they can't get it done so far in Congress.

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Mon Jun 02, 2008 2:09 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
jujubee wrote:
It's really sad how logic doesn't make a dent in some people's arguments. I say time to leave the delusional to themselves. They can all yell as loud as they want that Hillary should have won, or even really did win by certain measurements, but it won't make a difference to reality.


Exactly.

I also love the fairness argument, no one said this shit was fair. Talk to Gore about fair, talk to Gore about the popular vote.

The system is what it is, you don't like it fight to change it, but don't just decide to change the rules in the middle of the game because they don't suit you.


Mon Jun 02, 2008 2:10 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
My god.

If they still dont understand that they have lost...I dont know. Its getting ridiculous. Hillary LOST. Get over it and join the obama bandwagon (which ive been driving the past year :thumbsup: )

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Mon Jun 02, 2008 2:11 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Corpse wrote:
Shack wrote:
Corpse wrote:
Beeblebrox wrote:
Corpse wrote:
No one is arguing whether or not Clinton has lost, she has. What people are arguing is over the votes. By not counting the votes in MI, the DEM party is going to risk losing MI to McCain in the fall.


They DID count the votes in MI, despite being under no obligation to do so. Why hasn't that shut up the Clinton supporters? Because nothing short of crowning her the Queen of America will satisfy her supporters.


I'm not one of those die-hard supporters.


:lol:

:P

Really, though. I like Obama, but hate the way he's running his campaign. He is doing almost the exact same thing the DEMS did in 2006 by saying they can make change in Washington, and they ended up winning the majority in the House and Senate based on that, and have done shit. When you have nothing to show you can get real change, that's worrisome because saying you want change in American is easy, anyone can do that, but not anyone can get it done. And the DEMS have clearly shown they can't get it done so far in Congress.

Hillary sure has changed America a lot in the 8 years she's been in Congress. With this argument, you really shouldn't be voting Dem at all, and you wouldn't really be missed.

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Mon Jun 02, 2008 2:14 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Corpse wrote:
I like Obama, but hate the way he's running his campaign. He is doing almost the exact same thing the DEMS did in 2006 by saying they can make change in Washington, and they ended up winning the majority in the House and Senate based on that, and have done shit.


Just listen to yourself. The Dems employed this strategy and SWEPT INTO OFFICE with one of the biggest majorities in history. Obama has employed this strategy and beaten THE biggest powerhouse name in Democratic politics.

Your problem seems to be that he won't live up to his promises. I'd say he already has in terms of delivering a new kind of politics. Whether or not he can implement his policies is a question that no one could answer about any candidate, including Hillary. You can't really compare him to Congress, since the Congress is facing a Republican minority so obstructionist that they voted overwhelmingly against Mother's Day just to block Democratic legislation.


Mon Jun 02, 2008 2:20 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Corpse wrote:
Beeblebrox wrote:
Corpse wrote:
No one is arguing whether or not Clinton has lost, she has. What people are arguing is over the votes. By not counting the votes in MI, the DEM party is going to risk losing MI to McCain in the fall.


They DID count the votes in MI, despite being under no obligation to do so. Why hasn't that shut up the Clinton supporters? Because nothing short of crowning her the Queen of America will satisfy her supporters.


I'm not one of those die-hard supporters. The main reason I would have prefered Clinton over Obama is because she could have won OH, PA, and FL. Obama can't win in FL, he'll struggle big time in OH, while PA will go for him. Losing 2 of these 3, and he's finished, and with 1 (FL) being a definte loss, that's troublesome. If you look at a county map of the election so far, Clinton is winning in the same places Bush won in 2000 and 2004, while Obama is winning where Gore and Kerry won, and who won those elections? If you check the Electoral Map at RCP right now, Clinton is beating McCain 229- 168, while Obama wins 228-190.

You can make a case that Clinton vs Obama will be similar to McCain vs Obama given the areas Obama and CLinton have won/loss in. And if you do that, based on the winner-take-all system that the REP party uses, as well as in a general election, Clinton beats Obama, and McCain would beat Obama.

And that's not taking into account some women-vote backlash against Obama. Over 50% of the vote this NOV will be by women, while 15/20 will be from blacks.



Not necessarily all he has do is take the states that Kerry won and win one or two more. Obama could take Virginia, Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada. If he did that he would beat MCcain pretty easily,. I like Obama's strategy of playing to different states. I am tired of the same old state crap we have had the last two elections. Back when Clinton won in 92 more states were in play. If the democrats want to keep losing they should continue with only worrying about the Blue states and try to win Ohio or Florida. Some of those red states like the ones I said and a few others are winnable but Kerry and Gore pretty much ignored them.


Mon Jun 02, 2008 2:30 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Beeblebrox wrote:
Corpse wrote:
I like Obama, but hate the way he's running his campaign. He is doing almost the exact same thing the DEMS did in 2006 by saying they can make change in Washington, and they ended up winning the majority in the House and Senate based on that, and have done shit.


Just listen to yourself. The Dems employed this strategy and SWEPT INTO OFFICE with one of the biggest majorities in history. Obama has employed this strategy and beaten THE biggest powerhouse name in Democratic politics.

Your problem seems to be that he won't live up to his promises. I'd say he already has in terms of delivering a new kind of politics. Whether or not he can implement his policies is a question that no one could answer about any candidate, including Hillary. You can't really compare him to Congress, since the Congress is facing a Republican minority so obstructionist that they voted overwhelmingly against Mother's Day just to block Democratic legislation.

People forget that the Senate is deadlocked. Nothing is happening in washington because nothing gets through the Senate. The Senate is really tied since Liberman leans republican. The democrats need to gain 3 or 4 seats in the senate to try to do something. Also look at the house a lot of bills have passed but they never make it to the Senate floor because of that reason.


Mon Jun 02, 2008 2:33 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Jedi Master Carr wrote:
People forget that the Senate is deadlocked. Nothing is happening in washington because nothing gets through the Senate. The Senate is really tied since Liberman leans republican. The democrats need to gain 3 or 4 seats in the senate to try to do something. Also look at the house a lot of bills have passed but they never make it to the Senate floor because of that reason.

Lieberman caucuses with the Democrats (as does Jeffords) and other than the War, what area does he tend to support Republicans in?


Mon Jun 02, 2008 3:25 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Beeblebrox wrote:

Just listen to yourself. The Dems employed this strategy and SWEPT INTO OFFICE with one of the biggest majorities in history. Obama has employed this strategy and beaten THE biggest powerhouse name in Democratic politics.


The Democrats have a strong majority (in the House), but it is nowhere near "one of the biggest majorities in history."

The 7th-17th were much more massive even though the current 435 member limit had not yet taken place. 21st-24th as well. Lest we forget the post Civil War Period where the Republicans dominated the House? Just going back to the 103rd Congress, a much larger majority, 258-176, was in place.

I'm surprised Jedi Master Carr didn't note this.

http://clerk.house.gov/art_history/house_history/partyDiv.html


Mon Jun 02, 2008 3:37 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
KidRock69x wrote:
The Democrats have a strong majority (in the House), but it is nowhere near "one of the biggest majorities in history."


Yep, you're right. Duly noted. They swept in with a huge majority, even if it isn't one of the biggest.


Last edited by Beeblebrox on Mon Jun 02, 2008 4:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Jun 02, 2008 4:02 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
jujubee wrote:
Corpse wrote:
Shack wrote:
Corpse wrote:
Beeblebrox wrote:
Corpse wrote:
No one is arguing whether or not Clinton has lost, she has. What people are arguing is over the votes. By not counting the votes in MI, the DEM party is going to risk losing MI to McCain in the fall.


They DID count the votes in MI, despite being under no obligation to do so. Why hasn't that shut up the Clinton supporters? Because nothing short of crowning her the Queen of America will satisfy her supporters.


I'm not one of those die-hard supporters.


:lol:

:P

Really, though. I like Obama, but hate the way he's running his campaign. He is doing almost the exact same thing the DEMS did in 2006 by saying they can make change in Washington, and they ended up winning the majority in the House and Senate based on that, and have done shit. When you have nothing to show you can get real change, that's worrisome because saying you want change in American is easy, anyone can do that, but not anyone can get it done. And the DEMS have clearly shown they can't get it done so far in Congress.

Hillary sure has changed America a lot in the 8 years she's been in Congress. With this argument, you really shouldn't be voting Dem at all, and you wouldn't really be missed.


Did I say Hillary has changed America alot since she became a public figure? Again, putting words in peoples mouths, a speciality of yours it seems. I didnt' even mention Hillary at all in that, and she has nothing to do with it at all. The argument isn't about that. This is entirely an Obama topic.

I may not vote DEM this November, not sure really. I dislike the REP Party, and since about mid 07, I haven't liked the DEM party either. And since McCain will win my state with ease, so my vote hardly counts for anything as far as the Presidential race is concerned since it'd only matter in a Clinton vs McCain matchup here.

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“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
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Mon Jun 02, 2008 4:03 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Shack wrote:
Why do I picture Hillary 20 years from now sitting arounnd like Gloria Swanson from Sunset Blvd.

"It's time for my inaugauration now, Mr. Demille... They should've counted those Michigan and Florida votes! THEY SHOULD'VE COUNTED THEM!!!"


"I am big! It's the delegates I got that were small!"

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Mon Jun 02, 2008 4:48 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
loyalfromlondon wrote:
At least she'll be alive in 20 years. :unsure:


That's very true. Norma Desmond was 53. Hillary is 60. ;)


Mon Jun 02, 2008 6:51 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
KidRock69x wrote:
Beeblebrox wrote:

Just listen to yourself. The Dems employed this strategy and SWEPT INTO OFFICE with one of the biggest majorities in history. Obama has employed this strategy and beaten THE biggest powerhouse name in Democratic politics.


The Democrats have a strong majority (in the House), but it is nowhere near "one of the biggest majorities in history."

The 7th-17th were much more massive even though the current 435 member limit had not yet taken place. 21st-24th as well. Lest we forget the post Civil War Period where the Republicans dominated the House? Just going back to the 103rd Congress, a much larger majority, 258-176, was in place.

I'm surprised Jedi Master Carr didn't note this.

http://clerk.house.gov/art_history/house_history/partyDiv.html

I honestly didn't see the point to push it on him, mainly because he probably didn't even know it. Besides I didn't know which congress had the largest majority. I would have guessed post civil war but that would have been a guess. I don't have every even in history memorized don't you know. About Liberman you obviously missed my point he is a republican because he is kissing McCain's butt so much he should join his party. Liberman was always a very conservative democrat. I guess you forgot he is the one who pushed for the censorship of video games and tv shows.


Mon Jun 02, 2008 9:59 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Jedi Master Carr wrote:
I honestly didn't see the point to push it on him, mainly because he probably didn't even know it. Besides I didn't know which congress had the largest majority. I would have guessed post civil war but that would have been a guess.


Even under the most generous of comparisons, they do not currently have one of the biggest majorities in history. It was a bit of hyperbole, and you're right that it wasn't that germane to my original point.


Mon Jun 02, 2008 10:24 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
According to Electoral Vote.com, which uses the most current polls, Obama currently beats McCain 276 - 238 (270 needed to win):

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/O ... Jun03.html

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Dark blue means strongly democratic, light means not as strong, border means within the margin of error, white is a tie, and the same for republicans in red.

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Tue Jun 03, 2008 10:48 am
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
I would be surprised that SC would be that close unless the black vote turnout is like 95% or something. I wonder why Georgia isn't closer since they lean more democratic?


Tue Jun 03, 2008 11:09 am
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Jedi Master Carr wrote:
I would be surprised that SC would be that close unless the black vote turnout is like 95% or something. I wonder why Georgia isn't closer since they lean more democratic?


Georgia is democratic around the cities, but the rest of the state is very conservative...

I'm sure Michigan will switch by election day, and Virginia is trending blue as well.

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Tue Jun 03, 2008 11:17 am
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Jedi Master Carr wrote:

About Liberman you obviously missed my point he is a republican because he is kissing McCain's butt so much he should join his party. Liberman was always a very conservative democrat. I guess you forgot he is the one who pushed for the censorship of video games and tv shows.

Pushing for censorship makes one a Republican? As I noted earlier, Lieberman might be a more moderate Democrat, but the only area where he really sides with the GOP is with the war. He caucuses with the Democrats and he has a lifetime ACU rating of 16.38 with a 2007 rating of 8 (though I am not sure how much of 07 was factored in).
http://www.acuratings.org/2007all.htm#CT


Tue Jun 03, 2008 11:24 am
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
KidRock69x wrote:
Jedi Master Carr wrote:

About Liberman you obviously missed my point he is a republican because he is kissing McCain's butt so much he should join his party. Liberman was always a very conservative democrat. I guess you forgot he is the one who pushed for the censorship of video games and tv shows.

Pushing for censorship makes one a Republican? As I noted earlier, Lieberman might be a more moderate Democrat, but the only area where he really sides with the GOP is with the war. He caucuses with the Democrats and he has a lifetime ACU rating of 16.38 with a 2007 rating of 8 (though I am not sure how much of 07 was factored in).
http://www.acuratings.org/2007all.htm#CT


It makes him conservative. True Liberals are against censorship. Also he might not be caucusing with he democrats much longer. They are pretty much pushed him out of the party.


Tue Jun 03, 2008 11:45 am
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Jedi Master Carr wrote:
It makes him conservative. True Liberals are against censorship.


Unfortunately, that's not always true. Some liberals think it's OK to censor books from libraries that may be bad for kids, or video games and movies. And "hate crime" laws are a kind of censroship, too.

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Tue Jun 03, 2008 12:17 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Groucho wrote:
Jedi Master Carr wrote:
It makes him conservative. True Liberals are against censorship.


Unfortunately, that's not always true. Some liberals think it's OK to censor books from libraries that may be bad for kids, or video games and movies. And "hate crime" laws are a kind of censroship, too.


Yeah that is true, that is why I said true because if they stick to their principals they would vote against it. Unfortunately, most just like playing politics.


Tue Jun 03, 2008 12:48 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
Although not all exit poll numbers are available yet, looks like Obama should win Montana by a good margin, while South Dakota is pretty tight. Given that Obama is basically single-digit away by almost all accounts, the former should be enough to put him finally over the top, soon after 7:00pm PST.

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Tue Jun 03, 2008 7:01 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
CNN projects Democratic nominee lost the SD Democratic Primary.

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Tue Jun 03, 2008 9:25 pm
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Post Re: Remaining Contests
mdana wrote:
CNN projects Democratic nominee lost the SD Democratic Primary.


Not that surprising.

He has lost alot of the strength he had before early March, and his support has grown weaker it seems since then. SD is a good example of this since he enjoyed a double digit lead over Hillary here over a month ago. What other state did his numbers decrease as he spent more time there? The reverse seemed to happen in some of the later primaries.

And a poll a few weeks back had him up 17 in Montana, let's see how that primary goes tonight since he should have increased that lead based on how he's performed in this campaign. There's no reason the DEM nominee, who has been the frontrunner with a 95% chance of winning for months now to win with a weaker margin.

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“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
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Tue Jun 03, 2008 9:38 pm
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