New York Film Critics Awards

Best Film: Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Director: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Best Actor: Franz Rogowski, Passages
Best Actress: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Supporting Actor: Charles Melton, May December
Best Supporting Actress: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Best Screenplay: May December
Best Animated Film: The Boy and the Heron

I assume KOFM peaks in critics awards

Charles Melton’s name sounded like a 60 year old British character actor, but it’s actually the guy who played Reggie in Riverdale

Michigan Film Critics

Best Picture

American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Past Lives
Poor Things

Best Director

Greta Gerwig, Barbie
Cord Jefferson, American Fiction
Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

Best Actor

Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Zac Efron, The Iron Claw
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

Best Actress

Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall
Greta Lee, Past Lives
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Emma Stone, Poor Things

Best Supporting Actor

Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things

Best Supporting Actress

America Ferrera, Barbie
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Rachel McAdams, Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret.
Julianne Moore, May December
Rosamund Pike, Saltburn

Critics awards always feel like they are competing with each other over who are the most smartest and most coolest movie reviewers.

Michigan winners:

Full list:

Best Picture: Barbie
Best Director: Greta Gerwig, Barbie
Best Actor: Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers and Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction (tie)
Best Actress: Emma Stone, Poor Things
Best Supporting Actor: Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Best Supporting Actress: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Best Screenplay: Anatomy of a Fall
Best Animated Film: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Atlanta winners:

Best Picture: Oppenheimer

2. Killers of the Flower Moon
3. The Holdovers
4. Past Lives
5. Barbie
6. May December
7. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
8. American Fiction
9. Anatomy of a Fall
10. Poor Things

Best Director: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Best Actor: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Best Actress: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Supporting Actor: Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer and Ryan Gosling, Barbie (tie)
Best Supporting Actress: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Supporting Actress Oscar can go to a white person if it's a longtime character actress like JLC, Dern, Janney, etc. otherwise they’re picking the top black/minority performance they can find like Da’Vine Joy Randolph (or one of the Color Purple girls if they pass her). No Kerry Condon type winners going forward of white+relatively unknown. Blunt like Dunst is a vet in her prime but I don’t think that’s enough to get them in the JLC/Dern camp.

National Board of Review winners

Best Film: “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
Best Director: Martin Scorsese — “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
Best Actor: Paul Giamatti, “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)
Best Actress: Lily Gladstone, “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
Best Supporting Actor: Mark Ruffalo, “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)
Best Supporting Actress: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, “The Holdovers” (Focus Features

Rest of Top 10:

Barbie
The Boy and the Heron
Ferrari
The Holdovers
The Iron Claw
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things

I think these guys love Scorsese so not sure what KOFM win means.

Lily gaining momentum

Boy and the Heron in top 10 but Spidey wins animated... ok...

AFI top 10:

American Fiction
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
May December
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

TV:

Abbott Elementary
The Bear
Beef
Jury Duty
The Last of Us
The Morning Show
Only Murders in the Building
Poker Face
Reservation Dogs
Succession

The Color Purple is missing everything. Probably headed for weak reviews.

That AFI top 10 looks like a solid BP lineup. Color Purple will probably get in instead of Spiderverse unless reviews are bad.

Seems like Spider verse should win best animated

Chicago Film Critics

Best Picture

Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
May December
Oppenheimer
Poor Things

Best Director

Greta Gerwig - Barbie
Todd Haynes - May December
Yorgos Lanthimos - Poor Things
Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese - Killers of the Flower Moon

Best Actor

Leonardo DiCaprio - Killers of the Flower Moon
Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer
Andrew Scott - All of Us Strangers
Teo Yoo - Past Lives

Best Actress

Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Huller - Anatomy of a Fall
Natalie Portman - May December
Margot Robbie - Barbie
Emma Stone - Poor Things

Best Supporting Actor

Robert Downey Jr. - Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling - Barbie
Glenn Howerton - BlackBerry
Charles Melton - May December
Mark Ruffalo - Poor Things

Best Supporting Actress

Jodie Foster - Nyad
Sandra Huller - The Zone of Interest
Rachel McAdams - Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret.
Julianne Moore - May December
Da’Vine Joy Randolph - The Holdovers

Best Animated

The Boy and the Heron
Leo
Robot Dreams
Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem

Go McAdams

Las Vegas

Best Picture
Barbie
The Killer
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer

Best Director
Bradley Cooper - Maestro
Greta Gerwig - Barbie
Yorgos Lanthimos - Poor Things
Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer
Celine Song - Past Lives

Best Actor
Nicolas Cage - Dream Scenario
Bradley Cooper - Maestro
Colman Domingo - Rustin
Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction

Best Actress
Annette Bening - Nyad
Emma Stone - Poor Things
Greta Lee - Past Lives
Carey Mulligan - Maestro
Natalie Portman - May December

Best Supporting Actor
Robert Downey Jr. - Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling - Barbie
Glenn Howerton - BlackBerry
Charles Melton - May December
Mark Ruffalo - Poor Things

Best Supporting Actress
Jodie Foster - Nyad
Da’Vine Joy Randolph - The Holdovers
Rachel McAdams - Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret
Julianne Moore - May December
Rosamund Pike - Saltburn

Washington DC Film Critics

Best Feature
American Fiction
Barbie
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
The Holdovers

Best Director
Greta Gerwig - Barbie
Yorgos Lanthimos - Poor Things
Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese - Killers of the Flower Moon
Celine Song - Past Lives

Best Actor
Bradley Cooper - Maestro
Colman Domingo - Rustin
Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction

Best Actress
Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor - Origin
Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon
Greta Lee - Past Lives
Margot Robbie - Barbie
Emma Stone - Poor Things

Best Supporting Actor
Sterling K. Brown - American Fiction
Robert Downey Jr. - Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling - Barbie
Charles Melton - May December
Dominic Sessa - The Holdovers

Best Supporting Actress
Emily Blunt - Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks - The Color Purple
Viola Davis - Air
Jodie Foster - Nyad
Da’Vine Joy Randolph - The Holdovers

Rachel McAdams is getting in a lot of places. Well-deserved. She's wonderful in Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret.

Glazer and The Zone of interest seems locked for BD/BP moms noms after winning LAFCA. Quick glance at the Holocaust premise and this is the type of film right up the academy's alley.

Washington winners

Best Feature: American Fiction

Best Director: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Best Actor: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Best Actress: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Supporting Actor: Charles Melton, May December
Best Supporting Actress: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Best Animated: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

LA Film Critics Association

Best Picture: The Zone of Interest (Runner up: Oppenheimer)

Best Director: Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest (Runner up: Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things)

Best Lead Performance: Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall and The Zone of Interest & Emma Stone, Poor Things (Runner up: Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers & Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction)

Best Supporting Performance: Rachel McAdams, Are You There, God? It's Me, Margaret. & Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers (Runner up: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon & Ryan Gosling, Barbie)

Best Animation: The Boy and the Heron (Runner up: Robot Dreams)

Boston Film Critics

Best Film: The Holdovers (Runner up: The Zone of Interest/May December)

Best Director: Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest (Runner up: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer/Todd Haynes, May December)

Best Actor: Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers (Runner up: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer/Koji Yakusho, Perfect Days)

Best Actress: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon (Runner up: Emma Stone, Poor Things/Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall/Natalie Portman, May December)

Best Supporting Actor: Ryan Gosling, Barbie (Runner up: Charles Melton, May December/Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things/Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer)

Best Supporting Actress: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers (Runner up: None)

Best Animated Film: The Boy and the Heron (Runner up: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem/Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse/Robot Dreams/The Peasants)

St. Louis nominations

Best Film

American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
May December
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
The Zone of Interest

Best Director

Greta Gerwig, Barbie
Todd Haynes, May December
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
Celine Song, Past Lives

Best Actor

Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

Best Actress

Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Greta Lee, Past Lives
Natalie Portman, May December
Margot Robbie, Barbie
Emma Stone, Poor Things

Best Supporting Actor

Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction
Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Charles Melton, May December
Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers

Best Supporting Actress

Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Viola Davis, Air
Rachel McAdams, Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret.
Julianne Moore, May December
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Best Animated Feature

The Boy and the Heron
Elemental

Robot Dreams
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem

Stone got much needed big win in LA to challenge Gladstone, but it looks like half of it was that they wanted to prove a point by putting Gladstone in supporting

St Louis is probably the group that just tries to predict the Oscars as much as possible

Anatomy of a Fall would be my pick for the unexpected international director nom this year like Triangle of Sadness/Drive My Car/Another Round. There is competition for that spot though in Zone of Interest which from the Under the Skin guy seems like it might be too cold and arty to get in BP but maybe that makes it perfect for the directors to go out on a limb for, and Past Lives while not a true international movie kind of fits in spirit.

Looks like Animation is in for a fierce battle between Spider-Verse and Boy and the Heron

It feels wrong for Barbie to be in serious contention as a Best Picture nominee. If you remove the hype, it's a passable high budget Hollywood fantasy comedy like they used to release in the 90s and early 2000s. Some corporate feminist claptrap babble ham-fistedly inserted into it does not make it high art. It's closer to being the female Bruce Almighty than the female Forrest Gump.

American Fiction is getting a lot of steady interest. It was the TIFF audience award winner too so curious how it does once it gets released wide. Dark horse potential?