Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Thu Mar 28, 2024 7:06 pm



Reply to topic  [ 120 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next
 2023 Contenders 
Author Message
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23695
Location: Classified
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Re: Fablemens, I think general audiences are pretty sick of these legacy filmmakers shitting on their Marvel movies whilst continuing to make the same oscar bait over and over again.

Oscar voters won't care about that. They basically gave Birdman best picture precisely for shitting on Marvel movies. So I think Spielberg will win direction, but hopefully lose picture to one of the two films that the GA, movie lovers and film snobs agreed on this year- EEAAO or Top Gun: Maverick. They're not my personal favorites, but both are solid 8/10s and since Turning Red and Weird have no chance I'll root for what's best for the movie industry.


Wed Dec 07, 2022 3:28 pm
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23695
Location: Classified
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
63 metacritic score for Babylon. That should be the end for it, but getting poor reviews didn't stop Don't Look Up or Nightmare Alley last year.


Fri Dec 16, 2022 2:42 pm
Profile
llegó a la casa vía marítima
User avatar

Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6129
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Babylon may still be in the race but Margot Robbie seems like she's out. Reviews are brutal about her performance. They call her a movie-killer. I still maintain she's the female Jude Law: good but not great as an actor, too beautiful to be relatable. Barbie will be the last test of whether or not she can be headline a film. If that flops it's off to forever supporting actress land.

_________________
.


Fri Dec 16, 2022 10:11 pm
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67000
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
It's even 64% on Rotten Tomatoes, a platform that usually inflates a movie or TV programme's true critical sentiment.

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Sat Dec 17, 2022 7:47 am
Profile WWW
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 37886
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Margot still has a chance to get 5th over people like Colman or Davis

_________________
Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227


Sat Dec 17, 2022 11:46 am
Profile
007
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm
Posts: 10986
Location: Wouldn't you like to know
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Dare I say Everything Everywhere All at Once is winning everything, everywhere, all at once?

_________________
Image


Tue Dec 27, 2022 1:25 pm
Profile
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 37886
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Yeah I'm feeling Everything Everywhere BP win at this point. It will connect with people emotionally.

_________________
Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227


Tue Dec 27, 2022 1:40 pm
Profile
Online
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20302
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
I think EEAAO is winning Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor and Original Screenplay


Tue Dec 27, 2022 3:51 pm
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23695
Location: Classified
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
We should have all bet on Everything Everywhere a few weeks ago when it was at +600 odds. Now it's basically even with Fablemens at +175.


Tue Dec 27, 2022 5:38 pm
Profile
100% That Bitch
User avatar

Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm
Posts: 16894
Location: Monterrey, Mexico
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Yes i want it to win Everything Everywhere All At Once

_________________

Image
Tongue Pop!


I kneel with Magnus.


Wed Dec 28, 2022 12:22 am
Profile
007
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm
Posts: 10986
Location: Wouldn't you like to know
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Critics aren’t the academy. Still, surprised a film from that long ago is still mustering up support.

_________________
Image


Wed Dec 28, 2022 9:11 am
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11453
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
zwackerm wrote:
I think EEAAO is winning Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor and Original Screenplay


It would have been really something if they had a more prominent "lead actor" role here too so EEAAO could have gone for the big 5 which is so rare. The fact that it can do Picture, Director, Actress, Screenplay, supporting actor, possibly supporting actress in a best case could give it 6/7 of those categories.

I don't believe a film has ever gone 7/7 only at best 5/5 (last done by Silence of the Lambs). 6/7 though would be pretty extraordinary.


Wed Jan 04, 2023 10:45 pm
Profile WWW
Online
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20302
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Early winner predictions

Best Picture Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Director The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Actor Colin Farrell The Banshees of Inisherin
Best Actress Michelle Yeoh Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Supporting Actor Ke Huy Quan Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Supporting Actress Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Best Original Screenplay Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Adapted Screenplay Women Talking
Best Animated Feature Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio
Best Cinematography Top Gun Maverick
Best Editing Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Foreign Language Film RRR
Best Costumes Elvis
Best Makeup and Hairstyling Elvis
Best Production Design Elvis
Best Visual Effects Avatar: The Way of Water
Best Original Score Babylon
Best Documentary All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Best Sound Top Gun Maverick


Thu Jan 05, 2023 2:58 pm
Profile
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18843
Location: San Diego
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
EEAOO would be a great BP winner. Hopefully they nominate Hsu if they nominate Jamie Lee too...


Fri Jan 06, 2023 6:31 pm
Profile
Angels & Demons

Joined: Sat Apr 03, 2021 8:40 pm
Posts: 201
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
zwackerm wrote:
Early winner predictions
Best Foreign Language Film RRR


Ummm wasn't RRR already confirmed not submitted and thus not eligible for the win?


Fri Jan 06, 2023 10:33 pm
Profile
Online
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20302
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
letsmaybeLP92 wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Early winner predictions
Best Foreign Language Film RRR


Ummm wasn't RRR already confirmed not submitted and thus not eligible for the win?


It's already won like a dozen best foreign film awards so that would be quite unfortunate


Fri Jan 06, 2023 11:25 pm
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23695
Location: Classified
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
I've seen RRR tossed around for a possible best picture nom. Weird that it wouldn't make the shortlist for foreign.


Sat Jan 07, 2023 1:04 am
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23695
Location: Classified
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Wonder if the Angela Basset momentum could actually propel Wakanda Forever back into the BP lineup. They need at least one black movie in there, and neither Woman King or Till feel like locks to be the one. They could also just go full populist this year with Everything Everywhere, Top Gun, Avatar, Wakanda Forever, RRR and of course the new frontrunner - The Batman - all being nominated.


Wed Jan 11, 2023 3:07 pm
Profile
Online
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20302
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Woman King has a better chance than Black Panther, but Black Panther is ahead of Till


Wed Jan 11, 2023 3:16 pm
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67000
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
They're never going to have three sequels and two comic-book movies in the Best Picture lineup. If they're going to include a sequel, it will be Maverick. If they're going to include a comic-book movie, it will be The Batman. I really do not see a way Wakanda Forever gets it. It didn't do anything spectacular at the box office, it doesn't star Chadwick Boseman, it just hasn't had anywhere near the same impact as the first did, and the first was already nominated. Nominating the sequel won't do anything for the Academy. But The Woman King has a chance.

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Wed Jan 11, 2023 4:11 pm
Profile WWW
Online
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20302
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
I think these will be the 10 picture nominees

Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
The Banshees of Inisherin
Avatar: The Way of Water
Top Gun Maverick
Elvis
Tar
The Woman King
Women Talking
Babylon


Wed Jan 11, 2023 5:19 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11453
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
RIP Lisa Marie. Really heartbreaking.

A lot of people will be reading about the Presleys and think there's a serious chance here that Austin now will take best actor. It's a way to commemorate the family and celebrate their legacy and following the Golden Globes think best actor is completely up in the air.


Fri Jan 13, 2023 1:30 am
Profile WWW
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23695
Location: Classified
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
With all the guilds out, my final predictions are

Banshees of Inishirin
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Tar
Top Gun: Maverick
The Whale
The Woman King
Women Talking

Picture - EEAAO
Director - Spielberg
Actor - Colin Farrell
Actress - Cate Blanchett
Supp Act - Key Huy Quan
Supp Actr - Angela Bassett
Orig Screenplay - EEAAO
Adapted - Women Talking
Editing - EEAAO
Cinematography - Top Gun
Score - Batman

I think voters will be so worried about not having a black that both Wakanda and Woman King will get in. The Whale will ride its support from actors. Avatar will be the big snub. The Menu and Glass Onion will be the movies that in five years people will say "How was that not nominated?"


Sat Jan 14, 2023 1:49 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11453
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Just realized the Oscars were in mid Mar not late Feb.

I understand the olden days of Oscar runs but feel people are so instantaneous everything now that the length from nominations to awards feels so much longer now.

Hope TGM can make one more re-release happen if it gets a lot of attention though. Never give up on $1.5B.


Mon Jan 23, 2023 10:03 pm
Profile WWW
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67000
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Yeah, it's stupid to hold an award show when people are already well into the new year and not wanting to think about the previous year anymore. People are in a nostalgic mood for the first few weeks of January, not March. It's also another reason the Oscars telecast isn't as popular as it used to be, and one that goes untalked about. Throughout the years there is a correlation between viewership and date held. Those held in February have better ratings than those held at the end of March. There are other factors, too, but it seems to be that when all other circumstances are equal, a February date wins the viewers.

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:29 am
Profile WWW
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 120 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 16 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.