Wonder how the divisiveness of Joker 2 will play out for Gaga's chances? Nod but could keep the race open.

Gaga should really go supporting. If she stays lead, then she might end up campaigning against herself in favor of the trans woman lol.

Brutalist runtime being 210 minutes makes me feel better. There's no way enough voters are gonna watch that in order to get the win.

Gaga is not unexpectedly getting very good reviews, and from the sound of it she's less in the movie than the marketing led one to believe, so I think she will go for Supporting, and has a much better chance of a nomination there.

I feel like Best Actress is 90% a wrap at this point, the winner will probably be Madison even if Anora doesn't win.

Lee feels like one of those films that is completely ignored in all categories but gets a Best Actress win for Winslet. Fuck it, that's my prediction. Maybe it only comes true at the BAFTAs, but it could also happen at the Oscars with enough British backing.

With Guadagnino's Queer looking like it won't do much, I'm feeling better about Challengers and I think I should've put it on the draft list. Also I believe the Best Actress competition is pretty bad so why not nominate Zendaya.

Zendaya will help their ratings too. They could give Ariana a nod if they really want to pander.

Signs are coming that Clint may make a last minute addition to the awards race. Could be his last film so there's lots of potential there too if its good.

There are two films that are quite high on the bookmakers odds list that I'd never heard of before: The Brutalist is the joint favourite along with Dune: Part Two at 4/1, and Sing Sing is the second favourite at 5/1.

The Brutalist is getting raves and Adrian Brody is possibly a lock for BA. I'm looking forward to it though at 3.5 hours it better be entertaining.

Maybe Gaga can get a nod but going to be hard I think for a win for a movie that has had bad a reception as Joker 2 is getting. Better luck next time then Gaga?