Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Thu Oct 06, 2022 6:43 pm



Reply to topic  [ 57 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3  Next
 2023 Contenders 
Author Message
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Will Smith has a slavery movie Emancipation that probably would've been a player if not for the slap, Apple could be bold and release it this year

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Fri Jul 29, 2022 5:35 pm
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 64590
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Emancipation is toast. It doesn't matter when it comes out. Smith has rid the film of all potential goodwill, rightly or wrongly, because it will all be about him and not his performance. Also, we don't need another sob story slavery movie.

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Sat Jul 30, 2022 7:00 am
Profile WWW
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 21063
Location: Classified
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Variety predicts:

Banshees of Inisherin
Bardo
Black Panther Wakanda Forever
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fablemens
The Son
TAR
Triangle Of Sadness
Women Talking


Sun Jul 31, 2022 4:33 pm
Profile
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
I'd rate Black Panther 2 below Top Gun Maverick and Avatar 2

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Sun Jul 31, 2022 5:45 pm
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34385
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Variety predicts:

Banshees of Inisherin
Bardo
Black Panther Wakanda Forever
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fablemens
The Son
TAR
Triangle Of Sadness
Women Talking


I don't think Triangle of Sadness gets in but it looks great. Elvis better not be nominated. That would be gross. Nominate Butler but that's it.


Tue Aug 16, 2022 12:21 am
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 64590
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
What would be gross is Black Panther: Wakanda Forever getting in just to [yet again] honour Chadwick Boseman. When will the worship end? It's like it's never enough.

In that list, Wakanda Forever should be replaced by Top Gun: Maverick. Now that's a sequel that deserves to be forced in as a lifetime achievement type thing, and by all accounts the film is excellent, too.

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Tue Aug 16, 2022 9:36 am
Profile WWW
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Brendan Fraser is playing a 600 pound gay man? That might beat Butler.

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Sun Aug 21, 2022 5:26 pm
Profile
Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm
Posts: 1670
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Shack wrote:
Brendan Fraser is playing a 600 pound gay man? That might beat Butler.

Aranofsky has had success directing actors to Oscar wins too. Natalie Portman in Black Swan, Mickey Rourke in The Wrestler (also Ellen Burstyn in Requiem for a Dream nominated).

_________________
how am I not myself?


Sun Aug 21, 2022 10:57 pm
Profile
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Rourke lost, but the point stands

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Mon Aug 22, 2022 1:08 am
Profile
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Sam Mendes desperate for Oscars with a "magic of film" movie starring Olivia Colman (Empire of Light). Will he make a black and white memoir of his childhood after this?

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Wed Aug 24, 2022 9:13 pm
Profile
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
The new Chalamet/Guadagnino movie had good response at Venice and 94% RT so far, but is kind of a cannibal romance so who knows if it would be Oscars friendly

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Sat Sep 03, 2022 12:30 am
Profile
Superfreak
User avatar

Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 21464
Location: Places
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Fraser is also an immensely likable persona that Hollywood needs more. Hoping he wins and gets some higher profile roles.

_________________
Ari Emmanuel wrote:
I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.


Sat Sep 03, 2022 5:38 pm
Profile
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Shack wrote:
Sam Mendes desperate for Oscars with a "magic of film" movie starring Olivia Colman (Empire of Light). Will he make a black and white memoir of his childhood after this?


DOA reviews for this

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Sun Sep 04, 2022 11:29 pm
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 64590
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
70% after ten reviews is hardly panic stations.

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Tue Sep 06, 2022 4:38 am
Profile WWW
Forum General

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 9363
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Fraser, Cruise and Butler seem like 3/5 for nods. Many people of this generation grew up on Fraser movies and people love comeback stories. His standing ovation video has gone viral with folks like The Rock rooting for him. Feels very Renee Zellweger type comeback.


Tue Sep 06, 2022 7:53 pm
Profile WWW
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Michelle Williams role in the Fabelmans seems like the type they give Best Supporting Actress to.

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Sun Sep 11, 2022 5:45 pm
Profile
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Glass Onion is possible Best Picture nominee. I believe Netflix slate is pretty weak this year.

Hopefully A Man Called Otto isn't a complete non-factor as it played a pretty big role in my forum description

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Mon Sep 12, 2022 3:46 pm
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 64590
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
I reckon these will be the main films, and by main films I don't mean solely BP nominees, but the ones that get the most weighted love across the board - a Best Actor win trumps a bunch of technical nods, for example.

Amsterdam
Babylon
Banshees of Inisherin
Blonde
Elvis
The Fablemens
The Son
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
The Whale
Women Talking


I actually see Empire of Light being forgotten due to sheer amount of [big, attention-grabbing] movies vying for awards this year. The only thing absent from my list is what film(s) represent the blacks. Maybe that's why I Wanna Dance With Somebody might do well. Then there's Wakanda Forever, but I think they will vote for anything even slightly prestigious ahead of that.

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Wed Sep 14, 2022 10:12 am
Profile WWW
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
Algren wrote:
I reckon these will be the main films, and by main films I don't mean solely BP nominees, but the ones that get the most weighted love across the board - a Best Actor win trumps a bunch of technical nods, for example.

Amsterdam
Babylon
Banshees of Inisherin
Blonde
Elvis
The Fablemens
The Son
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
The Whale
Women Talking


I actually see Empire of Light being forgotten due to sheer amount of [big, attention-grabbing] movies vying for awards this year. The only thing absent from my list is what film(s) represent the blacks. Maybe that's why I Wanna Dance With Somebody might do well. Then there's Wakanda Forever, but I think they will vote for anything even slightly prestigious ahead of that.


They can nominate Everything Everywhere All At Once to have another minority led film

I think Avatar 2 should be considered a player until the reviews prove otherwise, after the first one almost won. Although it's possible they only choose one of it, Top Gun and Black Panther.

Blonde has 64 on metacritic and I don't know if Andrew Dominik artistic style lends itself to Best Picture nominations. The Son has some bad early reviews it looks like.

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Wed Sep 14, 2022 1:04 pm
Profile
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
With the Blanchett connection I forgot Tar is a Todd Field movie and not Todd Haynes. If it was Haynes it would have been his usual critically acclaimed with acting nominations but snubbed in Best Picture, but Little Children might have gotten in with 10 nominees. Still the reviews make it sound cold and exact type of movie to be more well liked by critics than Oscars.

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Wed Sep 14, 2022 3:55 pm
Profile
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
This will be the 5th straight year with no Meryl Streep, and nothing particularly close in that time either (maybe the small Little Women role).

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Wed Sep 14, 2022 5:16 pm
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 21063
Location: Classified
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
EEAAO is getting in and probably winning atleast actress and original screenplay. It's also my prediction for best picture but that category has been very unpredictable lately with an upset 3 out of the last 4 years.


Wed Sep 14, 2022 5:26 pm
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 64590
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
I had Everything on the list but removed it. I just felt the spark around it had faded considerably. But you're also right, it's ripe for a quota pick, but probably not for the big awards - maybe costuming, or it does well at the Globes and other awards but shut out at the Oscars. I don't know, the film just never screamed Academy Awards prestige to me.

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Wed Sep 14, 2022 6:59 pm
Profile WWW
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 35056
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
The virtue signal has ruled Best Picture wins for several years now. I'd say Shape of Water was the last true non one. What films would be this year's candidate?

Everything Everywhere All at Once - asian representation
Women Talking and She Said - meToo
Top Gun: Maverick - the current thing this year is Ukraine, would a pro American military film be best fitting one for that?

_________________
Main site articles are back - Recently: House of the Dragon vs Lord of the Rings, Early Oscars Winner Predictions


Wed Sep 14, 2022 8:29 pm
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 64590
Post Re: 2023 Contenders
If you want a complete virtue signal, you can't get more than The Woman King, and it's at 98% on Rotten Tomatoes so the Academy won't feel bad about their forced pick. Maybe not Best Picture, but it could be involved at the Oscars somewhere. You could also pick Wakanda Forever, I guess, but that would feel wrong being that it's a superhero flick.

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Last edited by Algren on Wed Sep 14, 2022 9:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Sep 14, 2022 9:13 pm
Profile WWW
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 57 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3  Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.