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 Here are your four acting-category winners 
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
I think De Tavira is 2nd most likely winner after King. The rest needed to beat Blunt at SAG. Ali winning also means there's no pressure for King to win to have a black winner

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Fri Feb 01, 2019 9:40 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
I still think Gaga has a shot at Actress. Literally no one watched The Wife. Sure, no one watched Room, Still Alice, or La Vie en Rose either but those films seemed to have way more hype and a hook for the performances. Room has a really memorable plot and role for Brie Larson and the movie was talked about. Still Alice was about a disease and it had that 'awareness' angle. La Vie en Rose was about a famous real life person. Whereas no one is talking about The Wife and no one knows/cares what her role was, it has zero presence even among the film cognoscenti.

Sure, Close got SAG, but SAG also went for Emily and she wasn't even nominated. Perhaps there is not as much overlap as we think anymore considering the Academy let in a ton of new people over the last few years. Globes are irrelevant, there is zero overlap in voters and they're just a promo opportunity with no prestige to everyone in the industry.

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Sun Feb 03, 2019 3:44 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
Close or King will win but not both.

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Sun Feb 03, 2019 8:23 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
Barrabás wrote:
Literally no one watched The Wife.

Whereas no one is talking about The Wife and no one knows/cares what her role was


How do you know what the Academy watched or is talking about?


Sun Feb 03, 2019 8:40 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
I don't think the Academy members or most are going to care if they've seen the Wife or not. I think they think it's just her time to win. She's had a long career. She's already won three major awards. They are going to be checking her box out of completeness.

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Wed Feb 06, 2019 10:06 am
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
I was wrong last year, but I got 4/4 in 2016. Lets's try this again.

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Tue Dec 03, 2019 3:49 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
I feel like it took one day for this to be outdated. Laura Dern beating J Lo in New York Critics Circle is not a good sign for her

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Wed Dec 04, 2019 9:59 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
Shack wrote:
I feel like it took one day for this to be outdated. Laura Dern beating J Lo in New York Critics Circle is not a good sign for her

I originally thought her but I thought her role ended up being nothing special after all.

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Thu Dec 05, 2019 8:14 am
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
I was 3/4 if you go by the Globes but I definitely still think J Lo can upset Dern, especially considering 4 white winners won't look good.

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Mon Jan 06, 2020 11:20 am
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
zwackerm wrote:
I was 3/4 if you go by the Globes but I definitely still think J Lo can upset Dern, especially considering 4 white winners won't look good.


Didn't think J.Lo was going to win, but to not even be nominated outright, whew.


Sat Jan 25, 2020 3:35 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
delete

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Wed Jun 10, 2020 8:23 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
why is viola davis gonna win for?

not like she needs more awards, lol

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Wed Jun 17, 2020 12:47 am
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
I think that was to say all winners will be black this year.


Wed Jun 17, 2020 12:51 am
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
oh shack is still pushing it?

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Wed Jun 17, 2020 12:57 am
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
Yes, it was a joke

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Wed Jun 17, 2020 11:41 am
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
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Thu Nov 04, 2021 10:41 am
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
It seems like Dunst is the biggest shoo in right now.

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Mon Nov 22, 2021 2:52 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
Shack wrote:
It seems like Dunst is the biggest shoo in right now.


Nvm, I forgot my rule that a black actress is winning this like 50% of the time to keep the twitter vultures away and they went Dern and non-black minority the last two years. Ellis as the mom in King Richard makes perfect sense here although I think Dunst still has a chance.

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Mon Dec 06, 2021 3:27 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
Hmm, we know the Academy isn't allowed to nominate fun movies anymore, but we've seen instances of Serious Dramafilms benefitting from genre films in the past. The biggest example is Alicia Vikander winning for The Other Woman but really winning for Ex Machina. So .... if a certain actor whose name I'm not allowed to mention for another week, who is in a Netflix musical titled after a Saliva song, happened to also star in the actual most popular movie of the year could it lead to an upset of Big Will at the big show?

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Sun Dec 19, 2021 2:05 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Hmm, we know the Academy isn't allowed to nominate fun movies anymore, but we've seen instances of Serious Dramafilms benefitting from genre films in the past. The biggest example is Alicia Vikander winning for The Other Woman but really winning for Ex Machina. So .... if a certain actor whose name I'm not allowed to mention for another week, who is in a Netflix musical titled after a Saliva song, happened to also star in the actual most popular movie of the year could it lead to an upset of Big Will at the big show?


The problem is Cumberbatch also has this advantage

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Sun Dec 19, 2021 2:38 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
Given the awards circuits it feels Smith isn't the frontrunner but he will win at Oscars which is unfortunate for Cumberbatch because he has been consistently great for quiet a few years now.

Dunst is out. Hopefully Hinds is snubbed because there were better performances this year.

Stewart is the true lock this year.


Sun Dec 19, 2021 5:53 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
Supporting actress will go to Wallis or Debose.

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Sun Dec 19, 2021 6:38 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
After seeing King Richard I feel pretty good about Smith winning, the Oscars tend to appreciate physical acting (like DiCaprio and Phoenix's wins) and the way Smith walks etc. really adds to the character

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Sun Dec 26, 2021 2:50 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
Welp. There goes Kristen's frontrunner status. Baffled she missed SAG.


Wed Jan 12, 2022 12:48 pm
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Post Re: Here are your four acting-category winners
Yep that's really weird and it seems after Golden Globe she will miss the nomination itself. Jennifer Hudson though is a real surprise nomination.


Wed Jan 12, 2022 7:00 pm
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