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| May 23-25 predictions https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=91132 |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sun May 18, 2025 1:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | May 23-25 predictions |
I always thought Lilo was going for over 500 so I'll say about 180, and MI with a solid 60 mil. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sun May 18, 2025 1:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
There was some debated on Glicked vs Wickediator ...but we can all agree on Lilo Impossible here right? |
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| Author: | Algren [ Sun May 18, 2025 3:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
No to the poll question. It's a kids movie that is a remake, there's no huge desire to see it IMMEDIATELY, whereas Minecraft is a gaming movie and the first from that series. Demand was there (even if I couldn't see it at the time). Lilo may do well because it plays well over the summer but opening-wise it isn't beating Minecraft. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Sun May 18, 2025 8:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
Lilo and Stitch 3-day at a minimum will most likely match (or get close to) Minecraft 3-day and then have the holiday Monday to surge ahead. It should dominate the market pre-Dragon and probably still do well longer term. Summer weekdays will also kick in. The question will be if it can do $500m or not. I think it scrapes by if it opens at the higher end of expectations. Something like $475-$525m at this stage. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Sun May 18, 2025 9:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
Lilo - 17/50/55/53/45 - 220m over 4 days MI8 - 9/21/23/21/16 - 80m over 4 days. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Sun May 18, 2025 9:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
As on date, its crushing Mine and IO2 in presales. Not even close. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Sun May 18, 2025 9:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
Great. My initial bullish projections were for $180-$200m 4-day so that is looking far bigger than that which is mind boggling. In this case - expect $600m+ |
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| Author: | flip1 [ Mon May 19, 2025 12:36 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
Lilo: 155m 3-day, 190m 4-day MI8: 68m 3-day, 85m 4-day |
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| Author: | flip1 [ Mon May 19, 2025 12:38 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
MadGez wrote: Great. My initial bullish projections were for $180-$200m 4-day so that is looking far bigger than that which is mind boggling. In this case - expect $600m+ Probably not, WOM should be around TLM which did 2.48x 4-day. Even if legs are good enough to do 2.6x 4-day, it would need to open to 230m+ on the 4-day, which doesn't look likely now |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue May 20, 2025 2:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
Reviews are ok at 74% positive through 47 reviews. Should stay fresh at least. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Tue May 20, 2025 7:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
flip1 wrote: MadGez wrote: Great. My initial bullish projections were for $180-$200m 4-day so that is looking far bigger than that which is mind boggling. In this case - expect $600m+ Probably not, WOM should be around TLM which did 2.48x 4-day. Even if legs are good enough to do 2.6x 4-day, it would need to open to 230m+ on the 4-day, which doesn't look likely now Perhaps not. I was thinking a 2.8 multiplier but given that reviews aren't crash hot and it probably won't open over $200m 4-day - $500m is a better target. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Thu May 22, 2025 9:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
Feels like 15m previews for Lilo. it was not as backloaded as IO2/Mine. Thinking OW 4 day between 180-200m range. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Thu May 22, 2025 10:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
$180-$190m is where I expect it also. Will be interesting to track over the next few days. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri May 23, 2025 12:22 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
WoM for L+S is gonna be strong. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Fri May 23, 2025 11:59 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
L - 185m MI8 - 80m. Crazy weekend indeed. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Sun May 25, 2025 11:45 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 23-25 predictions |
Snow White tops $87 million this weekend. Get in! |
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