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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21498 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 May 9-11 Predictions
Clown in the Cornfield 6m Fight or Flight 4m Shadow Force 1.5m
Thunderbolts -45% Sinners -33%
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Fri May 02, 2025 8:02 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68254 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
62%
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Fri May 02, 2025 8:24 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35220 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
Clown in a Cornfield was so fucking awesome! Very fun and funny! I highly recommend it if you're a horror fan.
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Fri May 02, 2025 9:23 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6739
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
Sinners will drop like 20% next weekend. This weekend its dropping just over 25%. There is no way it will drop more next weekend without any opener.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri May 02, 2025 11:18 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35220 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
It's crazy to me that there's nothing really aimed at moms for Mother's Day weekend. Hopefully the moms that like horror movies decide to fuck with Frendo. 
Last edited by Magic Mike on Mon May 05, 2025 10:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri May 02, 2025 11:38 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40362
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
Crap weekend... Sinners might do something crazy again.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri May 02, 2025 12:08 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35220 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
I hope zwack is right on Clown. I feel like 6 Million would be incredible for it. I'm hoping it does well for an indie horror flick. It sucks that I only ever had the trailer before The Ugly Stepsister. Sinners would have been awesome exposure for it. Did anyone have the trailer in a theater with anything?
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Sat May 03, 2025 10:38 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21498 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: I hope zwack is right on Clown. I feel like 6 Million would be incredible for it. I'm hoping it does well for an indie horror flick. It sucks that I only ever had the trailer before The Ugly Stepsister. Sinners would have been awesome exposure for it. Did anyone have the trailer in a theater with anything? I’m just wildly guessing the release seems pretty wide but I’d never heard about it till last week lol
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Sat May 03, 2025 10:51 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23296 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
Apparently, Clown is based on a book. $4-6m is possible.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Sun May 04, 2025 8:04 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35220 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
There are 3 books so far, with a 4th possibly on the way. After seeing the movie, I definitely want to read the books.
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Sun May 04, 2025 8:12 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25264 Location: Classified
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
I'll see it if it plays at either of my close theaters, but doesn't look like it will. So will probably do Until Dawn (finally) and maybe the 50th anniversary of Holy Grail this week.
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Mon May 05, 2025 12:58 am |
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Speed Racer
Joined: Thu Jan 07, 2010 11:14 am Posts: 158 Location: South Korea
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
55~60% drop
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Mon May 05, 2025 8:49 am |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5813
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
I think Sinners was filmed completely in the US while Thunderbolts and Minecraft were filmed internationally. Would be interesting to see how box office would get affected if ticket prices for Sinners remain the same while prices for the other two suddenly doubled,
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Mon May 05, 2025 12:42 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6739
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
I dont think you can just do it. I am not sure if its even legal and nothing has even crossed borders. There is no way to put tariff on a digital goods. That way you need to do it for everything like companies using tech workers world wide and how about CGI workers who are also global. Can of worms it will open will kill everything. Not just movies. Companies would rather move out of US at that point.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon May 05, 2025 12:59 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68254 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
Won't it just apply to the production company? Like, if it was made by Plan B or Universal then it will be considered "American", and if it's made by, say, Huayi Brothers, it will be considered "foreign". Because getting into the specifics of where it was filmed or where the visual FX team was based is crazy and will open up a can of worms as Keyser said.
And then it would be easier to tariff in a sort of "if you want to screen in US cinemas you need to pay a set fee" type thing.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Mon May 05, 2025 3:47 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3216
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
What are we thinking for the next weekend? Thunderbolts* and Sinners especially.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Tue May 06, 2025 4:50 pm |
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flip1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 243
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
Thunderbolts: 34m Sinners: 25m
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Tue May 06, 2025 6:46 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19387 Location: San Diego
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
34.2m for Thunderbolts, 54% drop.
24.8m for Sinners, 25% drop.
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Tue May 06, 2025 9:21 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35220 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
2,277 theaters for Clown in a Cornfield.
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Thu May 08, 2025 5:48 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40362
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
-72% from last Friday seems only ok considering lack of competition.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat May 10, 2025 12:37 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25264 Location: Classified
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
-55% doesn't seem that bad to me when the standard has been 60% for the good ones, 70% for the not so good ones. Guardians 3 was a special case where the opening should have been like $30-40M higher, but it was deflated by the damage that Quantumania did to the brand.
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Sun May 11, 2025 1:48 pm |
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flip1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 243
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
21m is a little disappointing for Sinners with nothing else releasing and a theater increase
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Sun May 11, 2025 2:01 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40362
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
Still can't complain about an over 20 million 4th weekend.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sun May 11, 2025 7:03 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35220 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: May 9-11 Predictions
flip1 wrote: 21m is a little disappointing for Sinners with nothing else releasing and a theater increase Agreed. The competition only gets tougher from here on out.
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Sun May 11, 2025 7:41 pm |
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