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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21525 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 February 7-9 Predictions
Love Hurts 15m Heart Eyes 8m Bring them Down 1.5m Becoming Led Zeppelin 3m
Dog Man will repeat number one
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Fri Jan 31, 2025 8:12 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68292
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
Love Hurts and Heart Eyes will combine for more than $30 million.
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Fri Jan 31, 2025 10:47 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40449
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
Love Hurts seems like the type of movie that could have leggy run if it got good reviews, but not sure it will.
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Fri Jan 31, 2025 1:37 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25304 Location: Classified
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
With good reviews (91% rt) and a non-breakout from Companion, I'm calling Heart Eyes as a big hit for around $20M. Perfect date movie for the days leading up to superbowl.
Hopefully Love Hurts does well too but its a tougher sell and all the Argylle comps are not gonna help since no one liked Argylle. $9M at best. Opening this on superbowl weekend was dumb cause I think its more of a lonely bro movie than a date movie.
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Sun Feb 02, 2025 12:17 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
I would love to see Heart Eyes do really well, but I don't see it happening. Reviews are great though, so hopefully that helps.
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Sun Feb 02, 2025 1:58 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23320 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
I think Companion will hold well which could hurt Heart Eyes.
Heart Eyes is the type of slasher I like but I also recall getting burnt by predicting too high for Valentine in 2001. Though perhaps this is more a "My Bloody Valentine" from 2009 but looks to be a sub $10m opener to me.
Love Hurts has more potential I guess - perhaps as high as $15m but could also easily tank.
Also - the Superbowl may depress the box office somewhat so falls could be larger than expected and holds the following week better.
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Sun Feb 02, 2025 9:01 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
I was thinking around 5 Million for Heart Eyes, but that was before reviews came out. While I don't think it will change too much, I would expand it a bit and say 5-7 Million. I would be extremely impressed if it cracked double digits. If Companion couldn't do it, I doubt this will.
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Mon Feb 03, 2025 5:07 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25304 Location: Classified
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
I'll double down on it and predict that on this date in 2035 there will be at least six entries in the Heart Eyes franchise. It's a great title and easy to sell concept of a killer who targets couples.
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Mon Feb 03, 2025 6:39 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68292
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: I would love to see Heart Eyes do really well, but I don't see it happening. Reviews are great though, so hopefully that helps. I don't know, I was in the cinema last night and the Heart Eyes trailer got a lot of interest. It's not America but still.
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Mon Feb 03, 2025 6:42 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21525 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
Has anyone had a post Oscar career as bad as Ariana Debose? Argylle, Wish, Kraven the Hunter, now this movie Love Hurts embargo drops on Thursday? lol
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Mon Feb 03, 2025 9:38 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
...
Last edited by Magic Mike on Thu Feb 06, 2025 2:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Wed Feb 05, 2025 9:20 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: Has anyone had a post Oscar career as bad as Ariana Debose? Argylle, Wish, Kraven the Hunter, now this movie Love Hurts embargo drops on Thursday? lol I would say Alicia Vikander.
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Wed Feb 05, 2025 9:23 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25304 Location: Classified
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: Has anyone had a post Oscar career as bad as Ariana Debose? Argylle, Wish, Kraven the Hunter, now this movie Love Hurts embargo drops on Thursday? lol Jennifer Hudson comes to mind. I can't think of a single movie or song she even made since her big win.
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Wed Feb 05, 2025 10:11 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40449
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
DeBose probably gets a big Hamilton role like Angela this time when they make the movie.
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Wed Feb 05, 2025 10:39 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
I really did not expect Love Hurts to get such horrible reviews. 
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Thu Feb 06, 2025 2:14 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40449
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
How bad must Love Hurts be to get 20% on RT, having Quan and DeBose seems like a great way to get at least 50% of critics just by wanting to support minority cast film.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Thu Feb 06, 2025 2:17 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25304 Location: Classified
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
That's a shame. Getting two original movies over $10M would have been nice. Love Hurts is doa now.
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Thu Feb 06, 2025 3:39 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
I initially thought it looked really fun and expected good reviews, hoping it could be a sleeper hit. What a shame. Ke Huy Quan deserves better. Unfortunately, the poor reviews have killed my interest. It's currently sitting at 16% on Rotten Tomatoes with 50 reviews.
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Thu Feb 06, 2025 6:08 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21883 Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
Rotten movies you always have to look a little closer. Majority reviews themselves are 2.5/5 so even if it’s at 16% the actual score itself is closer to 55%. Most seem to praise the fights, but most say the juggling of genres doesn’t work. End of the day, might still be a crowd pleaser
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Fri Feb 07, 2025 10:01 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
Dog Man dropped 70% from last Friday. Ouch. Is being based on a book why it's so frontloaded? Hopefully it rebounds next weekend.
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Sat Feb 08, 2025 12:03 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21525 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
It will probably only drop a little over 50%. It’ll increase like 130% today
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Sat Feb 08, 2025 12:09 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40449
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
It is still a school day.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat Feb 08, 2025 12:54 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6750
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
terrible numbers overall both for openers and holdovers.
Ne Zha 2 crossed 1B USD(145 million tickets) in China as of today. its looking at its biggest day tomorrow. Overall around 1.5B and 200 million tickets !!!
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Sat Feb 08, 2025 1:20 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: It will probably only drop a little over 50%. It’ll increase like 130% today Hopefully you're right. Deadline sees a 62% drop for the weekend. Sunday will be deflated. Companion also had a terrible hold. I really thought it could have legs, but it's going to be hard to recover after an estimated 3.4 Million weekend.
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Sat Feb 08, 2025 2:17 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25304 Location: Classified
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 Re: February 7-9 Predictions
Damn what a shit weekend. Openeds will likely only have 2x weekend multiplayers since Sunday will see some epic drops. Heart Eyes not clicking with the Friday night date crowd is puzzling.
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Sat Feb 08, 2025 3:03 pm |
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