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| Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90850 |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Dec 20, 2024 11:52 am ] |
| Post subject: | Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Sonic - 6.5m Mufasa - 3.3m |
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| Author: | O [ Fri Dec 20, 2024 12:06 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
From DHD: Comscore reports that 13% K-12 are on break while 81% colleges are off. This moves to 95% K-12 off on Monday and 94% colleges on break before near 100% levels from Christmas Eve though Jan. 1. Not too alarming for Mufasa's long term just yet but clearly not getting anywhere close to TLK. Sonic could make a run for $300M. Other #'s: WICKED ($2.4M) -20.6% MOANA 2 ($1.8M) -21.4% Not terrible drops for Wicked and Moana considering Sonic / Mufasa came out. |
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| Author: | Shack [ Fri Dec 20, 2024 3:08 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Alice Through the Looking Glass 2.0. Snow White is super doomed. |
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| Author: | neo_wolf [ Fri Dec 20, 2024 3:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Mufasa has a budget of 200m not counting marketing, this is a blow for disney, another franchise bites the dust. Snow white has a budget of 269m, im amazed that disney keeps making the same mistakes over and over. |
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| Author: | Shack [ Fri Dec 20, 2024 3:32 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
This shows that Avatar 2 still ending up one of the biggest movies of all time as impressive, the 3D novelty was gone but Cameron was able to sell the story enough. It also helps that the Navi have more expressive faces than CGI lions who it's difficult to make feel like real characters you want to see the next movie from. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Dec 20, 2024 4:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Avatar and The Lion king 2019 are night and day. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Dec 20, 2024 5:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Imax are probably so annoyed. Gave up the sold out Interstellar shows for a flop. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Dec 20, 2024 6:08 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
It's kinda baffling Disney thought this was a good idea... would have made sense if it was cheap. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Dec 20, 2024 6:28 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
From Deadline Sonic 3- 26m Mufasa- 13.3m Moana 2 3.7m Homestead 2.8m Wicked- 14m weekend Mufasa should be fine since it will likely increase next weekend, imo. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Sat Dec 21, 2024 2:06 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
I still can't believe these two family movies opened on the same day. Such a baffling decision. I wouldn't count Mufasa out just yet. The holiday will give it a great multiplier. Those whose priority was Sonic might catch Mufasa later. |
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| Author: | O [ Sat Dec 21, 2024 2:36 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Charlie's #'s: Sonic $26.5M ($20M Friday) / $61-69M weekend Mufasa $13.5M ($10M+ Friday) / $32-35M weekend Mufasa's legs I feel will be better than Sonics despite the reviews just because Mufasa skews to younger audiences. Sonic as a series as had incredible consistency in their OWs ($58M-$72M) it's looking like for all 3 films over 4 years. I feel these will be a lot closer total wise than the initial opening days indicate. |
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| Author: | O [ Sat Dec 21, 2024 2:45 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Shack wrote: This shows that Avatar 2 still ending up one of the biggest movies of all time as impressive, the 3D novelty was gone but Cameron was able to sell the story enough. It also helps that the Navi have more expressive faces than CGI lions who it's difficult to make feel like real characters you want to see the next movie from. I sort of feel Avatar 2 benefitted immensely from nothing else really to see so it held a lot better than it may have with real competition. Even for post Covid, the Dec. 23-25, 2022 weekend (below) was terrible. Then Avatar 2 had only 1 film open to $15M+ until Ant Man 3 in its 10th weekend (M3Gan). 1 Avatar 2 $63,338,220 -52.8% 2 Puss in Boots 2 $12,429,515 3 I Wanna Dance with Somebody $4,700,450 4 Babylon $3,603,368 5 Violent Night $3,513,430 -30.5% 6 Black Panther 2 $3,492,584 -34.7% 7 The Whale $1,038,394 +617.3% |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sat Dec 21, 2024 3:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Migration's multiplier from opening day would give Mufasa 297 million, Aquaman 2's would give it 120. So I'll say it finishes around 200. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sat Dec 21, 2024 5:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Shack wrote: Migration's multiplier from opening day would give Mufasa 297 million, Aquaman 2's would give it 120. So I'll say it finishes around 200. It’s definitely Doing a better multiple than Aquaman lol. |
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| Author: | O [ Sun Dec 22, 2024 2:31 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Sat #'s from Charlie Sonic $20M / $62-65M -22.3% Mufasa $12M / $35-37M -9.8% I think Mufasa is priming up for a leggy run. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Sun Dec 22, 2024 5:58 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Mufasa is a likeable film. It will do well in the long run. Those who flocked to Sonic will see it later on. Certainly, a big drop from the last one but a respectable gross - perhaps around $250-70m. |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sun Dec 22, 2024 4:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Sonic franchise really smashed the video game curse getting 86% RT by its third movie. It could've been really terrible too. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sun Dec 22, 2024 4:50 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Both films should hold incredibly well through MLK weekend |
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| Author: | O [ Sun Dec 22, 2024 7:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
They have a mixed track record but Paramount really made the smartest move updating the special effects of Sonic after the initial bad social media reaction in 2019 when the first trailer came out. 5 years later to be powering a $60M+ OW with 80%+ RT score and likely $200M+ gross here again is pretty impressive. It's also Sonic not Mario or Pokemon so really shouldn't be at box office grosses this large but people do really enjoy these movies. It's probably going to be a business case or marketing class example some day of effectively acting on customer feedback. Mufasa's daily holds are promising. With not much to see should have a leggy run. Pretty bad global launch of $122M considering the last film made $1.7B. Good opening for The Brutalist. Gladiator's PTA dropped 22% so maybe if it holds onto enough theaters it can leg out over the holidays to a $190M finish. We have 9 days to make $748.7M to match last year. Not happening but bringing that gap to < $400M would be good |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sun Dec 22, 2024 8:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Yes the redesign was a great call and Carrey casting was always genius because he and Sonic both peaked in the 90s, I think without him or if it was all animated it just comes and goes. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sun Dec 22, 2024 9:49 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Why are Angel studios releases so front loaded? Do they have a rabid fan base |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sun Dec 22, 2024 10:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
zwackerm wrote: Why are Angel studios releases so front loaded? Do they have a rabid fan base Shenanigans buying fake tickets? |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Mon Dec 23, 2024 12:22 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Shack wrote: zwackerm wrote: Why are Angel studios releases so front loaded? Do they have a rabid fan base Shenanigans buying fake tickets? This, but also.... From Deadline: Quote: We’re told Angel Studios have been devils in their box office accounting: There were free screenings on Monday (which were somehow paid for), and began full showtimes on Wednesday and Thursday, but didn’t report those grosses, and are rolling them into the weekend gross. https://deadline.com/2024/12/box-office ... 236239220/ |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Mon Dec 23, 2024 5:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Isn't Angel Studios Mormon propaganda? lol |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Mon Dec 23, 2024 5:49 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Sonic/Mufasa weekend thread |
Barrabás wrote: Isn't Angel Studios Mormon propaganda? lol No they’re a Christian distribution company who originally made The Chosen tv series. They release a variety of films, both faith and no. Faith based. |
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