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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21525 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 October 25-27 Predictions
Venom: The Last Dance 77m
A few smaller movies open, including Conclave which looks great and Your Monster starring Melissa Barrera. Don’t believe either will do much though.
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Fri Oct 18, 2024 10:46 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
I'm planning on seeing Your Monster on Monday night as part of the mystery movie. It's 100% going to be that. I'm always right about them  . But yeah, it won't make much money.
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Fri Oct 18, 2024 11:33 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6751
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
Shawn @BOT is thinking Venom could open as low as 45m !!! I hope it does not go that low. https://boxofficetheory.com/5-week-trac ... -tracking/
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Oct 18, 2024 1:37 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68292
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
Tbh I'm surprised KJ hasn't predicted that too. It's very normal for KJ to not see a big success or flop but then try to predict "the next [insert film here]". That's just what Shawn has done.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Fri Oct 18, 2024 1:53 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40448
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
Well it's all set up for Wickediator if Venom disappoints and November is pretty dead until then.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri Oct 18, 2024 3:56 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21525 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
Wasn’t Venom 2 we were all expecting it to do really low then it did 90m?
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Fri Oct 18, 2024 10:48 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23320 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
If Venom falls that much the next years comic book films should be worried. I still think it will do $75m plus.
Conclave I once wanted to see andsee do well but now knowing about the ending - meh.
_________________
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Sat Oct 19, 2024 6:16 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6751
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
I think 60m is a good target for Venom 3 at this point. Presales at many markets are well below last movie and worse its doing way worse beyond previews. Below 50m would be absolute disaster. zwackerm wrote: Wasn’t Venom 2 we were all expecting it to do really low then it did 90m? Venom 2 had crazy ramp up in final 10 days. I think it was due to COVID and late change of release date. So far it does not look like Venom 3 would behave like that.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sun Oct 20, 2024 12:40 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68292
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
I feel sorry for the upcoming Lord of the Rings movie.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun Oct 20, 2024 1:22 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40448
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
Can Kraven the Hunter making negative money?
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sun Oct 20, 2024 2:25 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
I sure hope sales for Venom 3 pickup. We don't need another box office disappointment.
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Mon Oct 21, 2024 4:21 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6751
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
Its trending down at this point. Pace at this point is half of what was for the last movie. I think best case scenario has to be 60m with a turn around.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Oct 21, 2024 2:26 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6751
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
I think sub 50m is most likely scenario at this point. Trend is horrendous.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue Oct 22, 2024 11:37 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40448
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
I guess the Venom bros are saving their money for Wicked.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Oct 22, 2024 12:00 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
Damn, I thought Venom 3 was going to do much better, especially after Joker flopped.
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Wed Oct 23, 2024 9:26 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
Almost 3,000 theaters for We Live in Time. Goddamn. I expected closer to 2,000. I wonder how it will do.
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Thu Oct 24, 2024 6:13 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68292
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
It is a small film that can do well over time. Going too big too early will kill it, imo.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Thu Oct 24, 2024 6:26 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6751
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
Looks like 7m previews. Walkups today were no where as good as what was seen for Venom 2. I am thinking 50m OW at this point.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Oct 25, 2024 12:47 am |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm Posts: 1885
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 Re: October 25-27 Predictions
which, if you squint your eyes to avoid remebering the specific OWs and totals of the other movies (and the presumed expectations for this one based on those performances), $50m OW is actually pretty decent for a third Venom movie. The success of the first two still doesn’t compute for me
_________________ how am I not myself?
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Fri Oct 25, 2024 12:56 am |
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