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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20346 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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March 8-10 Predictions
Kung Fu Panda 4- 39m Imaginary-20m Cabrini-13m
Dune -40%
Dune should be number one 3 weeks in a row.
Last edited by zwackerm on Mon Mar 04, 2024 12:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sun Mar 03, 2024 3:40 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Dune should win next weekend for sure. I am seeing around 33m for Panda 4.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sun Mar 03, 2024 4:26 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Kung Fu Panda 4- 40m Cabrini-18m
Dune -38%
Strong weekend.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:15 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Kung Fu Panda 4: $35M
Dune: - 46%
_________________ .
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Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:57 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Kung Fu Panda 4- 46m DUNE 2 - 45m Cabrini-10m
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Mon Mar 04, 2024 9:02 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11517
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
I don't quite get it but DWA has a very random animated sequel strategy.
They used to be notorious for milking their sequels for all it's worth (4 Shrek movies over 10 years, 3 Madagascar's, etc.).
Then we had to wait 8 years for a Kung Fu Panda sequel. 11 years for a Puss In Boots sequel. 7 years for a Crood sequel. 19 years for a Spirit sequel.
They still have Dragon, Trolls, Boss Baby but seems out of character from their old ways.
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Mon Mar 04, 2024 3:08 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18878 Location: San Diego
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
44% drop for Dune. Low 30s for KFP.
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Mon Mar 04, 2024 3:21 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11517
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Here is the Kung Fu Panda series adjusted for inflation:
KFP1 (2008): $93,326,983 / $333,767,442 KFP2 (2011): $67,059,497 / $232,529,983 KFP3 (2016): $52,070,650 / $181,038,245
It's been 8 years but the lack of family competition can maybe help it pull off a $150M total which would be a big win. I think it only needs to pull off $23M to reach $100M as it has Easter coming up and limited competition.
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Mon Mar 04, 2024 3:31 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
KFP4 to me looks like a $30m opener.
However, with the lack of kids films and seemingly good tracking - $50m+ should be the target. It just wont get there by virtue of it being a tired franchise. $40m looks upper end for me.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Mon Mar 04, 2024 11:36 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
I heard movie is trash. But there is a deal for Xfinity(Comcast) internet customers who can get 2 tickets for free to buy via Fandango. They have 30 million customers. Even if just 10% use them, its going to make some difference. I am bumping my prediction to 40m based on that.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue Mar 05, 2024 6:12 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Good call. That will make a difference. $40m seems where it is heading.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Tue Mar 05, 2024 7:51 pm |
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flip1
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 63
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Dune: 44m Panda: 41m Imaginary:12m Cabrini: 9m
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Wed Mar 06, 2024 2:58 pm |
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flip1
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 63
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Dune: 44m Panda: 41m Imaginary:12m Cabrini: 9m
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Wed Mar 06, 2024 2:59 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11517
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
DHD is predicting $50M+ for KFP4.
I don't want to get too excited but the family movie vacuum leaves this as a big coin toss. Also hadn't realized that Spring Break is next week for a lot of universities and colleges. Friday and Sunday could be inflated for it as it gets students who grew up on the Kung Fu Panda movies when they were younger as well as family audiences.
I wouldn't be shocked by under $30M. But I also wouldn't be shocked by over $50M. With weekdays next week school holidays, could get an impressive 10 day total.
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Wed Mar 06, 2024 4:50 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23782 Location: Classified
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
What's happening with Imaginary? Looked like an easy hit on paper for the Five Nights crowd but instead it kinda feels like it is being dumped? Wish I had realized that before going $28M in the game. Will be lucky to hit half of that.
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Wed Mar 06, 2024 7:28 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38007
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Wonder what Imaginary would've done if it was the January horror...
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Mar 06, 2024 8:47 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20346 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Reviews aren’t terrible for Kung Fu Panda but basically it’s a standard kids flick that’s easily worse than the first 3 movies.
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Wed Mar 06, 2024 9:47 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Charlie posted at BOT that while adding Canada BO to domestic, they dont convert. They just add Canadian dollars as US Dollars !!! Basically 1 CAD = 1 USD. This is the most shocking info I have heard about BO and I thought I knew it all following BO for 3 decades.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Thu Mar 07, 2024 1:55 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11517
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Keyser Söze wrote: Charlie posted at BOT that while adding Canada BO to domestic, they dont convert. They just add Canadian dollars as US Dollars !!! Basically 1 CAD = 1 USD. This is the most shocking info I have heard about BO and I thought I knew it all following BO for 3 decades. That seems crazy. At the same time, I feel like in Canada they have to pay more anyway so I could see if a ticket was $10 avg in the US wouldn't be shocked if it was $12 in Canada. So maybe they do it to make it easier for reporting box office figures but for tax they'd have to report their revenue in CAD I'd expect? I definitely feel per capita though our box office evens out. Also @Keyser any data on Cabrini and how it could do this weekend?
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Thu Mar 07, 2024 4:05 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11517
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Keyser Söze wrote: I heard movie is trash. But there is a deal for Xfinity(Comcast) internet customers who can get 2 tickets for free to buy via Fandango. They have 30 million customers. Even if just 10% use them, its going to make some difference. I am bumping my prediction to 40m based on that. I'm seeing a lot of mentions (from 5 days ago) on the Xfinity forum of people not being able to redeem the promotion due to the limited supply. It feels like they could have had even higher admissions this weekend. Will be interesting to know just how many tickets Universal capped at but we may never know. Interest seems to have far outpaced supply. https://forums.xfinity.com/conversation ... 4e94bde8ef
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Sun Mar 10, 2024 3:31 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: March 8-10 Predictions
Shack wrote: Wonder what Imaginary would've done if it was the January horror... I think it would have done much better. Even February would have been a good time to release it.
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Sun Mar 10, 2024 5:26 pm |
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