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 January 26-28 Predictions 

Why didn’t studios schedule any movies the last 2 weekends?
They’re dumb 33%  33%  [ 2 ]
They’re not that bright 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
They ate lead paint 67%  67%  [ 4 ]
They were dropped on the head as babies 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 6

 January 26-28 Predictions 
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Hold the door!

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Post January 26-28 Predictions
There’s literally no wide releases this weekend besides a few Indian releases.

Sad


Mon Jan 22, 2024 11:46 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
This is where films should have platformed to wise such as Ferrari and American Fiction.

It is pathetic on behalf of the studios.

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Tue Jan 23, 2024 12:05 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
Yeah this would be a good weekend for some expansion. So silly Holdovers is on streaming/Peacock. Could've had a long box office run.

Miller's Girl comes out but doubt it'll do anything notable.


Tue Jan 23, 2024 12:17 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
Miller's Girl opens here on Thursday night. I'm baffled I've seen no advertising for it whatsoever. There are no TV ads that I can find. I've never seen the trailer in theaters. You'd think with it having a weekend to itself and starring a big name like Jenna Ortega they'd at least be pushing it some. Maybe social media will be enough. My co-worker told me the other day there was a movie she was dying to see. She went to show me the trailer and it was for this. This could have potentially opened to high single digit millions or in the low teens if they'd actually given it a marketing push.

Anyway, a bunch of Oscar movies are coming back to theaters. My theater gets Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer, Barbie, and The Holdovers.

Thanksgiving is returning to 300+ theaters. Such a random movie to bring back. Thanksgiving is long over :P. Saltburn would have been a better one to bring back.

Also, many theaters are getting the black and white version of Godzilla Minus One.


Tue Jan 23, 2024 12:53 am
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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
MG could have done something but it seems like they didn't even try marketing wise

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Tue Jan 23, 2024 2:08 am
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
It might only take $7-7.5M+ to win this weekend. Felt like an awards expander taking #1 would have been great for its campaign. Top 3 could be a free for all if studios really push those expansions. Picking the weekend rankings pre Tuesday #'s coming out should be interesting but will be very nod and streaming dependent.


Tue Jan 23, 2024 2:18 am
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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
My highest prediction in the Derby this week is <$8M. LOL

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Wed Jan 24, 2024 7:00 pm
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llegó a la casa vía marítima
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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
Some of the Oscar movies really should have gone wide this weekend. I guess the strike was a big unknown but still.

The next month or so is not much better. Which means Dune has possibly the easiest release date of any movie ever now, zero competition in theatres.

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Wed Jan 24, 2024 8:32 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
Yeah, Dune is going to explode even more than it would normally have done. The has to be one of the most open weekends for a tentpole to open since No Way Home's OW.

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Wed Jan 24, 2024 10:36 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
Oppenheimer coming to 1,262 locations this weekend.

Hoping it gets enough of a boost to stay in theater till Oscar night.


Thu Jan 25, 2024 4:24 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
Apparantly Poor Things will be in 2,300+ theaters this weekend.


Thu Jan 25, 2024 5:30 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
Holdovers 1,267 locations.

This weekend is truly going to be a free for all. Mean Girls dropping a lot. Literally only need $7M maybe to win the weekend.


Thu Jan 25, 2024 6:46 pm
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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
Poor Things will make an impact. Hopefully Holdovers does too.

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Thu Jan 25, 2024 9:30 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: January 26-28 Predictions
Barbie is also coming back apparently for 1 week. Theater Counts for January 26:

Mean Girls 3,544 -282
The Beekeeper 3,337 +7
Wonka 3,014 -122
Migration 2,962 -132
Anyone But You 2,885 -43
I.S.S. 2,502 -18
Poor Things 2,300 +890
Night Swim 2,258 -450
Aquaman 2,118 -305
The Boys in the Boat 1,869 -143
American Fiction 1,702 +852
The Holdovers 1,267 +1,140
Oppenheimer 1,262 +1,008
Killers of the Flower Moon 941 +925
The Book of Clarence 669 -1,341
Thanksgiving 511 +508
The Color Purple 503 -278
The Hunger Games 444 -671
Trolls 351 -127
All of Us Strangers 275 -20
Spider-Man 157 -309

Who is asking Thanksgiving to come back in late January? Adding 508 theaters? :funny:

--------

Friday / Weekend #'s (DHD)

Mean Girls $1.85M / $6.4M -45% $59.9M
Beekeeper $1.70M / $6.4M -26% $41.2M
Wonka $1.35M / $5.8M -14% $195M
Migration $1.0M / $4.9M -10% $101M
Anyone but You $1.5M / $4.8M, -11% $71.1M

Not from DHD, but rest of the movies are probably < $3M.

Top 5 total is $28.3M. Looks like top 10 will maybe miss $45M. Would be lowest weekend since Dec. 2022. :sweat:


Fri Jan 26, 2024 1:05 pm
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