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 Challengers - $100M+ Club 

Will Challengers Pass $100M+?
Yes 33%  33%  [ 2 ]
No 67%  67%  [ 4 ]
Total votes : 6

 Challengers - $100M+ Club 
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Extraordinary

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Post Challengers - $100M+ Club
Challengers comes out last week of April, starring Zendaya in a sports rom com. It will be 1 month after Dune for her and she's among the most popular people in the world with nearly 200M followers.

Feeling it's headed for $100M+. Who's in?


Sat Jan 06, 2024 5:21 pm
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
In

The trailer is really good.


Sat Jan 06, 2024 5:36 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
Is this a romcom...? The trailer makes it seem like a thriller.

Doesn't really seem like something that would breakout so out. Would be nice to see though!


Sat Jan 06, 2024 5:41 pm
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
Yeah it's not a rom-com. No way it makes even $20m let alone $100m

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Sat Jan 06, 2024 7:31 pm
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
It seems like it could build buzz on Twitter but Guadgnino making a mainstream hit would be weird.

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Sun Jan 07, 2024 12:47 am
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
I think it will be a hit but more in the $50-$60m range.

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Sun Jan 07, 2024 8:33 am
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
MadGez wrote:
I think it will be a hit but more in the $50-$60m range.


Same, it's been a while since an original RomCom did as well as Anyone But You will do, and it's been even longer still since a dramatic romance has cracked $100M...not even sure what the last one was? But we have so few of those these days in theaters that any total above $30M should be considered a success. I think Don'T Worry, Darling provides the bst precedent for this, also an R-rated drama aimed at young women, but hopefully this one is better and more compelling.


Sun Jan 07, 2024 10:11 am
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
I would say not a chance. I do think it looks great though.


Mon Jan 08, 2024 2:21 am
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
Jonathan wrote:
MadGez wrote:
I think it will be a hit but more in the $50-$60m range.


Same, it's been a while since an original RomCom did as well as Anyone But You will do, and it's been even longer still since a dramatic romance has cracked $100M...not even sure what the last one was? But we have so few of those these days in theaters that any total above $30M should be considered a success. I think Don'T Worry, Darling provides the bst precedent for this, also an R-rated drama aimed at young women, but hopefully this one is better and more compelling.


Don't Worry Darling is an interesting and apt comparison. It had a fair bit of hype/buzz too - so this could end up with a similar gross. Perhaps a slightly lower OW but better legs.

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Mon Jan 08, 2024 10:30 pm
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
Jonathan wrote:
MadGez wrote:
I think it will be a hit but more in the $50-$60m range.


Same, it's been a while since an original RomCom did as well as Anyone But You will do, and it's been even longer still since a dramatic romance has cracked $100M...not even sure what the last one was? But we have so few of those these days in theaters that any total above $30M should be considered a success. I think Don'T Worry, Darling provides the bst precedent for this, also an R-rated drama aimed at young women, but hopefully this one is better and more compelling.


That was helped out with the whole behind the scenes drama and spitting “scandal” though.

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Thu Jan 11, 2024 2:17 am
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
New trailer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gr6-E3S1a_c

Going to be big!!


Wed Feb 21, 2024 12:37 pm
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
Hm... idk. I don't really sense huge hit. If it opens above 15m that'd be good but idk.


Wed Feb 21, 2024 1:43 pm
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
Review embargo lifted. 100% on RT with a 8.7 average with over 40 reviews. Whoa.

Maybe this could happen. Would be great for an adult drama to get there!


Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:55 pm
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
That's not going to make a difference. You're delusional if you think it has a shot at $100m

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Sat Apr 13, 2024 4:48 am
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
I think its more likely to make 15 million total, but who knows maybe a MÉNAGE À TROIS tennis drama starring Zendaya (this is really her first every shot at starring her outside of that similar Malcolm and Marie film that everyone ignored during the pandemic (#1 on Netflix week 1, not even in top 10 weekend 2) She kind of reminds me more of Keira Knightly fame wise racking up supporting roles in well liked films, everyone knows who she is, then Domino comes along.

But she does have a lot of success from Euphoria which this could be marketing to so it could surprise with s a high teens opening.

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Sat Apr 13, 2024 11:23 am
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Post Re: Challengers - $100M+ Club
I think best case is $50-60m total. That's with an OK opening and great legs.

Realistically - $40m would be a good target for it.

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Sun Apr 14, 2024 9:28 pm
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