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 Holiday 2023 Weekdays 
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Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
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Post Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Tuesday #'s are getting up there so just started a new thread.

Wonka $5,904,173 $48,913,301
Hunger Games $1.2M -4.1% $147,370,000
Heron $1,090,000 -26% $25,448,799
Godzilla $928,219 -22% $36,055,76
Trolls $751,485 +38% $89,873,980
Wish $633,584 +18% $55,264,432
Napoleon $428,244 -26% $57,800,027

If HG follows CF's dailies from Wed pre Christmas on its total will be $172.3M. CF dropped -35.8% that week so HG is well positioned to possibly still do $180M though it is 3 days closer to Christmas.


Wed Dec 20, 2023 12:27 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Wed Dec. 21st #'s

1. WONKA ($4.34M)
2. THE BOY AND THE HERON ($1M) -23.7%
3. HUNGER GAMES ($1M) +5.8%

Napoleon $385,000 -14% $58,185,027

HG now at $147.2M ish (until actuals). Looks like it could pull a 4X multiplier ($178.4M), which is super impressive considering none of the original movies could even pull a 3X multiplier. 2.93X at best. Smaller OW makes that easier but still a very good recovery.


Thu Dec 21, 2023 12:27 pm
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Nice for Hunger Games (I agree 4x multiplier for its genre is impressive) and Wonka did well on Tuesday.

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Thu Dec 21, 2023 1:12 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Godzilla and Boy and Heron will end up out grossing every Hollywood movie from 2022 holiday season besides avatar black panther puss and violent night lol.


Fri Dec 22, 2023 11:44 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
At one point before Hunger Games came out I wasn't even sure it would do 100 Million. Its run has been impressive. I'm glad. It deserves it.


Sat Dec 23, 2023 7:43 am
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Big numbers!

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Tue Dec 26, 2023 1:52 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Tuesday is looking like Wonka back at #1. No surprise. Estimate is 9.25 Million. Aquaman 2 coming in around 8.5. The Color Purple with 7 Million. And Migration with 6.75.


Wed Dec 27, 2023 1:44 am
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Puss 2 - First 6 days ($26,153,375)

Wed Dec 21 $3,200,250
Thur Dec 22 $2,902,605
Fri Dec 23 $3,803,345
Sat Dec 24 $2,792,860
Sun Dec 25 $5,833,310
Mon Dec 26 $6,821,005

Migration - First 5 days ($24,563,055 est)

Fri Dec 22 $5,747,620
Sat Dec 23 $4,162,880
Sun Dec 24 $2,542,775
Mon Dec 25 $5,359,780
Tues Dec 26* $6,750,000

That would be very good for Migration. Dec. 26th was Puss In Boots 2's biggest day of its entire run and Migration is $71K off of that. The biggest test for it will be it's holds post holidays but this would position it well.

As for Wonka vs Jumanji:

Jumanji (2017) - Dec. 22-26 total: $72,381,302 (made $16,605,967 previous 2 days)

Fri Dec 22 $12,353,864
Sat Dec 23 $14,765,631
Sun Dec. 24 $9,049,833
Mon Dec. 25 $19,138,553
Tue Dec 26 $17,073,421

5day holiday ($72,381,302) / remaining ($387,909,513) multiplier: 5.35925X

Wonka - Dec. 22 - 26 total: $37,600,000 (made $57,502,717 previous 7 days)

Fri Dec 22 $6,500,000
Sat Dec 23 $7,000,000
Sun Dec 24 $4,550,000
Mon Dec 25 $10,300,000
Tues Dec. 26* $9,250,000

5day holiday ($37,600,000) / remaining (TBD) multiplier: 5.35925X

Wonka made 51.95% of Jumanji's 5 day gross on similar days. I doubt it will hold nearly as well, but if it manages to follow Jumanji's daily pattern for the rest of its run it would finish with 5.36X it's 5day gross plus preceeding week's gross, for a projected total of $259,010,528.


Wed Dec 27, 2023 2:22 am
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Dec. 26th #'s

Wonka $8,900,000 +51% $94,453,000
Aquaman $8,325,000 $46,625,000
The Color Purple $7,000,000 $25,150,000
Migration $6,524,060 $24,337,115
The Boys in the Boat $3,005,063 $8,728,445 (-25% just from yesterday's gross alone)
Anyone But You Sony Pictures $2,610,000 $10,660,000
The Iron Claw $1,708,784 $8,507,859
Ferrari $1,545,818 $4,422,103
Godzilla Minus One $822,376 -11% $41,803,375
Trolls Band Together $689,490 -8% $94,031,655

Solid for Boat. It has already outgrossed how much I could have seen it making and is a pleasant surprise.


Last edited by O on Wed Dec 27, 2023 2:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Dec 27, 2023 11:37 am
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Harsh drop for Color Purple. Hopefully levels off after this.


Wed Dec 27, 2023 1:25 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
That increase for Anybody But You lol. Would be nice if it cruises to a decent total for romcom's sake


Wed Dec 27, 2023 1:50 pm
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
It sounds like Color Purple's Dec 25 was inflated by some pre screenings.

It seems like the impact of the superhero declines is some of the little movies like Heron, Godzilla, Anyone But You, Boys in the Boat, Iron Claw, etc. doing a bit better than expected (can also include Leave the World Behind, Leo and Rebel Moon as streaming options) as people's taste splits up into what their demo is. You compare that to last year where for example I Wanna Dance With Somebody made 23 total, the Fabelmans 17 and Babylon 15. I think they'd all do better in 2023 environment.

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Wed Dec 27, 2023 2:19 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Go Wonka!

Can Godzilla still make it to $50m? Feels like it lost most of its screens.


Wed Dec 27, 2023 4:11 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Great though expected for Wonka. It should dominate the next couple of weeks.

Migration should end up over $100m and so too will Purple. Today’s drop was expected for Purple considering the special group screenings it was getting on Dec 25th.

I like the breadth of this Christmas BO - we have multiple films doing well as opposed to one monster dominating like last year. It actually feels like how it used to be pre-1997 - before big blockbusters were slotted in to December (Titanic, LOTR, Hobbit, Avatar, Star Wars etc).

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Wed Dec 27, 2023 8:11 pm
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llegó a la casa vía marítima
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
As a box office watcher I remember one of the most exciting Christmases was 2005 Narnia vs Kong. They both felt like big blockbusters but also weren't franchise pics per se. It felt like a meeting point between old Hollywood and the new franchise-driven movie world. And they were also both very good.

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Wed Dec 27, 2023 9:57 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Disney has a track record of botching franchises and their move of Narnia from Dec where it saw success, to May where it made almost half the original was one of the biggest scheduling blunders of all time. Narnia was primed to be a HP type franchise for them but was a wasted opportunitiy!


Thu Dec 28, 2023 1:58 am
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
I'm happy The Color Purple and Wonka are doing well :)

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Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:52 am
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Another huge drop for Color Purple Wednesday. 100m is no longer guaranteed,


Thu Dec 28, 2023 12:48 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Anyone But You went up again wow. Could be a sleeper run.


Thu Dec 28, 2023 12:57 pm
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Another good day for Wonka and ouch for the Color Purple

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Thu Dec 28, 2023 1:04 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Anyone But You's daily retention is very promising. Could be at a 4X multiplier by the end of its second weekend. I could see it do $50M+ for a 8X multiplier.


Thu Dec 28, 2023 2:05 pm
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Anyone But You beating No Hard Feelings would be quite an upset

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Thu Dec 28, 2023 2:38 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Anyone But You could've done very well for Valentine's Day. I guess for some reason Sony wanted Madame Web for that time lol


Thu Dec 28, 2023 3:21 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Migration now above Aquaman, -4% from Tuesday. Should have a nice increase from last weekend.


Thu Dec 28, 2023 5:21 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Holiday 2023 Weekdays
Migration is actually outpacing Puss 2 at this point which is very promising.

However, the most impressive thing about Puss' run was it's Jan/Feb performance where it had incredible holds due to lack of competition and great WOM. Too early to see how Migration does but right now I think it's looking good for $120M+. It could be at just under $60M by Jan. 1st and with MLK coming up will give it another cushion. It's also got a fairly empty marketplace but think the Turning Red re-release may do better than expected.

Will be at a 4.5X multiplier at least by Jan. 1st so a 10X+ multiplier would be a great performance, especially with a $72M budget.


Thu Dec 28, 2023 6:20 pm
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