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 WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October 
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
O wrote:
Just noticed that something may be off on my scores.

The Equalizer 3 - $32M ($34.6M actual) = $3.6M off
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - $12M ($10.0M actual) = $2.0M off
The Nun II - $26M ($32.6M actual) = $6.6M off

Think I'm $12.2M off unless I missed something. Not sure how I'm already at 38.3 though I'm used to having some out there predictions :funny:.


I was still using your 18.9 for everything predictions. Your new score is 11.2 (you are 2.6 off Equalizer not 3.6).

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Tue Sep 12, 2023 6:15 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
My Score is off too:

My guesses:

The Equalizer 3 - 33m
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - 9m
The Nun II - 32m

Total: $74m

Box Office:

The Equalizer 3 - 34.6m
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - 10.0m
The Nun II - 32.6m

Total: $77.2m

So I should be at 3.2m.... :er:

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Tue Sep 12, 2023 9:42 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
MadGez wrote:
My Score is off too:

My guesses:

The Equalizer 3 - 33m
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - 9m
The Nun II - 32m

Total: $74m

Box Office:

The Equalizer 3 - 34.6m
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - 10.0m
The Nun II - 32.6m

Total: $77.2m

So I should be at 3.2m.... :er:


My bad that was a typo, you are at 3.2 million

I’m just seeing I made some other mistakes somehow, I’ll edit it and post the real scores

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Tue Sep 12, 2023 9:51 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Shack wrote:
MadGez wrote:
My Score is off too:

My guesses:

The Equalizer 3 - 33m
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - 9m
The Nun II - 32m

Total: $74m

Box Office:

The Equalizer 3 - 34.6m
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - 10.0m
The Nun II - 32.6m

Total: $77.2m

So I should be at 3.2m.... :er:


My bad that was a typo, you are at 3.2 million

I’m just seeing I made some other mistakes somehow, I’ll edit it and post the real scores


hehe all good.

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Tue Sep 12, 2023 9:56 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
I made the spreadsheet earlier this time cause I wanted to try using the average of everyone else’s prediction before I made mine, which must have messed up my normal routine

This week’s scores

Keyser Soze 1.4
MadGez 1.6
rftapeout 3.4
Algren 3.8
Magic Mike 4.4
Rev 4.4
publicenemy#1 4.4
stuffp 5.5
Flava 6.6
Jonathan 8.4
O 8.6
Shack 9.4

Total

Keyser Soze 3
MadGez 3.2
Magic Mike 9
rftapeout 9.1
Algren 10.9
O 11.2
Jonathan 12
Rev 13
stuffp 13.1
Shack 14
publicenemy#1 14
Flava 20.2

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Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:04 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Shack wrote:
O wrote:
Just noticed that something may be off on my scores.

The Equalizer 3 - $32M ($34.6M actual) = $3.6M off
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - $12M ($10.0M actual) = $2.0M off
The Nun II - $26M ($32.6M actual) = $6.6M off

Think I'm $12.2M off unless I missed something. Not sure how I'm already at 38.3 though I'm used to having some out there predictions :funny:.


I was still using your 18.9 for everything predictions. Your new score is 11.2 (you are 2.6 off Equalizer not 3.6).


Thanks! At least I didn't have to waste a season as just 3 movies showed the average prediction strategy was a wipe out. Thanks @Taylor!


Wed Sep 13, 2023 12:47 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Dumb Money’s September 29 weekend will be what counts

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Fri Sep 15, 2023 12:43 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
A Haunting in Venice scores

stuffp 0.7
Jonathan 0.7
publicenemy#1 1.2
Rev 1.3
Keyser Soze 1.3
Algren 1.7
MadGez 1.7
Shack 3.3
Flava 3.7
O 3.7
rftapeout 4.3
Magic Mike 6.3

Total

Keyser Soze 4.3
MadGez 4.9
Algren 12.6
Jonathan 12.7
rftapeout 13.4
stuffp 13.8
Rev 14.3
O 14.9
publicenemy#1 15.2
Magic Mike 15.3
Shack 17.3
Flava 23.9

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Mon Sep 18, 2023 6:43 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Expendables 4 scores

Flava 0
Algren 0.5
Shack 1
stuffp 2
Magic Mike 5
Rev 5
Jonathan 5
rftapeout 5.1
MadGez 6
Keyser Soze 7
publicenemy#1 9
O 11

MadGez 10.9
Keyser Soze 11.3
Algren 13.1
stuffp 15.8
Jonathan 17.7
Shack 18.3
rftapeout 18.5
Rev 19.3
Magic Mike 20.3
Flava 23.9
publicenemy#1 24.2
O 25.9

I’m not sure a bullseye has ever happened before

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Thu Sep 28, 2023 5:35 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Shack wrote:
Dumb Money’s September 29 weekend will be what counts


But we're predicting opening weekend right, so I'm not sure why it makes sense to use this weekend.


Sat Sep 30, 2023 4:50 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
stuffp wrote:
Shack wrote:
Dumb Money’s September 29 weekend will be what counts


But we're predicting opening weekend right, so I'm not sure why it makes sense to use this weekend.


I try to use the first wide weekend.

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Sat Sep 30, 2023 1:13 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
First wide weekend is fair. Though with the weak wide performance its still a disaster for most of us lol

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Sat Sep 30, 2023 7:44 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Mighty Keyser struck out by predicting 22 million for Dumb Money

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Sat Sep 30, 2023 8:46 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Creator/Saw/Paw/Dumb scores

Magic Mike 11.9
Jonathan 14.6
Shack 14.7
Algren 15.4
publicenemy#1 15.8
stuffp 17.7
MadGez 19.1
rftapeout 19.4
Rev 20.7
Flava 23.9
O 42.1
Keyser Soze 52.3

Total

Algren 28.5
MadGez 30
Magic Mike 32.2
Jonathan 32.3
Shack 33
stuffp 33.5
rftapeout 37.9
Rev 40
publicenemy#1 40
Flava 47.8
Keyser Soze 63.6
O 68

Keyser could make a comeback as he predicted 40 mil for Freddy’s, but of course, it’s all about Taylor. Unfortunately for Algren, he never updated his 10 million prediction.

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Wed Oct 04, 2023 11:43 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Wow - Algren's beloved Paw Patrol worked wonders. It's close though yeah Eras is going to make or break.

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Thu Oct 05, 2023 3:07 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Exorcist update

stuffp 3.5
Jonathan 5.5
Algren 7.5
Rev 8.5
publicenemy#1 9.5
Keyser Soze 13.5
O 15.5
MadGez 20.5
Magic Mike 23.5
rftapeout 26.4
Flava 33.5
Shack 33.5

Total

Algren 36
stuffp 37
Jonathan 37.8
Rev 48.5
publicenemy#1 49.5
MadGez 50.5
Magic Mike 55.7
rftapeout 64.3
Shack 66.5
Keyser Soze 77.1
Flava 81.3
O 83.5

Unfortunately for Algren he forgot to add a 0 to his 10 million Taylor Swift prediction - There’s a chance it’s closer than the high predictions though.

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Mon Oct 09, 2023 4:14 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
I like my 90m Taylor prediction but messing up Exorcist might cost me the win

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Fri Oct 13, 2023 1:56 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Eras has broken all records when it comes to presales frontloaded ness. While I did not expect it to sustain the torrid pace with which it started, I expected some spike in final weeks. its OD presales was at Endgame level and final week behaved like a 20m opener.

This means either Swift does not have that many fans as assumed(20m or so) or majority dont want to check it out in theaters. They want to only experience the live performance.

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Fri Oct 13, 2023 5:15 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Damn it, should've stuck with my original prediction


Fri Oct 13, 2023 5:59 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
I too wished that I had stuck with my original prediction even though that prediction is likely more than $30 million off. I read that when Taylor Swift's concert tickets went on sale, ticketmaster said there were 14 million attempts, including bots, to buy those tickets. As long as I went under $280 million, I felt my prediction wasn't too crazy. Congratulations to those who predicted around $100 million for Taylor Swift.


Sat Oct 14, 2023 12:25 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
I think only original predictions count as we usually cant up our predictions for other films anyway.

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Sun Oct 15, 2023 4:49 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Rev (101) and I (90) were the only ones close on Taylor. He started the week +18 on me, while I’m 15 million higher on Killers, and he’s 5 million higher on Freddy. Based on how Freddy looks guaranteed to go high, I don’t think I can catch Rev unless Eras comes in way under its current 97m estimate, I need it down to like 91 mil.

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Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:40 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
MadGez wrote:
I think only original predictions count as we usually cant up our predictions for other films anyway.


I gave 1 week extension for Swift predictions at the time so the upped predictions before that point count

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Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:47 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Shack wrote:
MadGez wrote:
I think only original predictions count as we usually cant up our predictions for other films anyway.


I gave 1 week extension for Swift predictions at the time so the upped predictions before that point count


Fair enough. I tried :funny:

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Mon Oct 16, 2023 12:15 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Eras scores

Shack 2.8
Rev 8.2
Flava 57.2
Jonathan 57.2
publicenemy#1 62.2
MadGez 70.2
stuffp 72.2
Algren 82.8
O 106.1
Keyser Soze 117.2
rftapeout 123.2
Magic Mike 127.2

Total

Rev 56.7
Shack 69.3
Jonathan 95
stuffp 109.2
publicenemy#1 111.7
Algren 118.8
MadGez 120.7
Flava 138.5
Magic Mike 182.9
rftapeout 187.5
O 189.6
Keyser Soze 194.3

Rev will win unless the pre sales optimism for Freddy’s is shockingly wrong.

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Mon Oct 16, 2023 3:10 pm
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