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September 1-3 predictions
https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90171		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  Shack [ Mon Aug 28, 2023 10:04 pm ]
Post subject:  September 1-3 predictions
The Equalizer 3 only opener
Author:  zwackerm [ Mon Aug 28, 2023 10:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
Equalizer- 23m

Everything else I think will drop 20% or less or increase even.
Author:  O [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 1:19 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
Equalizer 1 and 2 opened to $34m AND $36m respectably. This has a fairly light marketplace, a Long weekend too and 5 years of inflation. Think it could challenge $40M+.
Author:  MadGez [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 1:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
Yeah and it re-unites Denzel with Dakota Fanning which may help a little.

I'm thinking $35m 4-day but any more would be great.
Author:  Algren [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 3:09 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
M:I should die this weekend. :(
Author:  O [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 3:38 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
Next weekend. Labor Day will still give MI a solid weekend.
Author:  Algren [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 3:42 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
I'm going with $27.5m for Threequalizer.
Author:  O [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 11:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
I'm pretty sure the quality will be there for EQ3. Surprisingly, The Equalizer series is the only franchise with sequels in his entire film history.

That is until next year when Gladiator 2 comes out. I think that movie is going to be exceptional if Scott decided to go that route again and Denzel is involved.
Author:  zwackerm [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 12:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
O wrote:
Equalizer 1 and 2 opened to $34m AND $36m respectably. This has a fairly light marketplace, a Long weekend too and 5 years of inflation. Think it could challenge $40M+.

I think fatigue will set in for this one? Like did anyone really want this movie?
Author:  O [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 12:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
Denzel is pretty consistent with pulling an audience in for his non-indie movies.

Also The Equalizer TV show has been renewed for Season 4 already. I definitely feel like it's expanded the audience for the franchise and season 3 was doing 9M viewers weekly. People seem to be consuming this show that it isn't like the typical "threequel" movie.

The big what if is how much of a TV show audience who didn't see the movies will watch this. TBD.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
I don't care about the series, but hope it does well for the sake of theaters, and to help show that bigger movies can successfully open over Labor Day weekend. Denzel doesn't do that many movies, so when he does, his fans should turn up.

I'm more excited for Bottoms this weekend, which expands to 700+ theaters. Not sure when I'll get a chance to go, but I will as soon as I can.
Author:  Thegun [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
O wrote:
I'm pretty sure the quality will be there for EQ3. Surprisingly, The Equalizer series is the only franchise with sequels in his entire film history.

That is until next year when Gladiator 2 comes out. I think that movie is going to be exceptional if Scott decided to go that route again and Denzel is involved.


The director has also hinted it can be viewed as a spiritual sequel to Man on Fire. I've always liked this series, Denzel in these type of thrillers are easy sells. Though time has passed a bit, so this might need the holiday to get over 30 million.

Gladiator 2 sounds like a bad idea. I always liked the Gladiator 2 in the afterlife with Crowe idea.
Author:  MadGez [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 6:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
zwackerm wrote:
O wrote:
Equalizer 1 and 2 opened to $34m AND $36m respectably. This has a fairly light marketplace, a Long weekend too and 5 years of inflation. Think it could challenge $40M+.

I think fatigue will set in for this one? Like did anyone really want this movie?


Yes
Author:  Keyser Söze [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:28 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
Presales dont scream a big breakout. Let us see how things go this thursday. I am thinking sub 30m over 4 days for now.
Author:  Thegun [ Tue Aug 29, 2023 11:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
That’s what I was thinking, hard to believe Denzel is 68 now. I really think he should do a comedy next. It’s his only real genre he never hit but he seems like he would be a blast, like when DeNiro only did meet the parents or analyze this.
Author:  Keyser Söze [ Wed Aug 30, 2023 12:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
On second thought this will be walk up heavy. May be this can do 35m over 4 days with good walk ups. Market is starved for another hit after Barbenheimer and Denzel is a star for sure.
Author:  O [ Wed Aug 30, 2023 2:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
From Variety:

The R-rated film is projected to earn $28 million to $30 million between Friday and Sunday and $33 million to $40 million through the four-day holiday frame.

The fact that this # is out makes me think it could overperform. Denzel beating people up in his movies seems to be in vogue since Liam Neeson over did himself and he's passed the baton to Denzel and Keanu.
Author:  MadGez [ Wed Aug 30, 2023 6:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
I think it's a $35-40m 4-day at worst.
Author:  Jonathan [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 10:37 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
I looked at some of the showtimes for Bottoms in my area and it seems to be selling pretty well for tonight and tomorrow? Certainly better advance sales than any recent original comedy. Even in just 700 theaters I wonder if it can reach $5M for the 4-day, especially since WOM seems very strong.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 10:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
Yeah Bottoms seemed to be doing quite well tonight at all of the Minnesota theaters that added it.
Author:  Keyser Söze [ Fri Sep 01, 2023 12:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
~3.75m previews IMO. 35m ish over 4 days. Good walkups seen today despite swift mania.
Author:  O [ Fri Sep 01, 2023 4:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
Elemental's +1,925 theater change to 2,160 this weekend is interesting. It's Labor Day so hope it makes the most of it!
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Sep 01, 2023 4:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
It will probably get it to like 155m total don’t see the point.
Author:  Jonathan [ Fri Sep 01, 2023 6:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
Disney re-expanded every Pixar summer release from 2015-19 for Labor Day weekend, so this just seems to be a return to that (after they didn't even bother with Lightyear last summer :lol: )
Author:  lilmac [ Fri Sep 01, 2023 11:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 1-3 predictions
$8.456M for Barbie is my estimate
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