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| How many weeks will Barbie be #1? https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90119 |
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| Author: | Alex Y. [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 1:36 am ] |
| Post subject: | How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
My guess is 6 weeks, and it finally gets dethroned by The Equalizer 3 in early September. If it gets beat in August, I feel like either Oppenheimer or Sound of Freedom has greater shot than an August opener. |
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| Author: | O [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 1:50 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
Going to go with Strays. Sausage Party did $34M and feel Strays can break out further. I sort of don't want Oppenheimer to get #1 though I think it has a fair chance to do it over the next few weeks. It seems like the best chance to take down Sing as top grossing movie to never be #1. It's a hard list to move up. Out of the current top 4, Sing is the only one to have been released in the last 13 years. 1 Sing $270,395,425 2016 2 My Big Fat Greek Wedding $241,438,208 2002 3 Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel $219,614,612 2009 4 Alvin and the Chipmunks $217,326,974 2007 A Star Is Born made it to #5 in 2018. Would be cool to see a $350M+ movie never reach #1. Feels like it would take a long time for another movie to possibly top it. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 1:54 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
Oppenheimer on the 8/11 weekend. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 2:33 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
I also went with Strays. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 2:36 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
O wrote: Going to go with Strays. Sausage Party did $34M and feel Strays can break out further. I sort of don't want Oppenheimer to get #1 though I think it has a fair chance to do it over the next few weeks. It seems like the best chance to take down Sing as top grossing movie to never be #1. It's a hard list to move up. Out of the current top 4, Sing is the only one to have been released in the last 13 years. 1 Sing $270,395,425 2016 2 My Big Fat Greek Wedding $241,438,208 2002 3 Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel $219,614,612 2009 4 Alvin and the Chipmunks $217,326,974 2007 A Star Is Born made it to #5 in 2018. Would be cool to see a $350M+ movie never reach #1. Feels like it would take a long time for another movie to possibly top it. We could have two films crack the top 5 with Oppenheimer and maybe Sound of Freedom |
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| Author: | JustLurking [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 3:33 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
MadGez wrote: O wrote: Going to go with Strays. Sausage Party did $34M and feel Strays can break out further. I sort of don't want Oppenheimer to get #1 though I think it has a fair chance to do it over the next few weeks. It seems like the best chance to take down Sing as top grossing movie to never be #1. It's a hard list to move up. Out of the current top 4, Sing is the only one to have been released in the last 13 years. 1 Sing $270,395,425 2016 2 My Big Fat Greek Wedding $241,438,208 2002 3 Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel $219,614,612 2009 4 Alvin and the Chipmunks $217,326,974 2007 A Star Is Born made it to #5 in 2018. Would be cool to see a $350M+ movie never reach #1. Feels like it would take a long time for another movie to possibly top it. We could have two films crack the top 5 with Oppenheimer and maybe Sound of Freedom Sound of Freedom was #1 for a day so it can't make this list. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 4:01 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
I went with Blue Beetle. |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 9:33 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Oppenheimer on the 8/11 weekend. This would have been my pick if it wasn't losing most of its IMAX screens to Gran Turismo that weekend. Strong WOM will give it legs regardless, but I do think it'll really feel the loss of those screens that weekend. I'm gonna say it goes strong until Equalizer 3. |
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| Author: | O [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 9:38 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
This is where it gets tricky, that list on Mojo is full of movies that went #1 on some day throughout their releases, just not a weekend #1. Interstellar: #1 first Wed, Fri and Mon etc. MBFGW: #1 Labor Day Alvin2: #1 opening day Star is Born: #1 first Thursday and other dailies Sherlock: #1 opening day Ice Age: DoD: #1 midweek Alvin Sing, WWZ, don't appear to have been #1 at all during their runs. So I'd count Sound just because 6 of the top 10 also would have an asterisk otherwise as it seems its typically been tracked by not #1 on weekends. Sing seems the definite #1 regardless of methodology though. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 10:05 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
Gran Turismo will top it on wknd 4 But I’m hoping it doesn’t lol |
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| Author: | JustLurking [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 10:09 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
Blue beetle giga bombing will allow it to stay on top until equalizer. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 10:11 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
JustLurking wrote: MadGez wrote: O wrote: Going to go with Strays. Sausage Party did $34M and feel Strays can break out further. I sort of don't want Oppenheimer to get #1 though I think it has a fair chance to do it over the next few weeks. It seems like the best chance to take down Sing as top grossing movie to never be #1. It's a hard list to move up. Out of the current top 4, Sing is the only one to have been released in the last 13 years. 1 Sing $270,395,425 2016 2 My Big Fat Greek Wedding $241,438,208 2002 3 Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel $219,614,612 2009 4 Alvin and the Chipmunks $217,326,974 2007 A Star Is Born made it to #5 in 2018. Would be cool to see a $350M+ movie never reach #1. Feels like it would take a long time for another movie to possibly top it. We could have two films crack the top 5 with Oppenheimer and maybe Sound of Freedom Sound of Freedom was #1 for a day so it can't make this list. Was just thinking about weekends but yes it was No.1. I guess as O pointed out - it cam still be counted as it didn’t have a weekend at no.1. |
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| Author: | Steve [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 5:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
I didn’t put much thought into it but voted for Meg 2… realizing now that probably won’t happen unless it opens to $70m+ |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 5:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
I think it'll stay #1 all of August. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 10:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
I think Meg 2 will be a bit of a hit. Just not big enough to dethrone barbie |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 10:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
I think Strays is the first movie that could possibly do it, but even that is unlikely. I’d say probably Equalizer 3. So it will be number 1 for 6 weeks. Week 2 90m Week 3 54m Week 4 35m Week 5 27m Week 6 18m |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Tue Jul 25, 2023 10:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
Jonathan wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: Oppenheimer on the 8/11 weekend. This would have been my pick if it wasn't losing most of its IMAX screens to Gran Turismo that weekend. Strong WOM will give it legs regardless, but I do think it'll really feel the loss of those screens that weekend. I'm gonna say it goes strong until Equalizer 3. |
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| Author: | O [ Thu Jul 27, 2023 2:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
TMNT has a slight chance but it needs a mega breakout of $60M+ for it to happen. Reviews are helping. If it plays like a family film and brings them out in droves could help. Barbie would need a harsher 3rd weekend drop too. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Thu Jul 27, 2023 11:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
TMNT has opening similar to MI7. Early previews on tuesday plus Sneaks on Sunday(700 shows just US) and Early shows on PLF(530 in US) on Monday. So big 3 day weekend can be ruled out. with 60m 3-day you are talking about 90m+ by end of 1st Sunday. That is too high for sure. |
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| Author: | O [ Thu Jul 27, 2023 11:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
Ahh, forgot about the early opening! Definitely won't go THAT high. Still hope for a breakout regardless. |
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| Author: | Alex Y. [ Sat Jul 29, 2023 2:10 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
Gran Turismo moves to 8/25, becoming the likely #1 that weekend, |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Thu Aug 03, 2023 9:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
Is Gran Turismo really gonna open to 20m? I don't see it |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Thu Aug 03, 2023 9:40 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
If it gets great reviews I can see a decent opening. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Fri Aug 04, 2023 2:59 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
Is it likely to get great reviews? It stars Orlando Bloom for pete's sake! |
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| Author: | Alex Y. [ Mon Aug 07, 2023 6:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: How many weeks will Barbie be #1? |
Blue Beetle tracking towards $30m opening, which should be enough to beat Barbie on 8/18.... https://deadline.com/2023/08/box-office ... 235456911/ |
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