Barbie barely dropped overseas as well with $31.9M (vs Mon $32M). $258.5M overseas for $472.6M worldwide.

Just adding in additional grosses for domestic, Barbie could be at $858.6M ($600M gross). This feels like it could make a run for $1.5B!

China Dailies so far:

Fri: $1.2M
Sat: $2.8M +133%
Sun: $4.1M +46%
Mon: $2.9 M -29%
Tues: $2.7M -6.9%
Wed: $2.4M -11.1%
Thur: $2.0M -16.7%

$18.1M first week total. It's losing 13K screenings on Friday but wom has already given it a great run so far.

OS weekdays are just crazy.

https://deadline.com/2023/07/barbie-opp ... 235448805/

Global cultural phenomenon

I should've bought Mattel stock earlier this year

Barbie made $2.9M in China (+3.6% vs last week) from 23K screenings. Total now at $22.9M.

Getting 4K more screenings on Sunday and already has $800K in prescales.

Could be at $27.5M by the end of the weekend. That's off of the original $1.2M opening day so let's see where this ends up.

Pretty surprised how well it's doing in China. I guess the Avengers with Shang Chi will be fine if Simu Liu content isn't banned?

It's pretty sad how pathetic the China market is now that we're excited when a film does $18 million in a whole week.

Oppenheimer made $72.4M overseas. Estimated international total stands at $226.3M, estimated global total stands at $400.4M.

Oppenheimer OS hold is simply nuts. Dont forget OW had extra days for some markets. So Actual drop is < 20%. its fueled by increases in several markets !!! Its going to beat Interstellar WW and has a reasonable chance to beat Inception WW !!!

Will depend whether East Asia is here for it.

Korea Presales are off to a strong start and its opening on 8/15. As Charliet put it break out in India means Korea/China should follow suit. Let us see how things go.

Can you really imagine China allowing a film about U.S. military superiority to succeed within China? I haven't seen it, but unless it paints the U.S. in a bad light I cannot imagine them allowing it to be released and not hampered in some way where they can have deniability over its performance. Even if the film is anti-U.S. (and I doubt it is) on the outside it's about the U.S. beating others to make the most powerful explosive in the world ... and that's not something China would want to proliferate.

Not only that but China's economy right now is in recession. GDP has been falling from months, so people are saving instead of spending on leisure. Just like Barbie, it won't make much.

On Maoyan it has 135k people wanting to see it. It opens on 30th August. The Meg 2 - a film much more up China's alley - opens on 4th August and has 640k people wanting to see it. So these numbers aren't too bad for Oppenheimer in that context, although at the box office/economic peaks the "people wanting to see numbers" on Maoyan were way higher, in the 800k to 2 million range for big movies, so I don't see Oppenheimer doing enough in China to affect its worldwide total much.

Why wouldn’t they release it, they might learn a few things. Otherwise I don’t know why the hell it would get released. It’s my experience being vague can actually produce new weird results. Maybes they missed something so small in the foundation.

They will release it. It already has a date; 30th August. But it will probably be killed by the CCP or State Administration of Film, Radio, and TV or whoever manages these things with such measures as limited advertising, limited showtimes, being pulled from release early regardless of performance, and other such sneaky measures they employ to fulfil political objectives.

Let's see. I could be wrong and it blows up, but I don't think you're going to see a huge breakout here.

But wouldn't they want to see a movie about how badly Japan got blown up in WW2?

Oh, they'd love that. As I said, I haven't seen it yet. If it features Japan getting nuked then maybe it will have an unfettered release. It's just that at the moment the U.S.A. is public enemy #1. I think they hate the U.S.A. more than they hate Japan right now, even though Japan is a historical hatred.

The impact on Hiroshima / Nagasaki is never shown directly in the film, although there some allusions to it and some dystopian scenes hyping up the result.

Barbenheimer are continuing move at great pace.



https://deadline.com/2023/08/barbie-opp ... 235455131/

Just from existing markets I see Barbie doing 750m+ and Oppenheimer 450m+. Oppenheimer has uber strong presales in Korea where it could potentially pull in a Interstellar(10m+ admits and $70m+ gross) and has Italy and China coming up as well. I see 900m+ and high end depends on China. Barbie has Japan which is a huge question mark and also middle eastern markets end of this month. I am hoping for 800m+ and hopefully WW gross around 1.5B.

The fact Barbie could be pulled from every theater overseas today but still go on to gross $1.1 billion is just insane.

Oppie reaching $800mil WW will be the story of the year. Imagine if it somehow it reaches a billion WW?

I think Oppenheimer will have a bigger impact on the industry just because studios have already been dumb for years forgetting that half the audience is women and could continue to be. Oppenheimer could open up a whole new “pure drama” path.

https://variety.com/2023/film/box-offic ... 235688938/

Insane hold especially from Oppenheimer.

http://twitter.com/BORReport/status/168 ... 78496?s=20

Oppenheimer OS increased to 55.6m and 327.2m hold. it increased quite a bit from already crazy hold.

Oppenheimer looks like it could get $325M so even if it doesn't make anything else overseas would be at $652.2M. Really hoping it can somehow get to $1B but will definitely be a push. Oscar release would be fun just in case!

There are many markets where Oppenheimer 3rd weekend is actually ahead of its OW !!! It still has a long runway in leggy markets and is even doing well in latin america which used to be weak for Nolan movies. I think 500m in existing markets will happen. It should be similar to Spain and I am hoping for $20m gross. Greece and Bosnia should combine to about $5m. Korea Presales are off the chart. Interstellar sold 10m+ admits and ATP for Oppenheimer seem very high. It could potential end up as biggest market for Oppenheimer if the WOM is similar to other markets. China has been weak for hollywood and so I am not sure what to pencil in and I believe it will ultimately release in Japan as well( they are not known to ban movies). Just strong Imax run in big cities should add $10m. So its overall OS potential depends on Korea/China gross. Korea we will know next week and China is another 2 weeks beyond that.