Flava'd vs The World wrote:
I switched my Dead Reckoning ticket from a 630 to a 930 and was shocked to see how few seats had been sold. The entire row D (my fav) was empty. Ruh oh!
The trusty Row D boxoffice forecast indicator.
| World of KJ https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/ |
|
| July 12-16 Predictions https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90084 |
Page 1 of 2 |
| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Jul 07, 2023 8:25 am ] |
| Post subject: | July 12-16 Predictions |
Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1- 95/140 |
|
| Author: | Shack [ Fri Jul 07, 2023 10:27 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
MI is a pretty consistent franchise around 200m total. I think the opening will be another "disappointment". |
|
| Author: | Rev [ Fri Jul 07, 2023 11:18 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
90m 5-day 65m 3-day Hopefully it does a lot more |
|
| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Jul 07, 2023 1:28 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
$125M 5-day sounds like a good number. 10/25/15/25/30/25 or something like that. |
|
| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Jul 07, 2023 5:50 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
I really do not buy these huge numbers for Mission Impossible. I feel like it'll do a little better than Fallout and people will cry flop. |
|
| Author: | Jonathan [ Fri Jul 07, 2023 6:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
Tentatively thinking: Wednesday: $25 million ($9.5M previews) Thursday: $12 million Friday: $20 million Saturday: $24 million Sunday: $20 million $64M for the weekend, $101M through Sunday. I think people expecting this to perform like Maverick 2 are getting ahead of themselves, but that movie's success and re-elevation of Cruise's megastar status should give it at least a little boost, along with the this franchise becoming a consistent crowd-pleaser. |
|
| Author: | O [ Fri Jul 07, 2023 10:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
Anyone have thoughts on how these Walmart previews and other previews will be incorporated into the box office tallies? I assume opening day previews. Seems like it could appear frontloaded due to that. |
|
| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sat Jul 08, 2023 12:34 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
It has 3 days of previews lol. They'll probably all roll into one preview # but there may be some breakdowns |
|
| Author: | Algren [ Sat Jul 08, 2023 2:32 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
Shack wrote: MI is a pretty consistent franchise around 200m total. I think the opening will be another "disappointment". I'm also getting that vibe a bit now. Hoping for more but around a $225m finish wouldn't surpise me. |
|
| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Sat Jul 08, 2023 8:43 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
Based on data seen at BOT. Wednesday sales are meh but weekend is better. I won't be surprised if bo till Tuesday > Wednesday BO. |
|
| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sun Jul 09, 2023 12:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
I switched my Dead Reckoning ticket from a 630 to a 930 and was shocked to see how few seats had been sold. The entire row D (my fav) was empty. Ruh oh! |
|
| Author: | lilmac [ Sun Jul 09, 2023 5:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
Flava'd vs The World wrote: I switched my Dead Reckoning ticket from a 630 to a 930 and was shocked to see how few seats had been sold. The entire row D (my fav) was empty. Ruh oh! The trusty Row D boxoffice forecast indicator.
|
|
| Author: | Algren [ Sun Jul 09, 2023 5:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
Its RT Score is 99% Certified Fresh with 158 reviews 
|
|
| Author: | O [ Sun Jul 09, 2023 8:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
Sound of Freedom I read had an audience breakdown that was 1/3 Hispanic. I think this will be much leggier than I originally expected as more community members watch it. Wouldn't be shocked if it plays till Labor Day now. |
|
| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sun Jul 09, 2023 11:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
lilmac wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: I switched my Dead Reckoning ticket from a 630 to a 930 and was shocked to see how few seats had been sold. The entire row D (my fav) was empty. Ruh oh! The trusty Row D boxoffice forecast indicator.  Its not a huge theater, but all the biggest openers are full on opening night. |
|
| Author: | Algren [ Mon Jul 10, 2023 4:25 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
It's the UK but my screening today is surprisingly well-filled for a midday showing on a work day. I think there's genuine massive interest for Dead Reckoning. It feels like a mini-Maverick in that it will open not massively but nicely, and then have legs carry it to a $350+ total. |
|
| Author: | Algren [ Mon Jul 10, 2023 5:02 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
If you ever wanted to see consistent progression:  And M:I-2 is 55% so it's a run of five increases. It will be difficult for Dead Reckoning Part 2 to carry on the streak. |
|
| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Mon Jul 10, 2023 9:14 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
At this point its looking bad but I am hoping for great walkups due to insane reviews. I am excited to see this for sure. |
|
| Author: | O [ Mon Jul 10, 2023 9:23 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
I definitely feel for MI. On literally any other weekend this year it would have been the massive event but the Barbie press and marketing is drowning a lot of the fact that MI is out this week. It's a lot to ask some people to watch 3 movies in a week and a half period during a downturn too and feel like Oppenheimer may benefit more from Barbie spillover than MI does at least domestically. It would be frustrating to have such a good film not get the love it otherwise would get from audiences due to competition especially post TGM saving the film industry. Could see MI have great legs weekend 3 on after Barbie's release. |
|
| Author: | Excel [ Mon Jul 10, 2023 10:20 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
Once again, everyone expects MI to finally breakout on opening weekend but it just doesn't happen. so weird. |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Mon Jul 10, 2023 10:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
I have never seen a MI film. Do they follow a continuous story, or can they be enjoyed as standalone films? If this one only does $250m or less, would it be fair to say the lack of growth once again could just be due to a lack of audience? Hard to get new people to come out if it's a seventh entry in a continuous story. International numbers will be down considerably this time, as they have been for everything this year, so with a $290m budget... won't be easy making a profit on this one. |
|
| Author: | O [ Mon Jul 10, 2023 10:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
I feel they work very well as standalone films. There's less continuity as a critical factor to enjoy the movies compared to even the Fast films which do mention earlier events more often. The cameos in Fast movies have more punch for those who've seen the earlier films. I still have hope that maybe it will get good legs weekend 3 on and stay around until Oppenheimer's 3 week exclusive on IMAX is done. |
|
| Author: | Shack [ Mon Jul 10, 2023 11:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
I agree, they don't depend on continuity really at all other than introducing new members of the team here and there. |
|
| Author: | O [ Mon Jul 10, 2023 11:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
2 days away from opening day for MI and: Don't see a mention anywhere as I scroll down Variety's page. Saw one mention of Barbie. Saw one mention on DHD with it's box office related article trending at #5. On THR, now has the top of the page after an article was posted tonight with another mention of the review below. 3 mentions of Barbie elsewhere. On People, 4 mentions of Barbie none of MI. One movie is opening in a week and a half and the other in about 36 hours. |
|
| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Tue Jul 11, 2023 1:28 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: July 12-16 Predictions |
Corpse wrote: I have never seen a MI film. Do they follow a continuous story, or can they be enjoyed as standalone films? |
|
| Page 1 of 2 | All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ] |
| Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group http://www.phpbb.com/ |
|