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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21473
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Haunted Mansion Predictions Opens in the Jungle Cruise release date. Has a strong cast, but no draws on the level of the Rock. Untested director as well.
First trailer is interesting for sure. If it gets solid reviews I could see 40m OW, 120-130m total
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| Thu Mar 02, 2023 6:54 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21856
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Haunted Mansion Predictions I actually think the trailer for the Eddie Murphy one was better (film was god awful) jokes really fell flat. That one’s opening adjusts to around 30/115. I’d say that’s the goal, it opens in between Oppenheimer, Barbie, teenage Mutant ninja turtles, and the Meg 2 though. Needed someone bigger in the lead imo.
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| Thu Mar 02, 2023 11:59 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: Haunted Mansion Predictions They need to release this in the fall. It will do fine in the summer but feel it could have done 20% more in Sept/Oct.
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| Fri Mar 03, 2023 3:55 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68230
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: Haunted Mansion Predictions It looks a bit dark and a bit scary to me for a Disney movie aimed at kids, but I can still see a $40m opening and a finish over $120m.
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| Fri Mar 03, 2023 4:40 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40260
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Re: Haunted Mansion Predictions I agree this could underperform with kids but cross over well to young adult horror audience, and the casting is pretty friendly to millennial aged people. The director's career has been all race movies so I'd predict this is Disneyfied Get Out.
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| Fri Mar 03, 2023 4:57 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Haunted Mansion Predictions So this is going to bomb, right? I'm starting to think a $20/25m OW would be impressive.
And, as has been the story all year, its $157.8m budget (oddly specific) isn't going to do it any favors.
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| Sun Jul 16, 2023 7:22 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21473
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Haunted Mansion Predictions At this point the only thing that could save it is amazing reviews. It has a recognizable cast but no draws.
The second weekend of barbenheimer will still be huge, and divert any interest this may have had in a less competitive section of the calendar
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| Sun Jul 16, 2023 7:28 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6317
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Haunted Mansion Predictions Bomb. This needed a star like Eddie Murphy was at the time. They obviously tried to keep the cast majority-black like that film which is all well and good, but there is no star this time. Owen Wilson is not a star in 2023. The black-cast-but-no-star casting will hurt it overseas in particular where it will completely bomb. Global audiences are only interested in majority-black casts when it's a major star like Will Smith/Eddie Murphy back in the day, or Black Panther because of Marvel.
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| Sun Jul 16, 2023 11:37 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35204
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Haunted Mansion Predictions Not releasing this in the fall is the dumbest move. But hey, they did release Hocus Pocus in July. 
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| Mon Jul 17, 2023 5:44 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40260
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Re: Haunted Mansion Predictions A Haunted Mansion movie just feels like it's been done before, and I feel like casting a guy from the other Haunting hit that was around at the same time subtly doesn't help.
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| Mon Jul 17, 2023 6:03 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6716
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Re: Haunted Mansion Predictions Very weak PS. I am thinking high teens/low 20s OW for now.
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| Mon Jul 17, 2023 7:26 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19373
Location: San Diego
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Re: Haunted Mansion Predictions Pretty dumb move to have this in summer. With a Halloween push it probably would've done way better
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| Mon Jul 17, 2023 7:28 pm |
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Skyblade
Wall-E
Joined: Sat Jan 07, 2006 6:07 am
Posts: 879
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Re: Haunted Mansion Predictions Shack wrote: A Haunted Mansion movie just feels like it's been done before, and I feel like casting a guy from the other Haunting hit that was around at the same time subtly doesn't help. It really feels like a terrible cast if you want to distinguish yourself from a 2003 Eddie Murphy movie. In fact, I bet a channel surfer with a moderate case of the Mandela Effect might confuse Eddie's Pluto Nash co-star Rosario Dawson for actually being in the 2003 version, and that this is a direct sequel.
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| Wed Jul 19, 2023 5:41 am |
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