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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19373
Location: San Diego
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 Guardians 3 weekend thread $17.5m previews
Love Again - 240k lol
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| Fri May 05, 2023 11:45 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread Marvel was given a present by DC and Shazam.
Regardless of how bad a movie does this year from them they can say "at least we weren't Shazam."
Previews are not bad. Think it will do better over the weekend as we've been starved for product post Mario and people are ready to see something new.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 11:47 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40273
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread I still feel this is a weak opening, we just saw it coming.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Fri May 05, 2023 11:51 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19373
Location: San Diego
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread Matching Quantumania is a little lame considering this is supposed to be the "final" film but given the lack of hype it's fine. The film is very good so hopefully it gets people over the weekend who were gonna skip it.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 12:00 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6717
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread WOM is uber strong. Weird thing is friday presales are still little bit below Ant. But walkups during evening should be good. Saturday PS is stronger for sure. I am expecting excellent sunday drop in low 20s and then have much better run than any MCU movie in recent times. I think this can go for 300m domestic with 115m OW.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 12:08 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6717
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread Also Quote: Yesterday, Super Mario cleared $1.52M at 4,204 theaters, -23% from Wednesday for a fourth week of $49.5M. Its dropping harder than what I thought. Looking at low 20s at best. https://deadline.com/2023/05/guardians- ... 235357014/
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 12:18 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25204
Location: Classified
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread And that includes the early screenings too. So about $12M less than Love and Thunder. Brutal, but hopefully the word of mouth will be good enough to get it to $300M anyways.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 1:38 pm |
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Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm
Posts: 16923
Location: Monterrey, Mexico
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread So how Long until Marvel goes into panic mode and starts canceling projects?
Will Marvel enter its Star Wars era (AKA D+ exclusives)?
_________________
Tongue Pop!
I kneel with Magnus.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 1:44 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19373
Location: San Diego
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread Mmm yeah I doubt we'll ever get a year with no MCU films. If anything they need to limit their D+ content.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 1:51 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread I'm not sure if this is representative of its weekend. Mario seems to be a weekend movie anyhow with strong matinees. Will see a big hit but lots of families still seeing it Sat and Sun during the day.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 1:59 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6317
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread Ant-Man 3 and Guardians 3 opening to the same numbers is wild and should not have happened. Somewhere they dropped the ball with Guardians.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 1:59 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32582
Location: the last free city
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread Mau wrote: So how Long until Marvel goes into panic mode and starts canceling projects?
Will Marvel enter its Star Wars era (AKA D+ exclusives)? relax  not even close to that
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
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| Fri May 05, 2023 2:18 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6717
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread Its good that this was helmed by Gunn. I am not convinced by Marvels, Thunderbolt or Captain America without Evans. That will be the real test for the franchise.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 4:30 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68237
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread O wrote: Marvel was given a present by DC and Shazam.
Regardless of how bad a movie does this year from them they can say "at least we weren't Shazam." Yeah, lol. It is quite astonishing how you go from a relatively well-received $140 million to a pathetic $57 million. That's almost a 60% decrease! _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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| Fri May 05, 2023 5:43 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6717
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread Deadline is saying 47-48m OD including previews and 110m OW. That is really good. Could be tad high as well. https://deadline.com/2023/05/box-office ... 235357869/Rest Quote: 2.) Super Mario Bros (Uni/Ill) 3,909 theaters, Fri $4.2M, 3-day $18.5M (-55%), Total $518M/Wk 5
3.) Evil Dead Rise (WB) 3,036 theaters, Fri $1.7M, 3-day $5.6M (-54%), Total $53.9M/Wk 3
4.) Are You There God? It’s Me Margaret (LG) 3,343 theaters, Fri $930k, 3-day $3.3M (-51%), Total $12.6M/Wk 2
5.) John Wick Chapter 4 (LG) 1,658 theaters, Fri $600K, 3-day $2.4M (-50%), Total $180M/Wk 7 Let us hope the numbers for holdovers go up.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 5:56 pm |
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pro1986
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 7:28 am
Posts: 505
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread Keyser Söze wrote: Deadline is saying 47-48m OD including previews and 110m OW. That is really good. Could be tad high as well. https://deadline.com/2023/05/box-office ... 235357869/Rest Quote: 2.) Super Mario Bros (Uni/Ill) 3,909 theaters, Fri $4.2M, 3-day $18.5M (-55%), Total $518M/Wk 5
3.) Evil Dead Rise (WB) 3,036 theaters, Fri $1.7M, 3-day $5.6M (-54%), Total $53.9M/Wk 3
4.) Are You There God? It’s Me Margaret (LG) 3,343 theaters, Fri $930k, 3-day $3.3M (-51%), Total $12.6M/Wk 2
5.) John Wick Chapter 4 (LG) 1,658 theaters, Fri $600K, 3-day $2.4M (-50%), Total $180M/Wk 7 Let us hope the numbers for holdovers go up. That is hardly really good. Pretty much Ant Man 3 numbers. No spinning this.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 6:37 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21479
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread I think he’s saying it’s a good multiplier from the presales, rather than good overall
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| Fri May 05, 2023 6:39 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6717
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread if you had told me a day before presales that this was its previews/OD, I would have called it a epic disaster. Now its doing better relative to what I saw 2 days ago. WOM and marketing blitz this week have been effective.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 7:56 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23261
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread Barrabás wrote: Ant-Man 3 and Guardians 3 opening to the same numbers is wild and should not have happened. Somewhere they dropped the ball with Guardians. I think 3 key things: 1. General Marvel downward trend/fatigue etc 2. Subpar marketing 3. Starlord character damaged after Infinity War _________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Fri May 05, 2023 8:05 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6717
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread from RTH@BOT Really rough drop for Mario. That will be almost 53% week on week drop. Its not going to avoid a 50% drop this weekend. Not sure if it can recover enough to go for 600m Quote: RthMav said:
GOTG3 I'd been going with 47m, so 46-47m look to be in right ballpark and Mario at 4.2
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri May 05, 2023 11:00 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6717
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread I am seeing also a number around Ant 3 - 46.5m. MTC I track it finished 2% below Ant 3 but its possible it slightly overperformed elsewhere. Saturday presales are stronger than Ant 3. I am thinking 110m OW.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sat May 06, 2023 12:33 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21479
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread A CinemaScore
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| Sat May 06, 2023 8:44 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21479
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread I don’t see this hitting 300m. It would need a 2.7x multiple, better than the second film. Even with good WOM, don’t see how that happens.
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| Sat May 06, 2023 9:40 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19373
Location: San Diego
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread Think the opening not meeting its potential and the film being pretty well regarded 300m is possible. I guess it depends on how it holds into June.
Crazy Evil Dead was originally gonna be a straight to streaming film and now it's gonna beat Shazam's domestic total...
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| Sat May 06, 2023 10:51 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19373
Location: San Diego
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Re: Guardians 3 weekend thread Love Again - 955k
... probably would've made over a million had it not moved lol dumb
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| Sat May 06, 2023 11:12 am |
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