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May 5-7 Predictions
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Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 8:29 am ]
Post subject:  May 5-7 Predictions

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3- 125m
Love Again 3m

Author:  Rev [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 9:31 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

NO!!! A HOTDOG IS A HOTDOG!!!!

:lol:

also sticking to my prediction game...

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.3 - 175m

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 12:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Still sticking to what I predicted in the monthly game - 111m. Best case scenario if its a rave is Zwackerm prediction above. Presales are still at dismal levels. Just over half of thor , under 60% of wakanda and about 3/4th of Ant 3.Ant 3 final week was absolutely horrible and so I expect Guardians to catch up. But Wakanda and Thor did finish strong and so not sure how much it will catch up.

Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 12:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

I'm still gonna go with around $131m even if presales are dismal. Seems like it'll be well received.

Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 1:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Reviews are good not amazing

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 1:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

zwackerm wrote:
Reviews are good not amazing


Just as I expected. I am not seeing a A cinemascore as well. Movie is lot more darker than what the trailer has shown which is generally filled with gags. Anyway I will know for sure as I am seeing it later this evening. Still Gunn has delivered a good movie.

Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 2:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Strange that a more serious film wouldn’t be appreciated after the reception of recent MCU films not being serious enough.

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 2:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

zwackerm wrote:
Strange that a more serious film wouldn’t be appreciated after the reception of recent MCU films not being serious enough.


Its still filled with gags. I guess the contrasting tone make it jarring for top critics.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 5:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

A hot dog is meat and other stuff in between breed. It's a sandwich.

I've got Guardians at $135M. A little below part 2 but nothing as disasterous as the presales indicate.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 5:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Keyser Söze wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Strange that a more serious film wouldn’t be appreciated after the reception of recent MCU films not being serious enough.


Its still filled with gags. I guess the contrasting tone make it jarring for top critics.
I can see this. Love and Thunder got flack for being 95% a goofy movie while the remaining 5% had one of the characters dying from cancer. I didn't mind, but I could see it being offputting to someone who just wants to watch a fun movie for two hours.

Author:  Shack [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 5:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

A hot dog is a submarine sandwich in its classic form.

Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 6:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

80% and 7.2 average so far... that's fine.

Hype does feel muted though. I think big hype for a MCU film won't happen for awhile.

Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Apr 28, 2023 7:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Reviews are more divisive than meh it seems. The positive reviews are very positive but the negative reviews are very negative

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Sat Apr 29, 2023 1:40 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Having seen the movie I think fans will like it. That said WOM is not a factor when its comes OW except good Sunday hold. Not sure these 25 early screening are sufficient to turn it around. Should have gone Batman/Maverick route and did 2 days of early Imax/PLF previews.

Still expecting better than DS2 or Thor legs. At least should do as well as Wakanda especially if OW is soft.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Apr 30, 2023 3:04 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Guardians will win Friday but Love Again should take the weekend. :P

Author:  zwackerm [ Sun Apr 30, 2023 9:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Magic Mike wrote:
Guardians will win Friday but Love Again should take the weekend. :P


Oh! That moved up a week. It was until not too long ago coming out on 5/12

Author:  Jonathan [ Sun Apr 30, 2023 1:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

The Love Again move is fascinating, as it'll be the first major wide release to open up against a Marvel movie since Midsommar opening against Far from Home, which was at least a holiday week. I doubt it'll make much money, but it's a solid counter-programming move, and it should have a good hold in its second weekend with Mothers Day.

Author:  Rev [ Sun Apr 30, 2023 2:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Mario -40% drop to $24m 5th weekend :blink:

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Sun Apr 30, 2023 5:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Rev wrote:
Mario -40% drop to $24m 5th weekend :blink:


25m is possible as Mario is not that much reliant on PLF/Imax. Look at holds when Ant 3 opened. Both Avatar and Puss had crazy strong holds. Considering Guardians is opening around Ant 3 I dont see a movie which is a juggernaut like Mario will drop that hard.

Author:  MadGez [ Sun Apr 30, 2023 6:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

GotG3 - $140m
Mario -39%

Author:  Barrabás [ Mon May 01, 2023 3:47 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 - $105M

MCU is in freefall. Also Chris Pratt never turned out to be a bona fide movie star. Now he is out of franchises.

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Mon May 01, 2023 2:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

I actually like Guardians 3 a lot despite the flaws. Gunn did his job for sure.

That said its no way coming close to 140m at this point. Presales are still below Ant 3 though the pace is better. 140m is almost Thor OW. its not even in the same ballpark as Thor for Thur/Fri/Sat presales.

Author:  lilmac [ Mon May 01, 2023 9:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

The Derby is open!

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Tue May 02, 2023 2:35 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Quote:
The superhero adventure is hoping to bring in $120 million in its opening weekend, falling in between the starts of 2014’s “Guardians of the Galaxy” ($94 million) and 2017’s sequel ($146 million). There’s a chance that “Vol. 3” could fall short of those projections and land closer to a less-spectacular $110 million to $118 million, according to independent tracking services.


https://variety.com/2023/film/news/box- ... 235600984/

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Tue May 02, 2023 4:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 5-7 Predictions

Quote:
Filmmaker James Gunn’s Marvel Studios swan song, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, is blasting off this weekend, the de facto start of the summer box office, with an eye at $250M worldwide. Of that $110M is coming from domestic, and $140M from overseas.


https://deadline.com/2023/05/box-office ... 235354045/

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