Reinfield - 900k
Pope's Exorcist - 850k
Suzume - 680k

Mario's Thursday is $9.4m.

Renfield will hit double digits with that but not high teens it seems. Sad

Pope’s Exorcist has a chance at double digits with that. Not bad

Deadline sees Renfield and Pope's Exorcist with under 8 for the weekend.

These two horror flicks should not have been released the same weekend. Separate weekends may have allowed each one to get to $15m or so.

Deadline now has Mario at a $72M weekend with a $20M Friday. $332.8M total by Sunday.

Air $2.4M, -52% $8M+, -44% 3day, and total of $33.5M

Renfield $3M / $8M

John Wick: Chapter 4 $2M Friday, -58%, 3-day of $7M, -52%, total $159.1M.

I am seeing 21m+ friday. So weekend should be 75m+. Amazing hold indeed.

Wow that would be a great hold.

Less than 50% drop

Make that $22.5m...

Air- 2.1m
D&D- 1.9m

Bad for both. D&D definitely misses 100m now and Air will only have average legs for maybe 50-60m total.

22.6m for Mario. Great #.

Opening Pope's Exorcism and Renfield on the same weekend was not a good idea. Both probably could've hit 10m on other weekends.

Rough estimate but I'll give Mario $80M for the 3day weekend (-45.4%).

A 3X multiplier from here on out would give Mario $500.8M. Likely will be able to hold better than that but $500M+ is looking great right now. A 4X multiplier would give Mario $580.8M. Still a great chance it could hold even better than that. A lot depends on weekend 3's stabilization.

Rough drops all around and none of the openers managed to stand out. I guess that is understandable considering it was coming off good friday and we had two horrors opening against each other. But still, sad to see one of our hottest box periods come to a close.

Yikes at Renfield having 65 million budget. Oh well back to DTV for Cage.

He needs to do National Treasure asap. They brought it back as a Disney+ show and post IJ5/Uncharted those type of movies will be in flavor again.

My vote is for Uncharted National Treasure hybrid where Cage's team races Holland/Wahlberg for the treasure

I like that idea. The twist is the treasure ends up being in Indiana Jones' retirement home.

and the story continues in an Indiana Jones series on Paramount +

Mario is basically pulling in a Maverick at this point. I am stunned its going to have a bigger Friday/Saturday increase than Sonic 2 last year on equivalent weekend and that was grossing < 1/5th of Mario. I am seeing 38m+ saturday !!!

Wait whut

Damn Deadline is saying 39.5m Saturday. Jesus Christ

If it follows Sonic's Sunday, it could have a second weekend of $90.15M (-38.4%).

A 5X multiplier from here on out would give Mario $711.55M
A 4X multiplier $621.40M
A 3X multiplier $531.25M

Going to be VERY hard for anything to beat Mario for the annual crown at this stage unless we see some type of bizarre out of nowhere run. I can see an overperformance from some films like Spiderverse to maybe challenge $400M+ but this is just getting way ahead of the pack.

A top 10 of all time showing ($653,406,625+) would be a decent possibility if Mario manages to pull a $90M second weekend once final actuals come out. It clearly is the zeitgeist movie of the year already and is a huge boost so early in the year for the box office.

Needs $608,581,744+ to get past The Incredibles 2 for biggest animated movie of all time. Mario is just printing money at this stage and even with the competition feels like it will play for a long time and well into May.

It would also practically be a lock for #3 biggest original film of all time by passing SW Ep. 4 at $460,998,507, behind only Titanic and Avatar.

I am seeing 39.8m now as well. This is nuts !!!

Another great tidbit from DHD: Annual box office for 2023 for Jan. 1-April 16 is clocking $2.5 billion, +44% over the same period last year.

Universal animation could contribute nearly $680M to the annual box office by the end of the month between Mario and Puss alone. Feel like animation could do nearly $1.5B-2B in the annual box office at this rate which is an incredible return for the category.

Also highly unlikely to happen but Mario would need a 7.5X multiplier to become #1 film of all time domestic off of a $90.15M weekend from here on out. Highly, highly unlikely with big summer films coming.

Only 5 original animated movies have won the year in the last 45 years:
-Finding Nemo became the "zeitgeist animated movie" in 2003 and had a 4.83 multiplier.
-Toy Story (1995)
-The Lion King (1994)
-Aladdin (1992)
-Roger Rabbit (1987) had a major animation component so included it.

Mario looks like the 6th. A Finding Nemo type multiplier would give Mario $696.2M total.

Other original animated (or heavy emphasis on animation movies) to win the year:
-Mary Poppins (1964) - Probably more live action but I included Roger Rabbit too.
-101 Dalmatians (1961)
-The Lady and the Tramp (1955)
-Peter Pan (1953)
-Cinderella (1950)
-Bambi (1942)
-Pinocchio (1940)
-Snow White (1937)

Of course dominated by Disney. Prior to this year, 13 original animated movies have won the year's box office crown. Sequels have won 3 times (Shrek 2 in 2004, TS3 in 2010 and Finding Dory in 2016).

Mario would be the 1st of 14 animated originals not from Disney to win the year and only the second non-Disney original or sequel to win the year after Shrek 2. Pretty staggering achievement for Illumination.