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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 New Years Week Numbers
+27% from last Friday. It's almost certainly increasing from last weekend overall, and has an outside shot of topping the original's third weekend ($68.5M).
What are the biggest weekend grosses of all time that a movie increased from the following weekend? The only one over $40M I can think would be Shrek going from its first weekend ($42,347,760) to second weekend ($42,481,425).
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Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:21 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19399 Location: San Diego
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Really great # for Avatar. And Puss In Boots is gonna be playing for awhile, would be nice to see it do $110m+.
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Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:22 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32603 Location: the last free city
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Avatar 2 has a shot at besting it’s 4 day Christmas numbers 
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Last edited by Rev on Sat Dec 31, 2022 2:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Dec 31, 2022 1:57 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3220
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Avatar 2's 3rd weekend could come in around 50% of its OW
RO's 3rd weekend was 31%
That's probably my last RO comp since these are following very different trajectories....except the final DOM numbers might be close.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sat Dec 31, 2022 2:08 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32603 Location: the last free city
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
lilmac wrote: Avatar 2's 3rd weekend could come in around 50% of its OW
RO's 3rd weekend was 31%
That's probably my last RO comp since these are following very different trajectories....except the final DOM numbers might be close. Not at all. I see Avatar 2 besting Avatar 1‘s domestically
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Sat Dec 31, 2022 2:12 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3220
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Rev wrote: lilmac wrote: Avatar 2's 3rd weekend could come in around 50% of its OW
RO's 3rd weekend was 31%
That's probably my last RO comp since these are following very different trajectories....except the final DOM numbers might be close. Not at all. I see Avatar 2 besting Avatar 1‘s domestically That would be awesome. TFA did $34.394M in its 3rd Friday. Not far off from TWOW. Just sayin...
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sat Dec 31, 2022 2:15 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Otto did decent. I think it will do well when it opens wide as seems like a harmless Tom Hanks feel good movie which resonates with audiences.
Nice to see The Menu continue to pull in audiences. The Whale has been holding well for the week and my local theaters have had it fairly packed for most of the week. Seems to be resonating and benefiting from buzz and wom. Could be a leggy run.
Babylon still hasn't passed $10M? Probably will be Pitt's worst performing film since he broke out?
Dance hasn't held very well at all compared to other films. Seems like it will dropoff quickly after the holidays.
Nice to see WF doing so well over the holidays and staying in the top 3 in weekend 8. A $450M total would be a nice round number for it to finish at.
Great for Puss In Boots. It's nearly double its opening day 9 days ago and isn't that far off from its best days of its run, which it could still see.
Amazing bump for Avatar and recovery from last weekend. All eyes are on weekend 4 to see where this ends up.
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Sat Dec 31, 2022 3:11 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19399 Location: San Diego
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Avatar had no drop from last weekend; 4th biggest 3rd weekend ever. And apparantly China's performance is doing great now so $2 billion seems likely.
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Sun Jan 01, 2023 12:53 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32603 Location: the last free city
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
From Gitesh Pandya (boxoffice guru) tweets Quote: Biggest THIRD WKND #boxoffice grosses of all-time:
$90.2M #StarWars TFA $68.5M #Avatar $66.3M #BlackPanther $63.4M #AvatarTheWayOfWater $63.3M #AvengersEndgame $62.1M #Avengers IW $56.0M #SpiderManNoWayHome
Older films all went on to finish north of $675M. Quote: Global #boxoffice on #AvatarTheWayOfWater closing in on $1.4B! Latest FRI-SUN wknd numbers:
Domestic - $63.4M/$421.6M Intl - $186.7M/$956.9M Worldwide - $250.1M/$1.38B
New #Avatar will smash $1.5B this TUE/WED on its way to joining TWO BILLION DOLLAR club! #JamesCameron
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Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:00 pm |
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Cynosure
The Dark Knight
Joined: Sun Apr 12, 2015 7:30 am Posts: 766
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Still hoping TGM takes the domestic crown, but it's looking increasingly close now.
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Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:04 pm |
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pookpooi
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Jan 25, 2017 11:21 am Posts: 516
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
This should be enough to aim for surpassing Maverick's domestic and surpassing Titanic's worldwide. Surpassing Rogue One's domestic and No Way Home's worldwide are locked.
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Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:17 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68295
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Call me blind, but I still don't see it reaching $720 million. It ain't going to be making $20m weekdays anymore. It will be a slow crawl to wherever it finishes now. It isn't going to rack up another $280 million so easily.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:35 pm |
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Samweis Gamdschie
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm Posts: 2077 Location: At the edge of reality
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Algren wrote: Call me blind, but I still don't see it reaching $720 million. It ain't going to be making $20m weekdays anymore. It will be a slow crawl to wherever it finishes now. It isn't going to rack up another $280 million so easily.  Avatar 2 won't even reach Titanic with $659m, even $600m is not certain yet.
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Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:58 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Great numbers though would have been great to see Puss above $20M 3day based on its mid weeks.
The 4th weekend for Avatar is the gamechanger for its domestic total. Avatar (2009) managed $30M+ weekends for all 4 weeks of Jan. 2010. The storm effect and holidays as well as only 1 $20M+ opener (Book of Eli) until weekend 8 (Feb 5-7 2010) still leave me unsure of how it holds but I have a hard time seeing it pull $30M+ weekends for 4 more weeks and expect steeper drops comparatively.
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Sun Jan 01, 2023 3:07 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25318 Location: Classified
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
So glad we got New Year's week numbers to purge the memory of Christmas weak numbers. Except for Dance and Bablyon. Those went wrong. 
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Sun Jan 01, 2023 4:06 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21527 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Babylon is a bigger bomb obviously, but I Wanna Dance With Somebody is missing expectations by a wider margin. It could close with less than Rocketman's OW
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Sun Jan 01, 2023 8:41 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3220
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Me in 2009: He did it again!
Me in 2022/2023: He did it again!
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sun Jan 01, 2023 9:14 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32603 Location: the last free city
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
https://deadline.com/2023/01/avatar-the ... 235208802/Quote: MONDAY AM UPDATE: Sunday came in stronger for Avatar: The Way of Water than Disney anticipated, grossing a great $24.4M to what was thought to be $21M. The third weekend of the James Cameron title rises to $68.4M with a 4-day of $86.3M. By the end of today, it’s expected that Avatar 2 will pass the $440.9M 18-day total of Rogue One with $444.4M.
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Mon Jan 02, 2023 11:38 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21527 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Avatar bumped to 66.8m 3rd weekend, 3rd biggest of all time, beating Black Panther and just missing Avatar 1.
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Mon Jan 02, 2023 11:39 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68295
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
What tremendous staying power Black Panther: Wakanda Forever is having. It's acting like a children's movie with its drops over Christmas and New Years.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Mon Jan 02, 2023 12:07 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21527 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
It's still only the 21st leggiest Marvel film, having recently passed the multipliers of Thor 2, Avengers Age of Ultron and Endgame. It will likely finish as the 19th leggiest Marvel film, behind Thor Ragnarok and beat the Incredible Hulk and Iron Man 2 by the end.
Not as bad as other recent Marvel multipliers (about 2.48) but nothing to write home about
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Mon Jan 02, 2023 12:14 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68295
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Ah, yeah. Not so good in terms of its whole run.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Mon Jan 02, 2023 2:06 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21527 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
If it held like SMNWH, it would get to 649m dom. Seems like a fair benchmark until president's day since its the only big budget film till Ant-Man, though that film may keep it from quite matching Spider Man's multiple. However, I think 600m should be doable.
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Mon Jan 02, 2023 4:50 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23323 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Avatar 2 will get close to $680-$700m IMO. The legs through January are looking to be strong with the minimal competition.
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Mon Jan 02, 2023 6:26 pm |
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pookpooi
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Jan 25, 2017 11:21 am Posts: 516
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 Re: New Years Week Numbers
Is Monday still a part of New Years Week Numbers? Because
And also, according to Deadline, the best January Monday ever!
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Tue Jan 03, 2023 2:21 pm |
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