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 February 24-26 Predictions 

Predict Ant-Man 2nd weekend drop?
Sub 60% 20%  20%  [ 1 ]
60% 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
61% 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
62% 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
63% 20%  20%  [ 1 ]
64% 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
65% 40%  40%  [ 2 ]
66% 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
67% 20%  20%  [ 1 ]
68% 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
69% 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
70% 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Greater than 70% 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 5

 February 24-26 Predictions 
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Post February 24-26 Predictions
Jesus Revolution- 13
Cocaine Bear- 14

Ant-Man- -63%

Jesus Revolution has the best buzz of any Christian film since before Covid. Thinking double digit debut.

Cocaine Bear will be fine with teens, even if its not a huge breakout like I thought it would be originally. Maybe a Violent Night type performance


Last edited by zwackerm on Thu Feb 23, 2023 8:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Tue Feb 21, 2023 12:24 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
ANT-MAN 3 -56.5% a solid drop

Cocaine Bear - 25m
Jesus Revolution - 12m

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Tue Feb 21, 2023 3:42 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
Pretty big drop. Big opening but bad reviews. I'll go with a 67% drop.

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Tue Feb 21, 2023 5:03 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
Algren wrote:
Pretty big drop. Big opening but bad reviews. I'll go with a 67% drop.


most likely but I'm being optimistic :wub2: as usual

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Tue Feb 21, 2023 5:08 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
It had a better multiple throughout the weekend than Dr Strange and Thor indicating less rush factor plus no big competition so I’m hoping for something in the low 60s


Tue Feb 21, 2023 5:16 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
Could see Cocaine Bear opening anywhere from $5M to $25M. But it'll probably come on the low side sincr I drafted it.

-60-65% for Ant-Man, like Marvel used to do before Strange and Thor upped it to 70% week 2 drops.

Creed 3 is gonna breakout next week.


Tue Feb 21, 2023 6:39 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
Cocaine Bear feels like Snakes on a Plane (big buzz online but kind of disappointed).

That said - $15-20m isn't a big stretch. I'll go with $17m.

Ant-Man - 59% - WOM is decent.

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Tue Feb 21, 2023 7:21 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
Don't see how Ant-Man drops less than Wakanda Forever. Gonna go with 65% drop.


Tue Feb 21, 2023 7:47 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
Wakanda Forever had a much more inflated Friday due to Veterans Day. So ant man could have a much better Friday to Friday drop. Potentially


Tue Feb 21, 2023 7:51 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
Won’t happen but if Ant Mam followed the daily pattern of Uncharted it would do 51m this weekend


Tue Feb 21, 2023 11:06 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
its already down to 7m tuesday and probably 4m wednesday. its dropping close to 70% than 60%. Dont forget Sunday was boosted last week. Wakanda had much better reception than this turd.

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Wed Feb 22, 2023 12:38 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
I'm hoping Cocaine Bear can break out. Haven't seen a negative review yet so it should definitely be fresh on Rotten Tomatoes. So annoying that studios continue to embargo reviews until late in the game for movies that end up getting good ones. This seems to happen a lot with creature features. Piranha, The Shallows, Crawl, Beast, etc... To be fair people already know if these movies are going to be for them but some good buzz can't hurt.


Wed Feb 22, 2023 11:19 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
With its enormous Wednesday drop doing away with the decent holds on Saturday Sunday and a Monday, now projecting a 36m 2nd weekend, -66%


Thu Feb 23, 2023 1:34 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
With its enormous Wednesday drop doing away with the decent holds on Saturday Sunday and a Monday, now projecting a 36m 2nd weekend, -66%


Today it will drop another 10%. how on earth its going to gross 36m from ~ 3.4m thursday. This is not animation movie to increase that much. Plus few markets have this week school off. I am expecting slightly softer friday increase compared to last week for most holdovers as well.

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Thu Feb 23, 2023 1:47 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
$3.8M Wed is really bad. The drop on this one could be one for the ages. :lol:


Thu Feb 23, 2023 1:56 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
I was thinking single digit drop today, well over 100% increase Friday, 60-80% increase on Saturday


Thu Feb 23, 2023 1:58 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
This was posted at BOT. Captain Marvel few years ago did 7.9x opening wednesday and that is after a 8% thursday increase. This aint increasing for sure. We are looking at a legendary drop > BvS. Bring on 70%+.

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Thu Feb 23, 2023 2:53 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
Where are the Wednesday numbers? 7 on Tuesday and 3.8 on Wednesday can't be right

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Thu Feb 23, 2023 2:56 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
https://twitter.com/ERCboxoffice?ref_sr ... r%5Eauthor


Thu Feb 23, 2023 3:01 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
Captain Marvel opened during spring break

Most films in 2022 did about 10x the corresponding Wednesday before Weekend 8 of the year. Even if Ant-Man does on the lower end, it will do more than 7.9x it’s Wednesday


Thu Feb 23, 2023 3:03 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
With 80 for Brady looking to finish with, what, $40 million or so? it really wasn't that leggy New Year breakout we thought it might have morphed into after opening weekend. While it has still done very well for the type of film it is and the cast it has, I can't help but feel a little disappointment. It will probably finish with a good-but-quite-standard 3.x multiplier.

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Thu Feb 23, 2023 7:37 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
The weekend is 24-26...


Thu Feb 23, 2023 7:59 pm
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Post Re: February 25-27 Predictions
Algren wrote:
With 80 for Brady looking to finish with, what, $40 million or so? it really wasn't that leggy New Year breakout we thought it might have morphed into after opening weekend. While it has still done very well for the type of film it is and the cast it has, I can't help but feel a little disappointment. It will probably finish with a good-but-quite-standard 3.x multiplier.


80 For Brady's weekdays have been the most fascinating of its run. It really hasn't been that impressive as a weekend movie but its Tuesdays have often been nearly bigger than its weekend dailies.


Fri Feb 24, 2023 2:37 am
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Post Re: February 24-26 Predictions
That’s when they bus people out of retirement homes for various activity days, shopping, church, etc. Weekends are for family visits

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Fri Feb 24, 2023 3:11 am
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Post Re: February 24-26 Predictions
Friday increases will be soft for sure. Avatar is down just 5% thursday to thursday and Puss is up 38% from last thursday. No way it will have holds this weekend that good. There are states where schools were off this week and so we have had strong weekdays for sure.

Deadline thinks Ant 3 can do 40m from 3.7m thursday !!!!!

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Fri Feb 24, 2023 1:38 pm
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