Deadline saying 17-18m. Pretty strong!

The worst case scenario would be it coming in at 17m and having a Thor L&T multiple which would get it to 83m. I can't imagine its that front loaded in February with an inflated Sunday and less rush factor. If it followed BPWF it would get to 115m. DSITMOM gets it to minimum 88m.

$17.5m. If this opens over $100m I'd say Marvel is still in great shape despite not having billion dollar pictures but that's mostly due to China.

Easily the most frontloaded presales run I have ever seen for a MCU movie. More than even DS2 or Thor. I think that is going to be a norm for these MCU sequels going forward. This movie does not play as wide as those 2.
I think its going barely eck out a 100m OW. Not bad at all for an Ant-man movie but there wont be any legs for sure. I am thinking it will finish around 230m.

I see Magic Mike is in 3,000 theaters... expanding on the weekend of an MCU movie... lol jesus. This should've been in that many theaters last weekend given it had a decent PTA last weekenx.

It's so funny that we had 14 movies expand/open the weekend before. Feels like other studios had a lock on screens and maybe theaters are still punishing WB for their disastrous all in on streaming 2021 strategy by not giving it theaters when it asks vs others?

Deadline is saying 44m friday. That is 26.5m true friday. 90-95 OW likely with that friday.

https://deadline.com/2023/02/box-office ... 235263086/

Postrak data is horrendous.

Deadline is predicting an increase for Puss and A2 to drop just 10% !!!!!

That’s a previews to OD multiple of 2.5, better than Thor but on par with Dr Strange.

Avatar would be just $60M away from TGM by Monday. Fun to see how close they'll get.

That might just be what Puss needs to keep its run toward $200M alive. Crazy that Puss' 9th weekend 3day will end up just a 48.5% drop from its 1st weekend.

If Puss pulls a $2,131 PTA from a $6.4M estimated 3day weekend, that would be just 29.7% down from its PTA opening weekend despite it being its 9th weekend!

Puss In Boots run is really fantastic. Cool to see for a surprising great film.

Amazing thing for Puss is its available on streaming if you want to buy or rent. Still families are spending more to watch it on big screen.

Puss is all the more impressive because the first one still benefitted from the Shrek halo, which had its last sequel come out just 1 year earlier.

Here there hasn't been any film in the series since Puss 11 years earlier. It was literally starting from scratch again, as indicative of its low OW. Puss wasn't as well known anymore and has crawled and pawed his way to mega blockbuster status to pull 13.6X multiplier by the end of the weekend. The closest comparable is The Greatest Showman but to approach those legs Puss would need to get to $245M which looks like a bridge too far.

Even with a $169M 9 weekend total, it STILL has 7 weekends until Mario. It's 2022 Christmas box office also will end up being <30% of its total gross. 16 weekends between family movies and they'll we'll see a flood of them all eating away at each other's box office probably in Q4.

B Cinemascore lol

46m Friday. So $28.5m true Friday.

If WoM affects this possibly pessimistic scenario is 17.5/28.5/29/20 for a 95m 3-day.

Very interested to see how this holds this weekend. Honestly over $90m 3-day is still good imo. I think the whole Kang involvement is not very relevant to the average MCU fan, my friend I saw it with didn't even remember he was in Loki. Even with shit legs it should still muster $220m+.

If it followed Dr Strange it would get to 96m. It had a slightly better preview to OD multiple, so with an inflated Sunday it should be good for 105mish

I think Disney will push it over $100M. Will look good in the headlines. Legs should be decent like Thor 4 once people realize the movie is decent and not the disaster critics are making it out to be. However, March is brutally competitive and it might be hard to hold on to screens.

Well it got a B Cinemascore.

Postrak is even more dire. They track way more locations than even Cinemascore. This will collapse like pack of cards soon.

Looks like it should get to around the high 600m WW based off this opening. Breaking even but not a huge success

I’m honestly puzzled at the really bad scores it’s getting from some areas. It’s nothing special, but it’s not worse than like a dozen other MCU films.

This isn't making 600. Probably not even 550.

A 2.5x ww multiple would get it to the high 600s no if it’s Ww opening is in the high 200s?

WW opening will be more like 100 dom 120 OS -> 220 WW give or take like 10M. 2.5x when the film is getting bad wom everywhere will be tough as well. A 520-540 range is more realistic imho.

I am aware Eternals got a rotten score just like Ant-Man 3 does. I was not here on Eternals OW at this site b/c I was busy but over 8 years ago I anticipated in the future the MCU having at least few rotten films. Did any of you in the past anticipated it?

The PTAs are funny to look at (#1 Ant Man $10,587, #2 Magic Mike $547...). All the rest of the movies are lower except $675 for Of An Age.

Can Puss pull in to #3 or #2 this weekend? Avatar will probably eek out at #2.

Not bad for Ant Man though would have loved even bigger. MCU can still pull in audiences but there's clearly an opening here for DC. Shazam, the Flash and Aquaman and Blue Beetle Ant Man / GOTG3 / Marvels could be interesting. GOTG3 looks to dominate but #2 comic book movie could be up in the air.