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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20348
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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 October 28-30 Predictions Prey For the Devil 8m
Till 6m
Tar 3m
I'm excited to watch Tar but doesn't seem too commercial
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 8:54 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions I wonder if Smile might be The #1 Horror Movie of the Weekend. That would be embarrassing for Ends - it's fucking named after the holiday!
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 9:03 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23792
Location: Classified
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Prey For The Devil trailered always played well when I saw it. People love these generic religious horror movies. It's why The Nun has the highest opening in The Conjuring franchise.
That being said, obviously Smile is the only horror pic that most people care about right now. Could it see a small increase over the weekend?
Black Adam will drop just above 50%. Very respectable.
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| Mon Oct 24, 2022 3:46 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: That being said, obviously Smile is the only horror pic that most people care about right now. Could it see a small increase over the weekend? That's kind of what I'm going with, either a single digit decrease or staying level. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Mon Oct 24, 2022 8:55 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Algren wrote: I wonder if Smile might be The #1 Horror Movie of the Weekend. That would be embarrassing for Ends - it's fucking named after the holiday! Unless Prey breaks out it definitely will be. There's no conceivable way it wouldn't do more than Halloween Ends.
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| Mon Oct 24, 2022 10:17 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Magic Mike wrote: Algren wrote: I wonder if Smile might be The #1 Horror Movie of the Weekend. That would be embarrassing for Ends - it's fucking named after the holiday! Unless Prey breaks out it definitely will be. There's no conceivable way it wouldn't do more than Halloween Ends. Well, and I feel like Doctor Strange here saying there's a 1-in-14-million chance ... but the fact it's called Halloween Ends might-might-might just help it over a holiday called Halloween. I'm not going all-in on that happening, nor even expecting it to, but if on 31st October the estimates came out and Halloween Ends was #3 and Smile was #4, I wouldn't be totally shocked. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Tue Oct 25, 2022 1:52 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions With bad word of mouth though people would be more likely to just watch it at home and go see the horror movie that's actually supposed to be good. The holiday will help but not THAT much.
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| Tue Oct 25, 2022 2:29 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3130
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Put your predictions to the test and participate in this week’s Derby!
_________________
I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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| Wed Oct 26, 2022 9:29 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Terrifier 2 up to 1,500+ theaters.
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| Thu Oct 27, 2022 9:58 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Am I reading this right? Is The Bad Guys back in 1,478 cinemas this weekend?
I wonder why. Possibly counter-programming for adults or an option for parents while they watch serial killers or a last gasp attempt at $100m? Interesting anyway. I hope it does well.
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| Thu Oct 27, 2022 11:14 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Magic Mike wrote: Terrifier 2 up to 1,500+ theaters. The Numbers says just 1,000. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Thu Oct 27, 2022 11:15 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Algren wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Terrifier 2 up to 1,500+ theaters. The Numbers says just 1,000. The Numbers only has an estimate. 1,500+ is from a booker with Cinedigm/Iconic Events and has also been shared by the producers/director. I'm going to bet something around this is more accurate. Though technically 1,000+ is still correct  .
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| Fri Oct 28, 2022 2:39 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21641
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions 61% drop for black Adam.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Fri Oct 28, 2022 2:34 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11518
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Thursday #'s
Black Adam $3,124,177 $83,438,666
Prey for the Devil $660,000
Smile $645,758 -39% $87,337,230
Terrifier 2 $145,750 -28% $5,834,300
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| Fri Oct 28, 2022 3:13 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23792
Location: Classified
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions I'm sure the studio is having a bit of fun with the 660k number, but its not very good either way. Pretty sad that a horror opening on the weekend before Halloween won't even hit double digits.
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| Fri Oct 28, 2022 3:39 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: I'm sure the studio is having a bit of fun with the 660k number But what does two sixes mean? If they wanted to have fun/make it symbolic then it should be $666k, no? _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Fri Oct 28, 2022 6:54 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Magic Mike wrote: Algren wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Terrifier 2 up to 1,500+ theaters. The Numbers says just 1,000. The Numbers only has an estimate. 1,500+ is from a booker with Cinedigm/Iconic Events and has also been shared by the producers/director. I'm going to bet something around this is more accurate. Though technically 1,000+ is still correct . You're right. They updated the count to 1,550. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Fri Oct 28, 2022 6:56 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Prey for the Devil has 18 reviews and nearly as many percentage points (17%). Ouch. #NotObsessedWithRottenTomatoes 
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| Sat Oct 29, 2022 12:52 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Looking at the Friday estimates so far, Halloween weekend has really let me down. No small drops for horror movies. If anything, they feel heavier than normal.  _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Sat Oct 29, 2022 11:09 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11518
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Walking around yesterday saw people in Halloween costumes everywhere. Friday night and Sat night are probably going to be dented from busy Halloween activities. Could see Sunday be better than usual.
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| Sat Oct 29, 2022 12:29 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23792
Location: Classified
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions I guess having four horror movies was too much for the market after all. Smile will cross $100M, but probably won't get to $110M. Still an amazing run for it.
Even Black Adam and Ticket to Paradise dropped harder than expected.
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| Sat Oct 29, 2022 1:26 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Everyone is busy with Halloween parties. But hopefully at some point this weekend they'll check out a movie.
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| Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:46 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Just don't do what Seoul residents did yesterday for Halloween...
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
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| Sat Oct 29, 2022 7:00 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Corpse wrote: Just don't do what Seoul residents did yesterday for Halloween... Geez, yeah. Awful incident. It feels like the type of event that will instigate a cancellation of Halloween in future years. I'm not sure of South Korea's culture for banning, but in China it would - actually, Halloween (and all western festivals) are already banned in public institutions and highly discouraged elsewhere. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Sat Oct 29, 2022 7:35 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: October 28-30 Predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: I guess having four horror movies was too much for the market after all. Smile will cross $100M, but probably won't get to $110M. Still an amazing run for it.
Even Black Adam and Ticket to Paradise dropped harder than expected. But, oddly, Lyle had a decent drop. The best of all reported movies that didn't have large expansions. Maybe this weekend it will finally start to have decent holds. And I kind of felt Ticket to Paradise's Friday number was larger than I expected. I had it doing $7.2m for the weekend. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Sat Oct 29, 2022 7:50 pm |
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