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 October 7-9 Predictions 

What will gross 10m this weekend?
Lyle Lyle Crocodile 40%  40%  [ 6 ]
Amsterdam 33%  33%  [ 5 ]
Smile 27%  27%  [ 4 ]
Other 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 15

 October 7-9 Predictions 
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Hold the door!

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Post October 7-9 Predictions
Lyle Lyle Crocodile- 17m

In a more competitive marketplace this bombs OW at least but I think it will overperform a little due to the barren marketplace
Amsterdam- 10m

Tar should have an enormous average and probably break the year to date PTA record with at lest 50k in its 4 theaters


Fri Sep 30, 2022 9:01 am
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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
I think Lyle will have a big opening. I'm thinking upwards of $28 million. Smile will also stay above $10 million because I have a sneaking feeling that it will open in the mid 20s this weekend.

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Fri Sep 30, 2022 9:04 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
I think Lyle can do low 20's.

Somehow Amsterdam is tracking in the teens to 20 Million. I'm not really confident it can do that.


Fri Sep 30, 2022 3:28 pm
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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
It does have a very star studded cast. But the reviews are really going to hurt it. 10m seems still doable after Joy did 17m with also mixed reviews


Fri Sep 30, 2022 3:33 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
Clifford did $17M Oct. 2021. Tom and Jerry did $14M Feb. 2021.

Family film grosses were vastly depressed then but feel Lyle can definitely do $20M+. For now going with $31M.


Fri Sep 30, 2022 8:58 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
Yeah I can actually see 30 for Lyle. I don't think it goes below 20 Million.


Sun Oct 02, 2022 2:39 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
Last time a non sequel live action kids film opened to 20m+? Last time an original live action musical opened to 20m+? High teens would be great for it, the open market isn't going to turn a film in 2 historically hard to sell genres into a blockbuster.


Sun Oct 02, 2022 4:24 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
Amsterdam reminds me of Monuments Men, which had us thinking it would flop after it got bad reviews but ended up performing respectably.


Sun Oct 02, 2022 5:23 pm
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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
Last time a non sequel live action kids film opened to 20m+? Last time an original live action musical opened to 20m+? High teens would be great for it, the open market isn't going to turn a film in 2 historically hard to sell genres into a blockbuster.


Come on, $30 million doesn't make it a blockbuster.

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Sun Oct 02, 2022 7:36 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
Lyle - $28m
Amsterdam - $14m
Smile - $12m

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Sun Oct 02, 2022 7:54 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
Last time a non sequel live action kids film opened to 20m+? Last time an original live action musical opened to 20m+? High teens would be great for it, the open market isn't going to turn a film in 2 historically hard to sell genres into a blockbuster.


I didn't even know it was a musical and I've seen the trailer twice. :P I might not be alone in that. But it is Shawn Mendes and he has plenty of fans that might go. Though personally I think he looks unrecognizable in this ;).


Mon Oct 03, 2022 4:07 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
I read a few comments on Deadline that Lyle is the best kids film since Paddington. Even if it doesn't burst at OW would be great to have a leggy family film. The next one isn't until Strange World Nov. 23rd so Lyle has 7 weeks of family audience to itself. Even with a low $20s OW may be able to leg out to $100M if the quality is there.


Wed Oct 05, 2022 11:18 am
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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
Deadline says $11m for Lyle and $7.3m for Amsterdam. :(

Pretty disappointing if those materialize, though I am hopeful that Lyle has a big Saturday and Sunday to push it higher for the #1 spot. A $3 million Friday for a kids movie doesn't seem too bad, and is a near 100% increase on Saturday out of the question?

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Fri Oct 07, 2022 10:20 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
There's virtually nothing for families until Thanksgiving so could still see Lyle pull $80M if it gets past $15M.


Fri Oct 07, 2022 10:37 pm
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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
O wrote:
There's virtually nothing for families until Thanksgiving so could still see Lyle pull $80M if it gets past $15M.


Yeah, plus its RT audience score is 92%.

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Fri Oct 07, 2022 10:51 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: October 7-9 Predictions
Bombs away!


Sat Oct 08, 2022 7:40 pm
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