World of KJ :: View topic - Thursday June 23 Previews

zwackerm wrote:

Woot woot that's amazing. 30m is in play with that.

bl1222 wrote:

zwackerm wrote:

Woot woot that's amazing. 30m is in play with that.

It's 86% of Scream's Thursday previews. $10M true Friday is not impossible. Even if it misses it, at least it will easily open over $20M OW.

O wrote:

It's not an exact science but I've extracted Aladdin's 2018 last non-holiday June Thursday/weekend to extrapolate LY's weekend based on that ratio to $20.58M (-59.3%)/$91.7M total

There's a lot up in the air this weekend on rankings but the only thing I'm feeling more comfortable on is that LY is falling off a cliff. With Minions the next weekend will this fail to get to $150M and a 3 multiplier? Looking like a good chance.

Cynosure wrote:

Elvis has an $85 million budget. Ouch. How on earth is it going to reach $170 million? I don't see it making much overseas.

Author:	bl1222 [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 10:46 am ]
Post subject:	Thursday June 23 Previews
Black Phone - $3m

Author:	zwackerm [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 10:48 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
Woot woot that's amazing. 30m is in play with that.

Author:	bl1222 [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 10:49 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
zwackerm wrote: Woot woot that's amazing. 30m is in play with that. It's 86% of Scream's Thursday previews. $10M true Friday is not impossible. Even if it misses it, at least it will easily open over $20M OW.

Author:	zwackerm [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 10:51 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
bl1222 wrote: zwackerm wrote: Woot woot that's amazing. 30m is in play with that. It's 86% of Scream's Thursday previews. $10M true Friday is not impossible. Even if it misses it, at least it will easily open over $20M OW. I don't see why Black Phone wouldn't be way more backloaded being an original with great WOM as opposed to a franchise film with decent WOM

Author:	zwackerm [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 10:55 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
Elvis- 3.5m Just a hair under Uncharted. Seems like 35-40m still in play, though it will probably open below the Great Gatsby

World of KJ https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/

Thursday June 23 Previews https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=89396	Page 1 of 1

Author:	publicenemy#1 [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 11:05 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
Excellent. Would be cool if this ends up being a 100m grosser.

Author:	O [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 11:20 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
Very good for BP and solid for Elvis. We're looking good for 5 $20M+ movies, all of which are pulling a wide range of audiences. Feel like the market could have supported a comedy movie as well so it's very healthy box office!

Author:	MadGez [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 11:32 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
Strong numbers for both. Box office is booming nicely isn’t it. With the fewer releases but a better strike rate - feels like mid/late 90s box office.

Author:	bl1222 [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 11:35 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
$5m Thursday for TGM $4.8m for JWD $3.8m for LY

Author:	O [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 12:03 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
It's not an exact science but I've extracted Aladdin's 2018 last non-holiday June Thursday/weekend to extrapolate LY's weekend based on that ratio to $20.58M (-59.3%)/$91.7M total There's a lot up in the air this weekend on rankings but the only thing I'm feeling more comfortable on is that LY is falling off a cliff. With Minions the next weekend will this fail to get to $150M and a 3 multiplier? Looking like a good chance.

Author:	bl1222 [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 12:22 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
O wrote: It's not an exact science but I've extracted Aladdin's 2018 last non-holiday June Thursday/weekend to extrapolate LY's weekend based on that ratio to $20.58M (-59.3%)/$91.7M total There's a lot up in the air this weekend on rankings but the only thing I'm feeling more comfortable on is that LY is falling off a cliff. With Minions the next weekend will this fail to get to $150M and a 3 multiplier? Looking like a good chance. There's a 99.99% chance it will fall below $150m total even if Minions opens worse than LY due to losing any PLF and IMAX screens it has left.

Author:	Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 1:51 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
Very nice. I think Black Phone will have pretty decent word of mouth too. Hopefully it hits $30M but just getting over $20M, which seems certain, is a huge win.

Author:	Cynosure [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 11:19 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
Elvis has an $85 million budget. Ouch. How on earth is it going to reach $170 million? I don't see it making much overseas. The Black Phone is pulling in similar numbers domestically with a budget a fifth of Elvis'.

Author:	bl1222 [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 11:20 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Thursday June 23 Previews
Cynosure wrote: Elvis has an $85 million budget. Ouch. How on earth is it going to reach $170 million? I don't see it making much overseas. Don't lose hope just yet. Go to Box Office Theory. UK, Australia, and Italy are doing well.

Page 1 of 1	All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ]
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group http://www.phpbb.com/