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 Friday / Weekend Numbers 
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Extraordinary

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Post Friday / Weekend Numbers
1 Doctor Strange $16.74M - 81.55%, total $247.60M
2 Bad Guys $1.65M -29.5% , total $61.03M
3 Firestarter $1.54M
4 Sonic $1.03M -31.1%, total $172.18M
5 Everything Everywhere All At Once $918K -4%, total $44.72M
6 The Northman $480K -42.2%, total $29.94M

That's a pretty bad drop for Strange (Morbius dropped -83.3%) and great for Everything. $400M feels out the window. If it follows End Game's multiplier it's weekend will be at $60.56M, $291.4M by the end of the weekend.


Last edited by O on Sun May 15, 2022 10:37 am, edited 1 time in total.



Sat May 14, 2022 10:11 am
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Post Re: Friday Numbers
TLC is on track to drop in the high 30s to low 40s this weekend. Despite it's available on Paramount+, very solid drop. DA2 won't impact it too much and with TG2 (from Paramount) releasing, $100m is guaranteed.


Sat May 14, 2022 11:26 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: Friday Numbers
Glad to see a big recovery for Everything Everywhere after last weekend. If they keep it off streaming it could play into summer.


Sat May 14, 2022 11:32 am
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Post Re: Friday Numbers
Especially bad for Firestarter considering that was Friday the 13th

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Sat May 14, 2022 2:29 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Friday Numbers
Looks like Lost City should hit $100m. Shows so little people have P+ lol


Sat May 14, 2022 2:47 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Looks like Lost City should hit $100m. Shows so little people have P+ lol


It's about to have a bigger 8th weekend gross than The Batman despite being significantly behind it for the first seven weekends and despite both movies being shunted to SVOD in between their 7th and 8th weekends. Wild.


Sun May 15, 2022 9:41 am
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Friday Numbers
Some weekend numbers coming in.

From BOG/BOR:

Doctor Strange $61.0M -67.5% total $291.86M.

The Bad Guys $6.90M -28%, total $66.28M.

EverythingEverywhere $3.3M -6%, total $47.1M

The Lost City $1.73M -37%, total $97.15M.

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 $4.55M -24%, total $175.70M.

Firestarter $3.8M NEW

Fantastic Beasts $2.42M -43.2, total $90.05M.

If Dr. Strange finishes with about $382.5M (may be optimistic), it would get to a 2.04 multiplier. That would rank 61st out of 68 movies that Marvel has made across studios. The only movies worse than this are Dark Phoenix (2.01), Elektra (1.91), Punisher: War Zone (1.88), Morbius (1.86), and Inhumans (1.34). Pretty bad company to be in and clear its very divisive with moviegoers.


Sun May 15, 2022 10:23 am
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Post Re: Friday / Weekend Numbers
EE may reach $60m but $50m is locked.

I'd be surprised if DS2 reaches $400m. On the other hand, TLC will get to $100m before the end of May.


Sun May 15, 2022 11:42 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Friday / Weekend Numbers
Would be sad if DS misses $400m. I think how it holds on Memorial Day will be the final way to see if it fails. Needs 2.77 multiplier from this weekend.


Sun May 15, 2022 12:44 pm
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Post Re: Friday / Weekend Numbers
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Would be sad if DS misses $400m. I think how it holds on Memorial Day will be the final way to see if it fails. Needs 2.77 multiplier from this weekend.


Next weekend and the post-Memorial Day weekend being empty (Downton aside) might be enough to get it past the mark. Jurassic World 3 will probably hit it hard, although the weekend after Disney might let Lightyear give it a little bump (along with Fathers Day being that weekend). Not quite ready to make a call yet on whether or not it misses. Regardless, I imagine this is doing better beyond what Disney would have expected for a Doctor Strange sequel.


Sun May 15, 2022 1:26 pm
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Post Re: Friday / Weekend Numbers
In the end - $390-$400m is plenty for a DS sequel. If it swapped release dates with Spiderman NWH - it would look incredible. Right now it looks worse because of that film's epic gross.

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Sun May 15, 2022 7:03 pm
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Post Re: Friday / Weekend Numbers
I mean, I still have it on pace for 410 and that was expecting a 66% drop. Friday was it’s only really bad day but the 3.6+ multiplier was very encouraging. I don’t think WOM is really that bad, it basically scored the same as Iron Man 3. We have to understand the hit the economy is hitting right now.

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Sun May 15, 2022 7:17 pm
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Post Re: Friday / Weekend Numbers
Doctor Strange raw numbers are great but the opening weekend interest definitely shows the potential was there for more if the film was generating must see WOM. Even if WOM isn't bad, I don't think anyone is telling their friends "OMG, it was so good!" like they were for a lot of other Marvel movies.


Sun May 15, 2022 8:01 pm
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Post Re: Friday / Weekend Numbers
It mainly just emphasizes that NWH was an insane outlier

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Sun May 15, 2022 8:49 pm
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Post Re: Friday / Weekend Numbers
I don't see it missing 400 Million which is a very good gross.


Sun May 15, 2022 10:14 pm
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Post Re: Friday / Weekend Numbers
Sonic and Bad Guys late legs will be excellent due to barren market.


Mon May 16, 2022 4:12 pm
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Post Re: Friday / Weekend Numbers
Predicted final totals

Doctor Strange 416
The Bad Guys 102m
Sonic the Hedgehog 2 197m
Firestarter 8m
Everything Everywhere All At Once 60m
Fantastic Beasts 96m
The Lost City 101m
The Northman 34m
Family Camp 5m
UWMT 20m
Memory 7m
Father Stu 21m
Ambulance 23m


Mon May 16, 2022 5:02 pm
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Post Re: Friday / Weekend Numbers
Those totals make sense.

zwackerm wrote:
Predicted final totals

Doctor Strange 416
The Bad Guys 102m
Sonic the Hedgehog 2 197m
Firestarter 8m
Everything Everywhere All At Once 60m
Fantastic Beasts 96m
The Lost City 101m
The Northman 34m
Family Camp 5m
UWMT 20m
Memory 7m
Father Stu 21m
Ambulance 23m

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Tue May 17, 2022 3:55 pm
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