World of KJ
https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/

May 20-22 Predictions
https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=89327		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri May 13, 2022 8:12 am ]
Post subject:  May 20-22 Predictions
Downton Abbey: A New Era- 24
Men- 6

Downton is selling well around me and has a lot of younger fans as well as older. Thinking the drop won't be super severe, though it wills till drop.

Men looks more accessible than X so I see it doing a bit better

Doctor Strange- -45%
Firestarter- -70%

Chip N Dale Rescue Rangers should have opened theatrically this weekend
Author:  j_forest23 [ Sat May 14, 2022 11:23 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
I’m really excited for it but I’ve heard about the climatic scene in Men and it is just :whaa: I think it’s going to polarize people HEAVILY and no doubt the Cinemascore will be atrocious. I didn’t like X much but I think it was A24’s most accessible horror movie and I don’t think Men will be nearly as much . Be careful looking on Variety’s review I didn’t see the spoiler disclaimer and while there was a warning in the review, I didn’t think it would spoil it
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sat May 14, 2022 11:36 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
I think Men looks weird AF. X was a straight-forward slasher. Men will be less accessible IMO. Also best case for the CinemaScore would be a C- and only because of hardcore A24 fans going opening night. I'm going 3 Million on it. Maybe it can reach 4 Million. But I don't think it opens any higher.
Author:  zwackerm [ Sat May 14, 2022 4:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
X was about porn. That automatically makes it inaccessible, regardless of if its a slasher.
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Sat May 14, 2022 4:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
Secrets of Dumbledore should have opened this weekend. It's weird having such a previously important summer weekend be left for Downton Abbey 2.
Author:  Jonathan [ Sun May 15, 2022 12:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
Downton Abbey: A New Era - $18 million
Men - $2.9 million

Had been cautiously optimistic about DA2 but the declines in the foreign markets, particularly the UK, are troubling, coupled with the fact that its main demo of 50+ remains hesitant to go to the theater (my parents are massive Downton fans and I don't even know if they'll be going to make the trip to see it).

Do we have a theater count for Men? I think it already looks too ""weird"" for mainstream auds to make much money opening weekend, before crashing right afterwards. Wonder if this can finally net A24 their first F Cinemascore?
Author:  j_forest23 [ Sun May 15, 2022 12:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
Jonathan wrote:
Wonder if this can finally net A24 their first F Cinemascore?


After reading about the aforementioned climatic body horror scene I wouldn’t be surprised at all, I was kinda shocked when I read it tbh and I’m used to offbeat, arthouse like movies. I feel like it’ll have mother! like reception
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun May 15, 2022 1:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
X was about porn. That automatically makes it inaccessible, regardless of if its a slasher.


Let's not pretend the target audience doesn't watch porn though. It does make it a bit more niche, but at least it didn't look super weird.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun May 15, 2022 1:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
Jonathan wrote:
Do we have a theater count for Men? I think it already looks too ""weird"" for mainstream auds to make much money opening weekend, before crashing right afterwards. Wonder if this can finally net A24 their first F Cinemascore?



If Men were a bigger studio film and not A24 I feel like it would easily get an F. But a decent amount of people know what they're getting into with A24 movies. That will help offset any average moviegoer that just stumbles into it because they are horror fans. I won't say it can't get an F but it will more likely be in the D range.
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Mon May 16, 2022 2:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
Men has a terrible title. The audience laughed at it when I saw the trailer. Ex Machina and Annihilation were such cool titles that made people feel like they'd be cool by watching.

Also, I didn't realize that Garland wrote the two 28 Days movies and Sunshine and The Beach. Very impressive.
Author:  Shack [ Mon May 16, 2022 2:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
I didn't realize the first time I saw the Men trailer that the same actor played all the roles, if they had a higher profile actor or someone with a clear identifiable look it might have worked better, maybe Oscar Isaac is too busy to reunite with Garland but Domhnall Gleeson or Nick Offerman would have been interesting. Then again I guess the point is she's not supposed to recognize them as easily?
Author:  Keyser Söze [ Mon May 16, 2022 4:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
Downtown Abbey release looks very small. There are shows on wednesday as well. But this does not look like opening big. Probably around mid teens OW.
Author:  j_forest23 [ Mon May 16, 2022 5:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
The audience laughing at the title for Men is beyond ridiculous, its happened twice for me now, like really :disgust: . Can’t wait to finally go see it Thursday night.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Tue May 17, 2022 12:36 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
I'm always nervous when the Men trailer shows in front of something (which happens a lot). I am just waiting for people to laugh when the title is shown. It really hasn't been THAT bad but there are usually a couple laughs.
Author:  j_forest23 [ Tue May 17, 2022 9:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
It’s happened twice for me and it is kinda understandable with a title kinda bland and odd for such an ominous trailer. It hasn’t been all that bad for me either but some groups in my audience for X were obnoxious (not just with the trailer but the movie itself) and of course had a ball with that title lol, so annoying.

Does anyone know the theater count? I wonder if it will be polled for CS.
Author:  O [ Tue May 17, 2022 12:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
A big shame Disney didn't just release the Chip and Dale movie, it's getting some raves.

Quote:
It’s the funniest movie of the year so far, either animated or live-action.

Quote:
Everything the recent Space Jam sequel desperately attempted but failed to be.


https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movie ... 235147554/

Other reviews:

Quote:
Chip 'n Dale: Rescue Rangers is as close as it gets to a spiritual sequel of Who Framed Roger Rabbit.

Quote:
Disney shows real self-deprecating humor and a willingness to play with other studios. Somehow, a new Chip ’N Dale movie is their most forward-thinking project.
Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Tue May 17, 2022 3:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
Yeah considering how barren the market is that could've probably done very well.
Author:  zwackerm [ Thu May 19, 2022 10:20 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
Downton Abbey previews should be inflated due to Wednesday previews as well
Author:  Magic Mike [ Thu May 19, 2022 7:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
j_forest23 wrote:
It’s happened twice for me and it is kinda understandable with a title kinda bland and odd for such an ominous trailer. It hasn’t been all that bad for me either but some groups in my audience for X were obnoxious (not just with the trailer but the movie itself) and of course had a ball with that title lol, so annoying.

Does anyone know the theater count? I wonder if it will be polled for CS.


2,212 theaters for Men. I've gotta hand it to A24 for putting these movies out in wide release with proper marketing.
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri May 20, 2022 10:55 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
All the theaters around me have dropped The Lost City and kept Secrets of Dumbledore which has a lower PTA. Hopefully it can still cross 100m.
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri May 20, 2022 11:26 am ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
Downton Abbey A New Era- 1.05m

Yikes! That's even worse than Death on the Nile! Could it do sub 10m with that?
Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Fri May 20, 2022 12:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
Downton Abbey A New Era- 1.05m

Yikes! That's even worse than Death on the Nile! Could it do sub 10m with that?


That's pretty bad - I thought there was more hype for this among its fanbase?
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri May 20, 2022 1:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
Men 423k

Should be good for a 5m debut with that.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri May 20, 2022 2:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
X did $440,000 and opened with 4.275 Million. So Men should probably do 4 Million or so.
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri May 20, 2022 4:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May 20-22 Predictions
Apparently the 1.05m figure is only Thursday and does not include Wednesday. Bodes slightly better and suggests 15m weekend.
Page 1 of 2 All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ]
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group
http://www.phpbb.com/