zwackerm wrote:
Doctor Strange's sunday was already below GOTG vol 2 and Civil War. Big drop incoming
Yah probably looking at -67% / -71% drop.
and
$400m domestic not looking likely
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| May 13-15 Predictions https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=89318 |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri May 06, 2022 10:20 am ] |
| Post subject: | May 13-15 Predictions |
Firestarter 8 Family Camp 6 I have seen more ads for Family Camp than Firestarter lol. Big poster at the theater but almost no trailers that I've seen. Feels like a direct to Peacock movie sent to theaters only to fulfill a contractual obligation Family Camp should receive a little boost from the faith audience but it looks terrible Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness -65% |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Fri May 06, 2022 11:21 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
I had the Family Camp trailer with CODA and Sonic. It was probably with The Bad Guys as well. It won't do much though. 2-5 Million which would be perfectly fine for it. Firestarter - 5-6 Million I hope Montana Story gets a decent amount of theaters. Enough to open here anyway. Looks great. |
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| Author: | lilmac [ Sat May 07, 2022 1:52 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
A little over 50% is my prediction. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sat May 07, 2022 11:36 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
Gonna go with 66% drop for MoM. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sat May 07, 2022 2:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
Big drop for Multiverse. Marvel films usually drop around 60% no matter what the reception is. And while I don't think MoM will have bad WoM (got some applause after my showing), there is one thing to consider... (not a huge spoiler, but I'll tag it anyways) Spoiler: show |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sat May 07, 2022 4:13 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
it will fall 65% in its second weekend. But competition is light so as long as they keep it off Disney plus, it should save face going forward. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Tue May 10, 2022 12:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
Gonna go with 67% drop, $62m 2nd weekend. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue May 10, 2022 10:05 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
Doctor Strange's sunday was already below GOTG vol 2 and Civil War. Big drop incoming |
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| Author: | Rev [ Tue May 10, 2022 12:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: Doctor Strange's sunday was already below GOTG vol 2 and Civil War. Big drop incoming Yah probably looking at -67% / -71% drop. and $400m domestic not looking likely
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue May 10, 2022 1:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
It will hit 400m. It has much less competition and should be able to hold onto theaters a lot longer than those films did which will help its legs. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Tue May 10, 2022 1:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: It will hit 400m. It has much less competition and should be able to hold onto theaters a lot longer than those films did which will help its legs. not much confidence in that today than I had on friday lol |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Tue May 10, 2022 1:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
... doesn't seem like a sub-2.15 multiplier will happen for it to miss $400m. WoM isn't bad. |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Tue May 10, 2022 5:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
I was a little concerned by how frontloaded the weekend was, but Monday's number is a little more promising. If there was more blockbuster competition it might be in danger of missing $400M (it's probably dropping 65-70% this weekend), but Top Gun being its only competition over the next four weekends will help keep it afloat. Firestarter is probably DOA. Kind of a bummer because even if it's trash Universal probably could have gotten a solid opening off of being the first major horror movie in two months, the Stephen King brand, and the Friday the 13th release date. Firestarter - $10.7 million Family Camp - $1-2 million? |
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| Author: | O [ Tue May 10, 2022 9:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
Everything Everywhere's Monday per theater drop was only -4.6%. In an empty marketplace hopefully it can stabilize and hold onto theaters. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Thu May 12, 2022 11:24 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
Doctor Strange has held pace with Civil War over the weekdays. If it continues to hold pace it would be a 61% drop to 72m this weekend. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Fri May 13, 2022 11:42 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: Doctor Strange has held pace with Civil War over the weekdays. If it continues to hold pace it would be a 61% drop to 72m this weekend. that would be a VICTORY if it happens. Anything in the low 60% drop would be nice |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri May 13, 2022 12:38 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
375k start for Firestarter. Looking like a 3-4m weekend |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Fri May 13, 2022 12:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: 375k start for Firestarter. Looking like a 3-4m weekend A Friday the 13th fail this time. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri May 13, 2022 12:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 13-15 Predictions |
Should have had a legit horror movie instead of a hybrid opening on this date. Even Men probably would have done decently. |
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